Tearsheet

Walker & Dunlop (WD)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $62.95 | Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Walker & Dunlop (WD)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $62.95
Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 98%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -76%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -77%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 98%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -76%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -77%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For Walker & Dunlop (WD), the stock's hypothetical movement of -25.6% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 14, 2025, could be attributed to a confluence of challenging factors within the broader commercial real estate (CRE) market, despite some areas of reported company growth.

**1. Elevated Interest Rates and Increased Borrowing Costs:** Persistent elevated interest rates throughout 2025 likely continued to impact borrowing costs for commercial real estate investors and developers. Although some forecasts anticipated stabilization or slight declines, the overall level of rates remained a significant headwind, making financing more expensive and reducing the appetite for new acquisitions and development projects. This environment tightens debt service coverage ratios and demands higher equity contributions, which can suppress transaction volumes for commercial real estate finance companies like Walker & Dunlop.

**2. Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) Maturity Wall:** The commercial real estate market faced a substantial volume of CMBS loans maturing in 2025, estimated at around $150.9 billion, with a significant portion requiring refinancing or payoff. Challenges in refinancing these loans, especially those in sectors with weaker fundamentals, likely contributed to market uncertainty and concerns over potential defaults, impacting the broader commercial lending landscape.

**3. Continued Weakness in the Office Sector:** The office sector of commercial real estate remained under considerable pressure with persistently high vacancy rates, reaching levels as high as 19.6% in some reports. The ongoing shift to hybrid and remote work models continued to depress demand and property values, leading to significant refinancing challenges for office-backed loans. Any significant exposure to this struggling sector could negatively affect commercial real estate lenders.

**4. Tighter Lending Standards and Risk Aversion:** Commercial lenders, including banks and other financial institutions, maintained a more risk-averse stance, leading to stricter underwriting standards and requirements for higher equity injections in deals. This cautious approach likely constrained the availability of capital and slowed the pace of new loan originations and overall transaction activity in the commercial real estate finance market.

**5. Economic Uncertainty and Slower Growth Outlook:** Despite some pockets of optimism, broader economic uncertainty and projections for more modest GDP growth in 2025 could have dampened investor confidence in the commercial real estate sector. Debates around the economy's health, inflation, and potential policy shifts contributed to a cautious environment, potentially impacting investment decisions and overall transaction volumes for commercial real estate finance firms.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WD Return46%67%-47%47%-10%-32%17%
Peers Return-19%80%-38%19%23%23%62%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WD Win Rate58%75%33%50%67%25% 
Peers Win Rate52%63%35%52%62%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WD Max Drawdown-61%-11%-49%-19%-19%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-62%-5%-44%-26%-12%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CBRE, JLL, NMRK, STWD, CWK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven146.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven218.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven303 days120 days

Compare to RKT, ESNT, SNFCA, GHI, FNMA


In The Past

Walker & Dunlop's stock fell -59.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -59.4% loss requires a 146.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Walker & Dunlop (WD)

Better Bets than Walker & Dunlop (WD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%
WD_5312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312022WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-18.1%-29.1%-39.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%
WD_5312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312022WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-18.1%-29.1%-39.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Walker & Dunlop

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WDCBREJLLNMRKSTWDCWKMedian
NameWalker &.CBRE Jones La.Newmark Starwood.Cushman . 
Mkt Price62.58159.58334.6517.3218.4315.2940.50
Mkt Cap2.147.515.83.37.03.55.3
Rev LTM1,23639,32625,3183,16176710,0046,582
Op Inc LTM1341,5401,036171-461461
FCF LTM-9491,363912-70714165439
FCF 3Y Avg22380252226303188263
CFO LTM-9371,6781,110-44785198491
CFO 3Y Avg2371,11371570344229291

