Mastercard Stock Delivers $63 Bil to Shareholders Over the Last 10 Years

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MA: Mastercard logo
MA
Mastercard

In the last decade, Mastercard (MA) stock has returned a notable $63 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, MA stock has returned the 39th highest amount to shareholders in history.

MA S&P Median
Dividends $0.0 $4.5 Bil
Share Repurchase $63 Bil $5.5 Bil
Total Returned $63 Bil $9.1 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 12.0% 25.3%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more stocks like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Single stock can be risky, but there is a huge value to a broader diversified approach. If you seek an upside with less volatility than holding an individual stock, consider the High Quality Portfolio (HQ) – HQ has outperformed its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index, and achieved returns exceeding 91% since its inception. Risk management is key – consider, what could long-term portfolio performance be if you blended 10% commodities, 10% gold, and 2% crypto with HQ’s performance metrics.

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Top 10 Stocks By Total Shareholder Return

Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $847 Bil 22.2% $141 Bil $706 Bil
MSFT $364 Bil 9.3% $165 Bil $199 Bil
GOOGL $343 Bil 11.5% $12 Bil $331 Bil
XOM $212 Bil 42.9% $145 Bil $67 Bil
WFC $208 Bil 79.4% $59 Bil $150 Bil
JPM $174 Bil 20.3% $0.0 $174 Bil
META $167 Bil 9.3% $6.4 Bil $160 Bil
ORCL $161 Bil 20.0% $34 Bil $126 Bil
JNJ $157 Bil 34.4% $104 Bil $52 Bil
CVX $153 Bil 57.3% $97 Bil $55 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Stocks like Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for MA. (see Buy or Sell Mastercard Stock for more details)

Mastercard Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 13.1% LTM and 13.5% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 49.2% free cash flow margin and 58.0% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for MA was 12.6%.
  • Valuation: Mastercard stock trades at a P/E multiple of 39.9
  • Opportunity vs S&P: Compared to S&P, you get higher valuation, higher revenue growth, and better margins

 

MA S&P Median
Sector Financials
Industry Transaction & Payment Processing Services
PE Ratio 39.9 24.0

LTM* Revenue Growth 13.1% 5.2%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 13.5% 5.3%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y 12.6% -0.1%

LTM* Operating Margin 58.0% 18.6%
3Y Average Operating Margin 58.0% 17.8%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 49.2% 13.3%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

That’s a good overview, but evaluating a stock from an investment perspective involves much more. That is exactly what Trefis High Quality Portfolio does. It is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure.

MA Historical Risk

That said, Mastercard isn’t immune to big drops. It lost about 63% in the Global Financial Crisis, 41% during the Covid pandemic, and nearly 28% in the Inflation Shock. Even the 2018 correction knocked it down more than 21%. Strong fundamentals matter, but when the market turns, dips of 20% or more aren’t unusual, even for solid names like MA.

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, and outlook changes. Read MA Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.