Snowflake Stock: AI Winner?

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SNOW
Snowflake

Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW) stock has rallied by almost 50% this year, although the stock on Thursday dropped following Q3 results. Investors appear to be concerned as product revenue growth decelerated—from 32% in the previous quarter to 29%—and guidance pointed to a further slowdown in Q4. Even after the drop, the stock still trades at roughly 140x forward earnings and 13x sales.

So why does the market keep assigning such a steep premium?

A big part of the answer is the company’s transformation. Snowflake is no longer positioning itself as just a Cloud Data Warehouse. It’s pitching itself as a full AI Data Cloud—a platform that sits at the crossroads of enterprise data, applications, and AI workloads. And investors are betting that this shift could make Snowflake a foundational layer of the enterprise AI stack.

Solving the Enterprise AI Bottleneck

Snowflake is solving the biggest problem for enterprise AI: getting unified, high-quality, governed data (data that is managed by strict rules) to the AI models. It does this using Cortex AI and Snowpark Container Services, which let companies run their AI tools directly where their proprietary data already lives. This is crucial because, as AI projects grow, the sheer volume of data becomes the main bottleneck. Snowflake’s architecture, by separating compute power from data storage, lets customers easily scale their AI workloads without the expense and time of duplicating or moving massive amounts of data.

Zero-Copy and Switching Costs

The tech industry is moving to “zero-copy data processing,” which means running analysis directly on the data’s location. This is perfect for Snowflake because its core design separates computing power from storage. This architecture is efficient for AI (reducing movement and speeding things up) and creates strong switching costs, making it very difficult for customers to leave the Snowflake platform once their data is standardized there.

Becoming an “Enterprise App Store”

Snowflake is also looking to becoming an “enterprise app store” using its Native App Framework. This framework allows developers to build and sell AI-powered software that runs directly inside the customer’s Snowflake account. This model creates a network effect: the more developers build on Snowflake, the more valuable the platform becomes, leading to higher valuations and bigger margins for the company.

Democratizing Data with Snowflake Intelligence

The newest component of the strategy is Snowflake Intelligence, the company’s enterprise AI agent. The company says that it has seen the fastest adoption ramp in Snowflake’s history—and for good reason. It gives business users a natural-language interface to query data, automate decisions, generate insights, and trigger workflows without needing to write code. This turns Snowflake from a backend database into an AI-powered decision layer. It also widens the user base, increases consumption, and makes the platform harder to switch out of.

Is Snowflake a Buy?

Snowflake is one of the few companies well positioned to benefit from the surge in enterprise AI workloads. Growth has slowed, but margins could improve as the company builds more AI tools and applications on top of its core platform. Earnings are expected to grow over 35% next year, ahead of revenue growth of about 24%. Even so, the valuation leaves little room for mistakes, and competition from Databricks and the major cloud providers remains strong.

A key reason the long-term story still works is Snowflake’s consumption-based billing model. As companies run more AI queries, build more models, and automate more tasks on Snowflake, usage goes up—and revenue rises directly with it. That’s why products like Snowflake Intelligence and Native Apps matter: they encourage customers to do more inside Snowflake, which can gradually push consumption higher even if headline customer growth slows. Over time, higher consumption per customer can re-accelerate overall revenue growth, especially as AI workloads become larger and more frequent.

For long-term investors who can tolerate volatility, the overall setup remains attractive. For valuation-sensitive buyers, waiting for a better entry point should make sense.

Separately, if you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock such as SNOW, consider the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all three — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.

 

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