Is Fair Isaac a Better Buy Than Oracle?

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Trefis
ORCL: Oracle logo
ORCL
Oracle

Oracle surged 6.5% during the past Day. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Fair Isaac gives you more. Fair Isaac (FICO) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Oracle (ORCL) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in FICO

  • FICO’s quarterly revenue growth was 38.7%, vs. ORCL’s 21.7%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 22.6%, ahead of ORCL’s 14.9%.
  • FICO leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 50.9% and 3-year average of 46.0%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how ORCL’s fundamentals stack up against those of FICO on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: ORCL Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

  ORCL FICO Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 23.9 21.3 FICO
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 21.7% 38.7% FICO
Last 12 Months 14.9% 22.6% FICO
Last 3 Year Average 10.2% 16.7% FICO
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 32.3% 50.9% FICO
Last 3 Year Average 31.2% 46.0% FICO
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 87.6% 38.8% ORCL

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

Relevant Articles
  1. 5 Catalysts to Monitor Over In The Next 2 Quarters For ORCL Stock
  2. Stronger Bet Than Oracle Stock: FICO, INTU Deliver More
  3. What Could Drive ORCL Stock Higher?
  4. Oracle Stock Testing Price Floor – Buy Now?
  5. How Low Can ORCL Really Go In A Market Crash?
  6. 3 Key Risks That Could Drag Down Oracle Stock

See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell FICO Stock and Buy or Sell ORCL Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
ORCL Return 37% -5% 31% 60% 18% -17% 169%   <===
FICO Return -15% 38% 94% 71% -15% -39% 101%    
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 5% 92%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
ORCL Win Rate 58% 33% 58% 58% 50% 50%   51%  
FICO Win Rate 50% 42% 83% 75% 50% 0%   50%  
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 50%   62% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
ORCL Max Drawdown -6% -29% 0% -3% -26% -30%   -16%  
FICO Max Drawdown -32% -21% -2% -5% -34% -45%   -23%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -7%   -9% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read FICO Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about ORCL or FICO? Consider portfolio approach.

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