CMG Stock Has Fallen 26%, Is It Time To Get In?

Chipotle Mexican Grill stock has fallen by 25.7% in less than a month, from levels of $56.00 on 7/11/2025 to $41.62 now. Should you buy this dip? Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips.
 
As it turns out, Chipotle Mexican Grill passes basic quality checks. However, it only has one past instance where it dipped sharply (>30% in 30 days), and returned 141% in one year and 157% as peak return subsequently. CMG founded in 1993, this company operates around 3,000 restaurants across the US, Canada, the UK, France, Germany, and Europe.

Price behaviour is one thing, but what do the fundamentals say? Read Buy or Sell CMG Stock to see the full picture.
 
That said, if you seek upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio presents an alternative – having outperformed the S&P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
 
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
 

 
Historical Dip-Wise Details
 
CMG had 1 events since 1/1/2020 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered

• 157% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
• 334 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
• -23% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

 
Chipotle Mexican Grill Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
 
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

 
Dip buying, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.