Gibraltar Industries (ROCK)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $49.66 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products
Gibraltar Industries (ROCK)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $49.66Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Building Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 443x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.7% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 443x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ROCK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -20.6% stock movement for Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Lowered Guidance: On October 30, 2025, Gibraltar Industries announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, which fell short of analyst expectations. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.14 against an estimated $1.21, and net sales of $310.9 million, missing the $317.5 million analyst consensus. This announcement led to a 3.3% decline in the stock immediately following the results, as the company also lowered its full-year 2025 guidance for both revenue and adjusted EPS.
2. Acquisition of OmniMax International and Increased Debt Concerns: On November 17, 2025, Gibraltar Industries disclosed plans to acquire OmniMax International for $1.335 billion in cash. The transaction, which is to be funded primarily through new debt, including $1.3 billion in new term loan facilities, raised significant concerns among investors regarding increased financial risk and leverage. The stock tumbled 12.1% on the day of the announcement and experienced a 13.7% drop in the afternoon session, with post-transaction leverage expected to reach 3.7x 2025 adjusted EBITDA.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ROCK Return | 43% | -7% | -31% | 72% | -25% | -16% | -2% |
| Peers Return | 41% | 55% | -11% | 62% | 9% | 12% | 282% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ROCK Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 25% | 67% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 63% | 43% | 63% | 55% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ROCK Max Drawdown | -38% | -11% | -44% | 0% | -26% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -3% | -37% | -8% | -12% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ROCK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 351 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 586.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2423 days | 1480 days |
Compare to WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT
In The Past
Gibraltar Industries's stock fell -63.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/19/2021. A -63.2% loss requires a 172.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ROCK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gibraltar Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 120.40 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.1 |
| Rev LTM | 2,752 |
| Op Inc LTM | 445 |
| FCF LTM | 319 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 416 |
| CFO LTM | 465 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 546 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.1 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/EBIT | 15.4 |
| P/E | 30.4 |
| P/CFO | 13.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 76.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Nish James B | 5052025 | Sell | 57.38 | 1,670 | 95,816 | 811,742 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |