YUMC, DRI Look Smarter Buy Than McDonald’s Stock

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Trefis
MCD: McDonald's logo
MCD
McDonald's

YUMC, DRI are McDonald’s’s peers in Restaurants industry that have:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to McDonald’s stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying YUMC, DRI stocks vs. MCD stock

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Relevant Articles
  1. Why YUMC, DRI Could Outperform McDonald’s Stock
  2. Stronger Bet Than McDonald’s Stock: DRI, YUMC Deliver More
  3. A Decade of Rewards: $81 Bil From McDonald’s Stock
  4. Better Value & Growth: DRI, YUMC Lead McDonald’s Stock
  5. DRI, YUMC Look Smarter Buy Than McDonald’s Stock
  6. Better Value, Bigger Growth: DRI, YUMC Top McDonald’s Stock

Key Metrics Compared

Metric MCD YUMC DRI
P/OpInc* 18.2x 14.1x 13.9x
LTM OpInc Growth 2.6% 15.7% 7.3%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 6.1% 50.1% 9.5%
LTM Revenue Growth 1.2% 3.5% 8.3%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 4.2% 5.9% 8.2%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell MCD Stock to see if McDonald’s still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, McDonald’s (MCD) operates and franchises fast-food restaurants worldwide, offering a variety of burgers, chicken items, sides, desserts, and beverages through over 40,000 locations.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if McDonald’s stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for McDonald’s in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for McDonald’s would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric MCD YUMC DRI
P/OpInc* 16.9x 14.1x 13.2x
LTM OpInc Growth 2.2% 13.2% 6.7%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 5.7% 27.8% 7.5%
LTM Revenue Growth 1.2% 2.8% 6.0%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 3.4% 4.5% 7.8%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric MCD YUMC DRI
P/S 8.4x 1.6x 1.6x
Market Cap (Current) $ 220.5 Bil $ 17.9 Bil $ 20.4 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 26.26 Bil $ 11.43 Bil $ 12.36 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 12.11 Bil $ 1.27 Bil $ 1.47 Bil
LTM Op Margin 46.1% 11.1% 11.9%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index.