Pay Less, Gain More: MSI, FFIV Top Cisco Systems Stock

-12.30%
Downside
77.76
Market
68.20
Trefis
CSCO: Cisco Systems logo
CSCO
Cisco Systems

MSI, FFIV are Cisco Systems’s peers in Communications Equipment industry that have:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to Cisco Systems stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying MSI, FFIV stocks vs. CSCO stock

Individual stocks can be volatile and shake you out, but strategic allocation and diversification helps you stay invested. Our Boston-based, wealth management partner’s asset allocation approach is designed exactly for that.

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Key Metrics Compared

Metric CSCO MSI FFIV
P/OpInc* 24.1x 22.4x 18.1x
LTM OpInc Growth -3.6% 6.7% 17.7%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth -3.0% 19.2% 21.5%
LTM Revenue Growth 5.3% 6.4% 8.9%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 3.4% 9.5% 4.2%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell CSCO Stock to see if Cisco Systems still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, Cisco Systems (CSCO) provides Internet Protocol-based networking products, infrastructure platforms, collaboration tools, and IoT and analytics software for communications and information technology industries.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if Cisco Systems stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Cisco Systems in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Cisco Systems would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric CSCO MSI FFIV
P/OpInc* 19x 29.9x 20x
LTM OpInc Growth -17.6% 10.5% 13.1%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth -4.5% 18.5% 22.2%
LTM Revenue Growth 0.5% 7.5% 5.6%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 2.6% 9.8% 3.5%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric CSCO MSI FFIV
P/S 4.9x 6.9x 5.6x
Market Cap (Current) $ 301.2 Bil $ 62.3 Bil $ 13.8 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 56.65 Bil $ 11.09 Bil $ 3.02 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 12.50 Bil $ 2.79 Bil $ 762.64 Mil
LTM Op Margin 22.1% 25.1% 25.2%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index.