RTX vs ATI: Which Stock Could Rally?

RTX: RTX logo
RTX
RTX

Even as RTX surged 7.7% during the past Day, its peer ATI may be a better choice. Consistently evaluating alternatives is core to sound investment approach. ATI (ATI) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs RTX (RTX) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in ATI

  • ATI’s quarterly revenue growth was 9.7%, vs. RTX’s 9.4%.
  • In addition, its Last 3-Year Average revenue growth came in at 15.9%, ahead of RTX’s 8.7%.
  • ATI leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 13.2% and 3-year average of 11.8%.

Single stock can be risky, but there is a huge value to a broader diversified approach we take with Trefis High Quality Portfolio. Should you buy one stock you like or build a portfolio designed to win across cycles? Our numbers show that High Quality Portfolio has turned stock-picking uncertainty into market-beating consistency. This portfolio is incorporated in asset allocation strategy of Empirical Asset Management – a Boston area wealth manager and Trefis partner – whose asset allocation framework yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%.

RTX provides aerospace and defense products, aircraft engines, intelligence, and missile systems, serving commercial, military, and government clients worldwide through four specialized segments. ATI manufacturer of specialty materials and components, founded in 1960 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, serving global markets.

Valuation & Performance Overview

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RTX ATI Preferred
Valuation
P/EBIT Ratio 27.9 20.2 ATI
Revenue Growth
Last Quarter 9.4% 9.7% ATI
Last 12 Months 15.4% 6.8% RTX
Last 3 Year Average 8.7% 15.9% ATI
Operating Margins
Last 12 Months 10.0% 13.2% ATI
Last 3 Year Average 7.5% 11.8% ATI
Momentum
Last 3 Year Return 109.5% 188.2% ATI

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: RTX Revenue Comparison | ATI Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: RTX Operating Income Comparison | ATI Operating Income Comparison

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell ATI Stock to see if ATI’s edge holds up under the hood or if RTX still has cards to play (see Buy or Sell RTX Stock).

Historical Market Performance

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
RTX Return -16% 23% 20% -14% 41% 41% 107%
ATI Return -19% -5% 87% 52% 21% 53% 289% <===
S&P 500 Return 16% 27% -19% 24% 23% 15% 106%
Monthly Win Rates [3]
RTX Win Rate 42% 67% 58% 42% 58% 78% 57%
ATI Win Rate 50% 50% 75% 50% 58% 78% 60%
S&P 500 Win Rate 58% 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 64% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
RTX Max Drawdown -50% -8% -4% -30% 0% -1% -16%
ATI Max Drawdown -75% -16% 0% -1% -15% -24% -22%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -31% -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -12% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/21/2025 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read ATI Dip Buyer Analyses and RTX Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.