GOOGL Stock Surges 6.9% With A 5-day Winning Spree On Multiple Analyst Upgrades
Alphabet (GOOGL) stock hit day 5-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 6.9%. The company market cap has surged by about $261 Bil over the last 5 days, and currently stands at $4.1 Tril.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 7.3% compared to 1.7% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Broad-Based Analyst Price Target Hikes
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- Multiple Target Increases During Streak
- Bullish AI-driven Outlook From Analysts
- Impact: Heightened Investor Confidence, Sustained Buying Pressure
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in GOOGL stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. But given its Very High valuation, the stock appears Relatively Expensive (For details, see Buy or Sell GOOGL).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for GOOGL stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | GOOGL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 1.2% | -0.2% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | 6.9% | 0.3% |
| 1M (21D) | 7.5% | 0.9% |
| 3M (63D) | 37.7% | 4.6% |
| YTD 2026 | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| 2025 | 66.0% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 36.0% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 58.3% | 24.2% |
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 91 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 75 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 26 | 62 |
| 4D | 54 | 7 |
| 5D | 6 | 6 |
| 6D | 3 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 2 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 91 | 75 |
Key Financials for Alphabet (GOOGL)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $307.4 Bil | $350.0 Bil |
| Operating Income | $84.3 Bil | $112.4 Bil |
| Net Income | $73.8 Bil | $100.1 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $96.4 Bil | $102.3 Bil |
| Operating Income | $31.3 Bil | $31.2 Bil |
| Net Income | $28.2 Bil | $35.0 Bil |
While GOOGL stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.