Better Bet Than Mastercard Stock: Pay Less To Get More From FOUR
FOUR is MA’s peer in Transaction & Payment Processing Services industry that has:
1) Lower valuation (P/EBIT) compared to MA
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth
This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying FOUR stock vs. MA
Key Metrics Compared
- Mastercard Stock Pays Out $64 Bil – Investors Take Note
- Why Does Mastercard Want To Buy ZeroHash?
- How Will Mastercard Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
- Mastercard Stock Delivers $63 Bil to Shareholders Over the Last 10 Years
- MA Has Paid Out $63 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade
- Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High
| Metric | MA | FOUR |
|---|---|---|
| P/OpInc* | 30.0x | 29.5x |
| LTM OpInc Growth | 12.3% | 60.4% |
| 3Y Avg OpInc Growth | 15.3% | 149.3% |
| LTM Revenue Growth | 13.1% | 29.9% |
| 3Y Avg Revenue Growth | 13.5% | 34.8% |
OpInc = Operating Income, P/EBIT = Price To Operating Income Ratio
This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure
Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary
One way to check if Mastercard stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Mastercard in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Mastercard would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon
Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior
| Metric | MA | FOUR |
|---|---|---|
| P/OpInc* | 25x | 22.2x |
| LTM OpInc Growth | 11.6% | 52.3% |
| 3Y Avg OpInc Growth | 17.0% | 239.2% |
| LTM Revenue Growth | 12.2% | 31.4% |
| 3Y Avg Revenue Growth | 14.3% | 39.3% |
OpInc = Operating Income
Additional Metrics To Consider
| Metric | MA | FOUR |
|---|---|---|
| P/S | 17.4x | 2.2x |
| Market Cap (Current) | $ 505.8 Bil | $ 7.4 Bil |
| LTM Revenue | $ 29.07 Bil | $ 3.33 Bil |
| LTM Opinc | $ 16.87 Bil | $ 251.00 Mil |
| LTM Op Margin | 58.0% | 7.5% |
OpInc = Operating Income
Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.