NKE Jumps 17% in a Month, But Does GIL Offer Better Fundamentals?

+9.14%
Upside
65.69
Market
71.70
Trefis
NKE: Nike logo
NKE
Nike

  • GIL shows consistent positive revenue growth with 2.3% last quarter and 3.1% over the last 12 months, while NKE’s revenue declined by 9.3% last quarter and 7.3% over the last 12 months.
  • GIL’s margin of 19.5% in the last 12 months outperforms NKE’s 10.3%, indicating stronger profitability.
  • At a valuation of 12.1x P/EBIT, GIL is priced more attractively compared to NKE’s 21.8x multiple.

That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Valuation & Performance Overview

NKE GIL Preferred
Valuation
P/EBIT Ratio 21.8 12.1 GIL
Revenue Growth
Last Quarter -9.3% 2.3% GIL
Last 12 Months -7.3% 3.1% GIL
Last 3 Year Average -5.0% 2.8% GIL
Margins
Last 12 Months 10.3% 19.5% GIL
Last 3 Year Average 11.4% 18.7% GIL
Momentum
Last 3 Year Return -27.5% 105.0% GIL

Historical Market Performance

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
NKE Return 41% 19% -29% -6% -29% -0% -19%
GIL Return -4% 53% -34% 24% 45% 10% 89%
S&P 500 Return 16% 27% -19% 24% 23% 7% 94% <===
Monthly Win Rates [3]
NKE Win Rate 50% 50% 33% 58% 42% 67% 50%
GIL Win Rate 67% 75% 25% 50% 67% 83% 61%
S&P 500 Win Rate 58% 75% 42% 67% 75% 50% 61% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
NKE Max Drawdown -38% -10% -50% -23% -34% -29% -31%
GIL Max Drawdown -65% -11% -37% 0% -5% -20% -23%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -31% -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -12% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

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