Growth & Margins

WDCBREJLLNMRKSTWDCWKMedian
NameWalker &.CBRE Jones La.Newmark Starwood.Cushman . 
Rev Chg LTM16.0%14.6%12.5%21.0%-27.4%6.8%13.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.3%8.2%6.3%2.9%-16.5%-0.9%1.0%
Rev Chg Q15.5%13.5%10.9%25.9%-13.2%11.2%12.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%3.2%2.6%6.0%-3.9%2.7%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM10.8%3.9%4.1%5.4%-4.6%4.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.4%3.4%3.6%4.3%-3.5%3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.1%0.2%-0.2%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-75.8%4.3%4.4%-1.4%102.3%2.0%3.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.4%3.1%3.1%3.5%41.6%2.4%3.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-76.8%3.5%3.6%-2.2%93.1%1.6%2.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.2%2.2%2.2%1.7%36.8%2.0%2.2%

Valuation

WDCBREJLLNMRKSTWDCWKMedian
NameWalker &.CBRE Jones La.Newmark Starwood.Cushman . 
Mkt Cap2.147.515.83.37.03.55.3
P/S2.31.20.61.09.10.41.1
P/EBIT20.930.413.6--7.517.3
P/E24.338.722.431.919.016.523.3
P/CFO-3.028.312.7-75.28.918.610.8
Total Yield4.1%2.6%4.5%3.3%14.6%6.1%4.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%9.4%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.3%2.0%4.4%--7.1%5.7%
D/E1.10.20.2--0.80.5
Net D/E1.00.20.2--0.70.4

Returns

WDCBREJLLNMRKSTWDCWKMedian
NameWalker &.CBRE Jones La.Newmark Starwood.Cushman . 
1M Rtn-3.6%4.2%10.9%4.8%2.8%-1.5%3.5%
3M Rtn-26.4%-2.7%7.1%-10.0%-7.8%-8.1%-8.0%
6M Rtn-6.6%20.0%41.2%52.7%-3.4%46.9%30.6%
12M Rtn-38.5%16.2%24.1%20.6%0.9%2.8%9.5%
3Y Rtn-14.2%101.0%100.2%113.3%23.7%23.4%62.0%
1M Excs Rtn-4.9%3.0%9.3%0.5%3.2%-3.6%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-28.8%-6.8%3.5%-12.8%-10.3%-11.4%-10.8%
6M Excs Rtn-20.9%5.8%27.0%38.5%-17.6%32.6%16.4%
12M Excs Rtn-52.2%4.3%11.4%4.2%-12.6%-12.1%-3.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-91.0%35.5%34.0%39.7%-49.0%-43.9%-4.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Servicing & Asset Management (SAM)564507378  
Capital Markets (CM)477709882  
Corporate1442-1  
Single segment   1,084817
Total1,0541,2591,2591,084817


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Servicing & Asset Management (SAM)214170139  
Capital Markets (CM)58199348  
Corporate-134-104-135  
Total138265352  


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Servicing & Asset Management (SAM)166140105  
Capital Markets (CM)41156262  
Corporate-100-82-102  
Total107214266  


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Servicing & Asset Management (SAM)2,2732,5392,430  
Capital Markets (CM)1,1931,0512,264  
Corporate586455512  
Total4,0524,0455,206  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity817,339
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202512.9%
Average Daily Volume292,584
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.79
Basic Shares Quantity33,376,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-11.1%-16.5% 
8/7/20255.9%12.1%17.0%
5/1/2025-3.3%-6.7%-9.7%
2/13/2025-5.3%-5.5%-3.4%
11/7/2024-1.7%-3.5%-3.1%
8/8/20242.8%2.8%5.4%
5/2/20241.6%3.9%4.2%
2/15/20245.0%3.7%-3.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131312
# Negative111112
Median Positive5.7%10.2%13.5%
Median Negative-5.3%-5.5%-4.2%
Max Positive14.2%18.8%38.5%
Max Negative-11.1%-18.1%-15.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Pryor Paula A.EVP and Chief HR Officer9032025Sell86.205,336459,963805,156Form
1Walker William MChairman & CEO3062025Buy86.1415,6111,344,71435,263,675Form