Casey’s General Stores or Kroger: Which Stock Has More Upside?

KR: Kroger logo
KR
Kroger

Kroger surged 5.3% during the past Day. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Casey’s General Stores gives you more. Casey’s General Stores (CASY) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Kroger (KR) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in CASY

  • CASY’s quarterly revenue growth was 14.2%, vs. KR’s 1.2%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 13.3%, ahead of KR’s 0.3%.
  • CASY leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 5.3% and 3-year average of 5.0%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how KR’s fundamentals stack up against those of CASY on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: KR Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

KR CASY Preferred
Valuation
P/EBIT Ratio 30.1 27.8 CASY
Revenue Growth
Last Quarter 1.2% 14.2% CASY
Last 12 Months 0.3% 13.3% CASY
Last 3 Year Average 0.2% 4.5% CASY
Operating Margins
Last 12 Months 1.3% 5.3% CASY
Last 3 Year Average 1.9% 5.0% CASY
Momentum
Last 3 Year Return 66.3% 219.7% CASY

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: KR Revenue Comparison | CASY Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: KR Operating Income Comparison | CASY Operating Income Comparison

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell CASY Stock and Buy or Sell KR Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
KR Return 45% 0% 5% 37% 4% 9% 139%
CASY Return 11% 14% 23% 45% 40% 24% 295% <===
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 0% 83%
Monthly Win Rates [3]
KR Win Rate 75% 42% 50% 58% 50% 67% 57%
CASY Win Rate 75% 67% 67% 75% 58% 67% 68% <===
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 33% 60%
Max Drawdowns [4]
KR Max Drawdown -1% -6% -3% -2% -5% -5% -4% <===
CASY Max Drawdown -1% -13% -8% -1% -4% 0% -4%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -1% -7%

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/5/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read CASY Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about KR or CASY? Consider portfolio approach.

Portfolios Beat Stock Picking

Stocks can jump or crash but long term success comes from staying invested. The right portfolio helps you ride gains and cushion single stock drops.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? HQ Portfolio has posted more than 105% in cumulative return since inception, with less risk versus the benchmark index, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.