NOC’s 9.4% Single Day Rise Brings Valuations Into Focus – Is LMT a Better Deal?
LMT offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation.
- LMT’s quarterly revenue grew 4.5%, vs. NOC’s -6.6%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months growth came in at 3.1%, ahead of NOC’s 0.6%.
- LMT leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 10.3% and 3-year average of 11.8%.
That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure
Valuation & Performance Overview
| NOC | LMT | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 20.2 | 13.1 | LMT |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | -6.6% | 4.5% | LMT |
| Last 12 Months | 0.6% | 3.1% | LMT |
| Last 3 Year Average | 4.6% | 3.0% | NOC |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 10.0% | 10.3% | LMT |
| Last 3 Year Average | 8.9% | 11.8% | LMT |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 31.0% | 12.7% | NOC |
See more revenue details: NOC Revenue Comparison | LMT Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: NOC Operating Income Comparison | LMT Operating Income Comparison
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Historical Market Performance
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| NOC Return | -10% | 29% | 43% | -13% | 2% | 13% | 66% | ||
| LMT Return | -6% | 3% | 40% | -4% | 10% | -2% | 41% | ||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 7% | 94% | <=== | |
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| NOC Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 53% | ||
| LMT Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 33% | 50% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 61% | <=== | |
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| NOC Max Drawdown | -21% | -6% | -4% | -22% | -9% | -8% | -12% | <=== | |
| LMT Max Drawdown | -28% | -9% | -0% | -17% | -8% | -13% | -13% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -12% | ||
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year