PM Stock Surges 12% With A 7-day Winning Spree On Investment News
Philip Morris International (PM) – a manufacturer and seller of cigarettes and smoke-free nicotine products – hit 7-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 12%. The company market cap has surged by about $29 Bil over the last 7 days, and currently stands at $270 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 8.2% compared to 1.4% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Major U.S. Investment Announcement
- Ten-Year Tally: Philip Morris International Stock Delivers $75 Bil Gain
- Buy or Sell Philip Morris Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?
- PM Has Returned $74 Bil To Shareholders In A Decade
- PM Has Paid Out $74 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade
- PM Stock Up 5.6% after 5-Day Win Streak
- PM Stock Down -13% after 5-Day Loss Streak
- Over $20B invested since 2022
- Focus on U.S. manufacturing and infrastructure
- Impact: Sustained Institutional Accumulation, Increased Investor Confidence
[2] Broadly Positive Analyst Ratings
- 14 Wall Street analysts rate as “Buy”
- Consensus “Strong Buy” rating
- Impact: Reinforced Bullish Sentiment, Price Target Upside
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There are only a couple of things to fear in PM stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. This is aligned with the stock’s High valuation because of which we think it is Fairly Priced (For details, see Buy or Sell PM).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this 12% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To catch the next winner before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has flagged 5 new opportunities that haven not surged yet.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for PM stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | PM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 0.6% | -0.1% |
| 7D (Current Streak) | 11.9% | 0.3% |
| 1M (21D) | 10.9% | 2.1% |
| 3M (63D) | 12.3% | 4.7% |
| YTD 2026 | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| 2025 | 38.0% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 34.3% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | -1.9% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has PM behaved after prior drops? See PM Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 102 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 49 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 38 | 16 |
| 4D | 17 | 11 |
| 5D | 22 | 12 |
| 6D | 0 | 5 |
| 7D or more | 25 | 5 |
| Total >=3 D | 102 | 49 |
Key Financials for Philip Morris International (PM)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $35.2 Bil | $37.9 Bil |
| Operating Income | $12.2 Bil | $13.4 Bil |
| Net Income | $7.8 Bil | $7.1 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $10.1 Bil | $10.8 Bil |
| Operating Income | $3.8 Bil | $4.3 Bil |
| Net Income | $3.0 Bil | $3.5 Bil |
While PM stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.