D-Wave Quantum (QBTS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $26.4 | Market Cap: $9.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
D-Wave Quantum (QBTS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $26.4Market Cap: $9.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 156% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -355% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Chips, AI Software Platforms, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 350x | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 739% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -214%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -228% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 244% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 165% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 156% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Chips, AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -355% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 350x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 739% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -214%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -228% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 244% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 165% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
QBTS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the 60.6% stock movement of D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: D-Wave Quantum reported its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an earnings per share (EPS) of ($0.05), beating the consensus estimate of ($0.07). Revenue for the quarter reached $3.74 million, surpassing analysts' expectations of $3.03 million and representing a significant year-over-year increase of 105.6%.
2. Formation of U.S. Government Business Unit: On December 2 and 3, 2025, D-Wave announced the establishment of a new business unit dedicated to expanding the adoption of its quantum computing products and services within the U.S. government. This strategic initiative, led by Jack Sears Jr., aims to address national security, defense, and infrastructure challenges, signaling a focused effort to secure substantial government contracts and drive growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| QBTS Return | - | - | - | -39% | 854% | 168% | 1463% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 35% | -21% | 43% | 18% | 50% | 241% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| QBTS Win Rate | - | - | 25% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 42% | 18% | 45% | 38% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| QBTS Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -71% | -22% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -4% | -25% | -3% | -5% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | QBTS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2906.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 738 days | 464 days |
Compare to BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX
In The Past
D-Wave Quantum's stock fell -96.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/9/2022. A -96.7% loss requires a 2906.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| D-Wave Quantum Stock Surged 60%, Here's Why | |||
| With D-Wave Quantum Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| Day 7 of Gains Streak for D-Wave Quantum Stock with 68% Return (vs. 220% YTD) [9/21/2025] | Notification | ||
| QBTS Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Why D-Wave Quantum Stock Jumped 60%? | December 4th, 2025 | ||
| Is D-Wave Quantum Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| How D-Wave Quantum Stock Gained 70% | November 7th, 2025 | ||
| QuantumScape vs D-Wave Quantum: Which Is the Better Pick? | October 29th, 2025 | ||
| Can D-Wave Quantum Stock Really Hit $60? Breaking Down the Bull Case | October 24th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to QBTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for D-Wave Quantum
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 79.35 |
| Mkt Cap | 73.1 |
| Rev LTM | 9,097 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,915 |
| FCF LTM | 818 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 703 |
| CFO LTM | 1,083 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 981 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 29.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 73.1 |
| P/S | 7.4 |
| P/EBIT | 19.4 |
| P/E | 25.7 |
| P/CFO | 23.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 47.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 40.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 92.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 329.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 35.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 25.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 77.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 263.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5192023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4182023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 7132022 | 424B3 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 4182023 | 10-Q/A 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |