D-Wave Quantum (QBTS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.35 | Market Cap: $8.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
D-Wave Quantum (QBTS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.35Market Cap: $8.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 156% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -355% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Chips, AI Software Platforms, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 350x | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 183% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -214%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -228% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 244% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 158% | ||
| Key risksQBTS key risks include [1] significant ongoing losses and a critical dependence on external capital to fund operations, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 156% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Chips, AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -355% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 350x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 183% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -214%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -228% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 244% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 158% |
| Key risksQBTS key risks include [1] significant ongoing losses and a critical dependence on external capital to fund operations, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
QBTS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Increased Bookings.** D-Wave Quantum reported a 100% year-over-year increase in revenue to $3.7 million for Q3 2025, beating analyst estimates with a smaller net loss of $0.05 per share. The company also announced a significant increase in bookings, including a €10 million contract for its Advantage2 annealing quantum computer in Italy, signaling growing commercial traction.
**2. Accelerated Commercial Adoption and Advancement of Advantage2 System.** The company's Advantage2 quantum computing system saw increased adoption, with customers transitioning from exploratory proofs-of-concept to multi-year commitments. An operational launch of the Advantage2 system for the U.S. government was also noted, highlighting the practical application of its quantum technology.
**3. Positive Analyst Coverage and Raised Price Targets.** Multiple investment firms initiated or reiterated "Buy" or "Outperform" ratings for D-Wave Quantum, significantly increasing their price targets. For example, Canaccord Genuity raised its price objective to $41, and Jefferies initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a $45 price target, reflecting strong analyst confidence in the company's future.
**4. Boost from Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut and Sector Optimism.** The Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut of 2025 in September channeled more capital into innovative sectors like quantum computing. This macroeconomic tailwind, combined with a general optimistic sentiment around quantum technology, supported D-Wave's stock momentum during this period.
**5. Significant Market Volatility and Investor Re-evaluation.** Despite positive developments, the stock experienced substantial volatility, including a surge to an all-time high of $46.75 in October 2025. This was followed by a sharp decline to $18.60 by late November due to concerns about overvaluation and investor re-evaluation of the company's path to profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| QBTS Return | � | � | � | -39% | 854% | 204% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | 87% | 355% | 39% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| QBTS Win Rate | � | � | 25% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | 36% | 60% | 60% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| QBTS Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -71% | -22% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -14% | -18% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IONQ, RGTI, IBM, GOOGL, MSFT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | QBTS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2906.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 738 days | 464 days |
Compare to BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX
In The Past
D-Wave Quantum's stock fell -96.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/9/2022. A -96.7% loss requires a 2906.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| D-Wave Quantum Stock Surged 60%, Here's Why | |||
| D-Wave Quantum Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| Day 7 of Gains Streak for D-Wave Quantum Stock with 68% Return (vs. 220% YTD) [9/21/2025] | Notification | ||
| QBTS Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Why D-Wave Quantum Stock Jumped 60%? | December 4th, 2025 | ||
| Is D-Wave Quantum Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| How D-Wave Quantum Stock Gained 70% | November 7th, 2025 | ||
| QuantumScape vs D-Wave Quantum: Which Is the Better Pick? | October 29th, 2025 | ||
| Can D-Wave Quantum Stock Really Hit $60? Breaking Down the Bull Case | October 24th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to QBTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for D-Wave Quantum
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 171.29 |
| Mkt Cap | 148.4 |
| Rev LTM | 32,741 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,732 |
| FCF LTM | 5,899 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,847 |
| CFO LTM | 6,716 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,722 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -168.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -292.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -96.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -139.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -105.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -166.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 148.4 |
| P/S | 120.0 |
| P/EBIT | 19.3 |
| P/E | 5.6 |
| P/CFO | -26.8 |
| Total Yield | -0.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 33.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 44.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 624.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 35.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 496.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -8.5% | -14.9% | -8.3% |
| 3/13/2025 | 18.7% | 82.1% | 23.7% |
| 11/14/2024 | 5.1% | -6.2% | 180.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | -1.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% |
| 3/28/2024 | -2.9% | -4.8% | -31.4% |
| 11/9/2023 | -17.0% | 4.3% | 22.4% |
| 7/21/2023 | -1.2% | -12.9% | -42.7% |
| 4/14/2023 | -23.3% | -6.8% | -36.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| # Negative | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 7.6% | 23.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -9.8% | -25.9% |
| Max Positive | 18.7% | 82.1% | 180.9% |
| Max Negative | -23.3% | -22.4% | -42.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5192023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4182023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 7132022 | 424B3 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 4182023 | 10-Q/A 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |