Stronger Bet Than Avis Budget Stock: UBER Delivers More

CAR: Avis Budget logo
CAR
Avis Budget

UBER is Avis Budget’s peer in Passenger Ground Transportation industry that has:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to Avis Budget stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying UBER stock vs. CAR stock

Key Metrics Compared

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Metric CAR UBER
P/OpInc* 78.7x 27.2x
LTM OpInc Growth -31.6% 98.8%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth -54.1% 137.2%
LTM Revenue Growth -1.8% 18.3%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth -4.2% 17.7%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell CAR Stock to see if Avis Budget still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, Avis Budget (CAR) provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and mobility solutions across multiple brands, serving both premium commercial and leisure travel segments worldwide.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if Avis Budget stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Avis Budget in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Avis Budget would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric CAR UBER
P/OpInc* -837x 33.4x
LTM OpInc Growth -100.4% 70.1%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth -68.4% 310.9%
LTM Revenue Growth -3.2% 18.2%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth -3.6% 19.6%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric CAR UBER
P/S 1.3x 2.9x
Market Cap (Current) $ 14.5 Bil $ 151.2 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 11.41 Bil $ 52.02 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 184.00 Mil $ 5.57 Bil
LTM Op Margin 1.6% 10.7%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed its benchmark – a combination of the S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index.