Intel Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go?
Intel (INTC) stock is down 7.4% in a day. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around Intel retaining its networking and communications unit, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?
Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Intel stands today.
- Size: Intel is a $183 Bil company with $53 Bil in revenue currently trading at $40.50.
- Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of -1.5% and operating margin of -0.2%.
- Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.31 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.15
- Valuation: Intel stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 764.9 and P/EBIT multiple of 53.0
- Has returned (median) -0.2% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See INTC Dip Buy Analysis.
These metrics point to a Weak operational performance, alongside Moderate valuation – making the stock Unattractive. For details, see Buy or Sell INTC Stock
That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is INTC stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose INTC stock falls another 20-30% to $28 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.
2022 Inflation Shock
- INTC stock fell 63.3% from a high of $68.26 on 9 April 2021 to $25.04 on 11 October 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
- The stock is yet to recover to its pre-Crisis high
- The highest the stock has reached since then is $50.76 on 27 December 2023 , and currently trades at $40.50
| INTC | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -63.3% | -25.4% |
| Time to Full Recovery | Not Fully Recovered | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic
- INTC stock fell 34.8% from a high of $68.47 on 24 January 2020 to $44.61 on 16 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
- The stock is yet to recover to its pre-Crisis high
| INTC | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -34.8% | -33.9% |
| Time to Full Recovery | Not Fully Recovered | 148 days |
2018 Correction
- INTC stock fell 26.1% from a high of $58.82 on 22 April 2019 to $43.46 on 3 June 2019 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 26 November 2019
| INTC | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 176 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis
- INTC stock fell 56.8% from a high of $27.98 on 6 December 2007 to $12.08 on 23 February 2009 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 26 March 2012
| INTC | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -56.8% | -56.8% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 1127 days | 1480 days |
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