NEM Stock Surges 11% With A 5-day Winning Spree On Scotiabank’s $152 Target
Newmont (NEM) – a gold production and exploration company with diversified mineral interests – hit 5-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 11%. The company market cap has surged by about $14 Bil over the last 5 days, and currently stands at $145 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 32.1% compared to 1.9% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Scotiabank PT Hike To $152
- Price Target Raised 33%
- Outperform Rating Confirmed
- Impact: Stock Jumped 3,9, Helped Set New 52-Week High
[2] Record Gold Prices
- Gold Shattered $5,100 Per Ounce
- Mounting Geopolitical Uncertainties
- Impact: Broad Gains Across Gold Mining Sector, Strengthened Profit Margin Outlook
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in NEM stock given its overall Very Strong operating performance and financial condition. This isn’t appropriately reflected in the stock’s Moderate valuation which is why we think it is Attractive (For details, see Buy or Sell NEM).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this 11% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To catch the next winner before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has flagged 5 new opportunities that haven not surged yet.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for NEM stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | NEM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 3.9% | -0.0% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | 11.0% | 1.5% |
| 1M (21D) | 24.7% | 0.7% |
| 3M (63D) | 68.3% | 1.5% |
| YTD 2026 | 32.1% | 1.9% |
| 2025 | 172.8% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | -7.8% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | -8.8% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has NEM behaved after prior drops? See NEM Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 55 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 80 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 36 | 38 |
| 4D | 7 | 24 |
| 5D | 4 | 15 |
| 6D | 6 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 2 | 3 |
| Total >=3 D | 55 | 80 |
Key Financials for Newmont (NEM)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $11.8 Bil | $18.7 Bil |
| Operating Income | $708.0 Mil | $5.9 Bil |
| Net Income | $-2.5 Bil | $3.3 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $5.3 Bil | $5.5 Bil |
| Operating Income | $2.4 Bil | $2.6 Bil |
| Net Income | $2.1 Bil | $1.8 Bil |
While NEM stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.