Tearsheet

Tesla (TSLA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $450.32 | Market Cap: $1.5 Tril
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Tesla (TSLA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $450.32
Market Cap: $1.5 Tril
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, Battery Technology & Metals, Automation & Robotics, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, Battery Technology & Metals, Automation & Robotics, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TSLA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Tesla's stock (TSLA) experienced a significant upward movement of approximately 33.8% from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. This surge can be attributed to several key factors. The stock's closing price on August 29, 2025, was $333.87, and it reached $446.88 by December 3, 2025.

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Record Deliveries. Tesla announced robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 22, 2025, reporting a 12% year-over-year increase in total revenue to $28.1 billion. The company achieved record vehicle deliveries globally, surpassing 497,000 units, and also saw record energy storage deployments. This strong operational performance, despite a 40% year-over-year decrease in operating income and a decline in gross margin, contributed positively to investor sentiment.

2. Significant Growth in Energy Storage and Supercharger Network. The Energy Generation & Storage segment demonstrated strong performance, with 12.5 GWh of energy storage products deployed in Q3 2025, an 81% year-over-year increase. The Supercharger network also continued to expand, adding over 3,500 net new stalls in Q3, growing 18% year-over-year. This diversification beyond automotive sales into the energy sector bolstered the company's growth prospects.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TSLA Return743%50%-65%102%63%6%1439%
Peers Return3%43%-34%26%-1%29%57%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TSLA Win Rate75%67%17%67%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate40%52%40%53%55%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TSLA Max Drawdown-14%-20%-69%-12%-43%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-3%-45%-16%-21%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GM, F, PCAR, RIVN, OSK. See TSLA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTSLAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven279.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven708 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven198 days120 days

Compare to GM, F, PCAR, RIVN, OSK


In The Past

Tesla's stock fell -73.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -73.6% loss requires a 279.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Tesla (TSLA)

Interactive Breakdown

Tesla Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TSLA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tesla

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TSLAGMFPCARRIVNOSKMedian
NameTesla General .Ford Mot.PACCAR Rivian A.Oshkosh  
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Growth & Margins

TSLAGMFPCARRIVNOSKMedian
NameTesla General .Ford Mot.PACCAR Rivian A.Oshkosh  
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Valuation

TSLAGMFPCARRIVNOSKMedian
NameTesla General .Ford Mot.PACCAR Rivian A.Oshkosh  
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Returns

TSLAGMFPCARRIVNOSKMedian
NameTesla General .Ford Mot.PACCAR Rivian A.Oshkosh  
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Automotive segment90,73877,55351,03429,54223,047
Energy generation and storage segment6,0353,9092,7891,9941,531
Total96,77381,46253,82331,53624,578


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity71,187,964
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.4%
Average Daily Volume88,063,249
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity3,227,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024130202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023129202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231023202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023724202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023424202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022131202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221024202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022725202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022425202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-K 12/31/2021