5-Day Rally Sends Dow Stock Up 14%
Dow (DOW) stock hit day 5 of a continuous streak of days with gains, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 14% return. The company has gained about $2.0 Bil in value over the last 5 days, with its current market capitalization at about $16 Bil. The stock remains 37.1% below its value at the end of 2024. This compares with year-to-date returns of 15.8% for the S&P 500.
Dow’s recent streak saw strong gains, fueled by mounting confidence in imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts. This macro tailwind drove investors toward “real economy” industrials, with materials science bellwether Dow benefiting from the sector rotation and easing government fiscal uncertainty.
What is the point? Momentum often precedes conviction. A multi-day win streak can signal growing investor confidence or spark follow-on buying. Tracking such trends can help you ride the strength, or prepare for a well-timed entry if momentum fades. Our take: There is a lot to fear in DOW stock given its overall Very Weak operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Very Low valuation, we think that the stock is Unattractive (see Buy or Sell DOW).
For quick background, DOW provides advanced materials science solutions across packaging, infrastructure, coatings, and consumer care markets globally, including specialty plastics, industrial intermediates, performance materials, and insurance services.
Comparing DOW Stock Returns With The S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for DOW stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | DOW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | 13.8% | 4.2% |
| 1M (21D) | -4.1% | -1.1% |
| 3M (63D) | -3.2% | 5.5% |
| YTD 2025 | -37.1% | 15.8% |
| 2024 | -22.8% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 14.7% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | -6.6% | -19.4% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has DOW behaved after prior drops? See DOW Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 127 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 4 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 69 | 2 |
| 4D | 9 | 2 |
| 5D | 46 | 0 |
| 6D | 2 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 127 | 4 |
Key Financials for Dow (DOW)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $44.6 Bil | $43.0 Bil |
| Operating Income | $2.1 Bil | $1.9 Bil |
| Net Income | $589.0 Mil | $1.1 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $10.1 Bil | $10.0 Bil |
| Operating Income | $-15.0 Mil | $154.0 Mil |
| Net Income | $-835.0 Mil | $62.0 Mil |
While DOW stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.