D-Wave Quantum Stock To $18?

QBTS: D-Wave Quantum logo
QBTS
D-Wave Quantum

D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) stock has fallen by 21.4% in less than a month, from $32.19 on 22nd Dec, 2025 to $25.29 now. What comes next? We think that the stock could fall even more. The current correction, when put in context of our Unattractive opinion of the stock, suggest possibility of further downside. A price of $18 is not out of question, especially considering that the stock has seen this level in the last 5 years. Read Buy or Sell D-Wave Quantum Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.

So should you wait before buying this dip? Perhaps. There is no perfect way to time the dips. Nevertheless, here is another perspective on QBTS stock to help you make the decision. There is only one past instance where it dipped sharply, and returned -2.1% during the subsequent 12-month period, with peak return reaching 0.0%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 30% or more, in less than 30 day period.

Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.

 
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
 

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Period Past Median Return
1M -2.1%
3M -2.1%
6M -2.1%
12M -2.1%

 
Historical Dip-Wise Details
 
LB had 1 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered

  • 0% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
  • 0 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
  • -2.1% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

30 Day Dip LB Subsequent Performance
Date LB SPY 1Y Peak
Return
Max
Drop
# Days
to Peak
Median     -2% 0% -2% 0
12242025 -38% 1% -2% 0% -2% 0

 
D-Wave Quantum Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks

Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Quality Metrics Value Quality Check
Revenue Growth (LTM) 96.7% Pass
Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) 61.8% Pass
Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) 64.4% Pass
Leverage (see below) Pass
=> Interest Coverage Ratio 3.3  
=> Cash To Interest Expense Ratio 0.9  

Not sure if you can take a call on QBTS stock? Consider portfolio approach

Portfolios Over Individual Stock Picks

Individual stocks are unpredictable. A smart portfolio keeps you invested, limits downside shocks, and provides upside exposure

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.