Medtronic Stock Hands $28 Bil Back – Worth a Look?

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Medtronic

In the last five years, Medtronic (MDT) stock has returned $28 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, MDT stock has returned the 68th highest amount to shareholders in history.

  MDT S&P Median
Dividends $18 Bil $3.0 Bil
Share Repurchase $9.7 Bil $3.0 Bil
Total Returned $28 Bil $6.0 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 26.2% 16.6%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more stocks like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Stocks By Total Shareholder Return

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  Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $514 Bil 13.1% $75 Bil $439 Bil
GOOGL $296 Bil 7.4% $17 Bil $279 Bil
MSFT $223 Bil 7.1% $105 Bil $118 Bil
JPM $176 Bil 20.6% $71 Bil $105 Bil
META $159 Bil 9.4% $10 Bil $149 Bil
XOM $152 Bil 24.1% $79 Bil $73 Bil
BAC $125 Bil 31.6% $45 Bil $80 Bil
CVX $112 Bil 30.2% $57 Bil $55 Bil
WFC $105 Bil 41.2% $22 Bil $83 Bil
NVDA $96 Bil 2.0% $3.0 Bil $93 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Stocks like Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for MDT. (see Buy or Sell Medtronic Stock for more details)

Medtronic Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 6.9% LTM and 4.9% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 15.2% free cash flow margin and 18.6% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for MDT was 2.7%.
  • Valuation: Medtronic stock trades at a P/E multiple of 22.8

  MDT S&P Median
Sector Health Care
Industry Health Care Equipment
PE Ratio 22.8 24.3

   
LTM* Revenue Growth 6.9% 6.8%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 4.9% 5.5%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y 2.7% 0.4%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 18.6% 18.6%
3Y Average Operating Margin 18.5% 18.1%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 15.2% 14.2%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

The table gives a good overview of what you get from MDT stock, but what about the risk?

MDT Historical Risk

Medtronic isn’t immune to big drops. It fell about 36% in the Dot-Com crash and almost 57% in the Global Financial Crisis. The 2018 correction knocked it down 17%, while COVID pulled it nearly 40% off its peak. Even the inflation shock in 2022 caused a 45% decline. Strong fundamentals matter, but when the market sells off hard, Medtronic feels the pain too.

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, and outlook changes. Read MDT Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.