How Intel Stock Gained 150%
Intel (INTC)’s stock skyrocketed 154%, fueled less by revenue and more by soaring valuation—sparked by a financial turnaround, strides in AI acceleration, and strategic government backing. What’s really driving this surge? Let’s unpack the powerful forces behind the rally.
Below is an analytical breakdown of stock movement into key contributing metrics.
| 1142025 | 1142026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.2 | 48.7 | 153.8% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 54,247.0 | 53,439.0 | -1.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.5 | 4.1 | 170.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 4,292.0 | 4,514.0 | -5.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 153.1% |
So what is happening here? The stock soared 154%, driven by a 171% surge in valuation despite a slight 1.5% dip in revenue. Let’s dive into the underlying moves fueling these shifts.
Here Is Why Intel Stock Moved
- Financial Turnaround: New CEO, cost cuts, and Q3 2025 profitability reversed declines. Q4 2025 earnings expected soon.
- Foundry Progress: Improvements in 18A process yields & securing Apple as a customer boosted Intel Foundry Services.
- AI PC Market Growth: Launch of new Core Ultra processors and focus on AI PCs drove market optimism in 2025.
- AI Accelerator Momentum: Gaudi 3 expansion and strategic partnerships for AI chips fueled investor confidence.
- Government Funding: Significant U.S. CHIPS Act grants supported manufacturing and R&D investments.
Our Current Assesment Of INTC Stock
Opinion: We currently find INTC stock unattractive. Why so? Have a look at the full story. Read Buy or Sell INTC Stock to see what drives our current opinion.
Risk: A solid way to gauge Intel’s risk is by checking its drops during major market sell-offs. It lost around 74% in the Dot-Com crash, 55% in the Global Financial Crisis, and 62% during the inflation shock. Even in less severe turmoil, like the 2018 correction and the Covid pandemic, it still fell 25% and 35%, respectively. Good fundamentals matter, but when the market turns, Intel isn’t immune to sharp declines.
INTC stock may have seen strong gains recently, but investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.