How Has Tata Motors’s Revenue And EBITDA Composition Changed Over FY12-FY17?

-62.32%
Downside
25.14
Market
9.47
Trefis
TTM: Tata Motors logo
TTM
Tata Motors

There has been a gradual shift in the revenue and EBITDA contribution for Tata Motors (NYSE:TTM). The luxury division Jaguar Land Rover formed a combined 63% of the group’s net revenue in fiscal 2012, but is now estimated to form 80% of the top line in fiscal 2017. On the other hand, the standalone business comprising Tata and other branded vehicles has shrunk in comparison to the British marquee brands.

Jaguar Land Rover is the most important division for Tata Motors, as it contributes over 90% of the group’s valuation as per our estimate. This is because of the higher price points, broader margin, and higher anticipated future growth in sales for this division compared to the standalone division. As can be seen from the chart, JLR’s EBITDA contribution is estimated at a whopping 87% of Tata Motors’s overall EBITDA in fiscal 2017, seven percentage points more than its top line contribution.

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JLR is also headed for more growth in the future, especially considering the automaker has opened its Brazilian production plant, and is planning a new plant in Slovakia, which will augment its supply. Trefis estimates Jaguar’s unit sales to grow at a CAGR of 9% between fiscal 2017 (ending March 2017) and fiscal 2024, and Land Rover’s unit sales to grow at a CAGR of 10%. On the other hand, Tata branded vehicles are expected to grow only moderately in comparison.

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Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for Tata Motors

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