Gibraltar Industries Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go?
Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) stock is down 20.3% in a day. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around increased debt from its OmniMax acquisition and lower-than-expected Q3 earnings, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?
Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Gibraltar Industries stands today.
- Size: Gibraltar Industries is a $1.4 Bil company with $1.4 Bil in revenue currently trading at $47.14.
- Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 21.8% and operating margin of 10.2%.
- Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.03 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.06
- Valuation: Gibraltar Industries stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 332.3 and P/EBIT multiple of 9.7
These metrics point to a Moderate operational performance, alongside Very Low valuation – making the stock Attractive. For details, see Buy or Sell ROCK Stock
That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is ROCK stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose ROCK stock falls another 20-30% to $33 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared much worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.
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2022 Inflation Shock
- ROCK stock fell 63.2% from a high of $100.98 on 19 January 2021 to $37.13 on 27 September 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
- The stock is yet to recover to its pre-Crisis high
- The highest the stock has reached since then is $87.18 on 15 February 2024 , and currently trades at $47.14
| ROCK | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -63.2% | -25.4% |
| Time to Full Recovery | Not Fully Recovered | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic
- ROCK stock fell 44.0% from a high of $56.18 on 23 January 2020 to $31.45 on 18 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 5 August 2020
| ROCK | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -44.0% | -33.9% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 140 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction
- ROCK stock fell 39.8% from a high of $44.60 on 25 January 2017 to $26.85 on 21 August 2017 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 7 August 2018
| ROCK | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -39.8% | -19.8% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 351 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis
- ROCK stock fell 85.4% from a high of $25.04 on 7 February 2007 to $3.65 on 12 March 2009 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 30 October 2015
| ROCK | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -85.4% | -56.8% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 2423 days | 1480 days |
Feeling jittery about ROCK stock? Consider portfolio approach.
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Individual stocks are unpredictable. A smart portfolio keeps you invested, limits downside shocks, and provides upside exposure
The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.