Safety Insurance (SAFT)
Market Price (7/24/2026): $102.75 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Safety Insurance (SAFT)
Market Price (7/24/2026): $102.75Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.7%, FCF Yield is 16% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -65% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Insurance. Themes include Digital Claims Processing, AI in Insurance Underwriting & Risk Assessment, and Climate Risk & Resilience in Insurance. | Key risksSAFT key risks include [1] a high geographical concentration of its business in the northeastern United States. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.7%, FCF Yield is 16% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -65% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Insurance. Themes include Digital Claims Processing, AI in Insurance Underwriting & Risk Assessment, and Climate Risk & Resilience in Insurance. |
| Key risksSAFT key risks include [1] a high geographical concentration of its business in the northeastern United States. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Safety Insurance (SAFT) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Disappointing Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings.
Safety Insurance Group reported a significant earnings per share (EPS) loss of $0.72 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), sharply missing analyst estimates for a $1.45 profit. This underperformance was primarily driven by severe winter weather events in January and February 2026, which resulted in $42.7 million in damages and contributed to an elevated combined ratio of 113.4%, compared to 99.4% in the comparable 2025 period.
2. Attractive and Stable Dividend Yield.
The company's consistent quarterly cash dividend of $0.92 per share, declared on May 6, 2026, translates to an annual dividend of $3.68 per share and an attractive yield of approximately 4.9% to 5.0% during the period. This high and stable dividend payout likely provided a floor for the stock price, attracting income-focused investors and helping to offset the negative impact of the Q1 earnings miss.
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Safety Insurance (SAFT) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Disappointing Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings.
Safety Insurance Group reported a significant earnings per share (EPS) loss of $0.72 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), sharply missing analyst estimates for a $1.45 profit. This underperformance was primarily driven by severe winter weather events in January and February 2026, which resulted in $42.7 million in damages and contributed to an elevated combined ratio of 113.4%, compared to 99.4% in the comparable 2025 period.
2. Attractive and Stable Dividend Yield.
The company's consistent quarterly cash dividend of $0.92 per share, declared on May 6, 2026, translates to an annual dividend of $3.68 per share and an attractive yield of approximately 4.9% to 5.0% during the period. This high and stable dividend payout likely provided a floor for the stock price, attracting income-focused investors and helping to offset the negative impact of the Q1 earnings miss.
3. Neutral Analyst Sentiment.
Analyst consensus during the period largely reflected a "Hold" rating for SAFT, with 12-month price targets hovering around $76.00. This neutral outlook, with some firms like Zacks Research and Wall Street Zen upgrading to "Hold" in May and June 2026, suggests that the market acknowledged both the company's challenges and its defensive qualities, leading to a balanced and generally stable stock valuation.
4. Mixed Property and Casualty Market Conditions.
The broader commercial property and casualty (P&C) insurance market experienced diverging trends in Q2 2026. While global commercial insurance rates declined by an average of 6% (with property rates falling 12% globally and 13% in the US), casualty rates saw a slight increase of 2%, particularly driven by challenges in the US. This mixed environment, characterized by abundant capacity and competition in property alongside persistent "social inflation" in casualty lines, created offsetting pressures that contributed to SAFT's relatively stable stock movement.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.7% change in SAFT stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 58.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 71.69 | 72.94 | 1.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,254 | 1,266 | 0.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.9% | 5.0% | -37.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.6 | 16.8 | 58.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 14 | 1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SAFT | 1.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.5% | -29.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.1% | 28.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.0% change in SAFT stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 75.98 | 72.94 | -4.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,223 | 1,266 | 3.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.1% | 5.0% | -30.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.8 | 16.8 | 30.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 14 | 1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SAFT | -4.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.5% | -17.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.5% | 21.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.4% change in SAFT stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 75.53 | 72.94 | -3.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,143 | 1,266 | 10.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.3% | 5.0% | -21.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.3 | 16.8 | 9.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 14 | 1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.4% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SAFT | -3.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.5% | -5.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.9% | 31.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.1% change in SAFT stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 57.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.29 | 72.94 | 17.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 805 | 1,266 | 57.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.3% | 5.0% | 52.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 34.7 | 16.8 | -51.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 14 | 1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SAFT | 17.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 72.4% | 13.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 73.1% | 42.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SAFT Return | 14% | 3% | -5% | 13% | -1% | -5% | 19% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 18% | 6% | 35% | 13% | 15% | 153% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SAFT Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 43% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 60% | 58% | 68% | 57% | 51% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SAFT Max Drawdown | -13% | -21% | -23% | -13% | -17% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -17% | -23% | -11% | -16% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: THG, TRV, ALL, PGR, CB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/23/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SAFT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -18.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 259 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -26.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 650 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -11.3% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -19.8% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 225 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -19.5% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.2% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 181 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Safety Insurance's stock fell -4.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 4.5% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | SAFT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -26.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 650 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Safety Insurance's stock fell -4.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 4.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Safety Insurance (SAFT)
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (SAFT) is a property and casualty insurance company based in Boston, Massachusetts, that provides a comprehensive range of insurance products primarily within the United States. The company's core business involves protecting both individuals and commercial enterprises from various financial risks associated with property damage, liability, and other specified perils. SAFT distributes its insurance policies exclusively through a network of independent agents.
The company's primary product offerings include extensive **automobile insurance**, covering both private passenger vehicles for personal use and commercial automobiles for businesses, ranging from individual vehicles to entire fleets. Safety Insurance is also a significant provider of **homeowner's insurance**, offering coverage for homes, condominiums, and apartments against property losses and liability. Furthermore, SAFT provides tailored **Business Owners Policies (BOPs)** for a diverse array of commercial customers, such as restaurants, office condominiums, and various service businesses, safeguarding their assets and operations.
Beyond these core lines, Safety Insurance offers a suite of complementary products, including personal and commercial **umbrella policies** that provide excess liability coverage above standard policy limits. The company also underwrites dwelling fire insurance for non-owner-occupied residences, inland marine coverage, and watercraft insurance for small and medium pleasure crafts. Through this diverse portfolio, SAFT serves a broad market encompassing individual consumers seeking personal lines of coverage and a wide spectrum of commercial clients requiring robust business protection.
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Here are a few analogies for Safety Insurance (SAFT):
- It's like a regional Travelers.
- Think of it as an insurer similar to a localized Nationwide.
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- Private Passenger Automobile Insurance: Offers coverage for personal vehicles, including bodily injury, property damage, and physical damage.
- Commercial Automobile Insurance: Provides insurance for vehicles used for business purposes, ranging from individual cars to commercial fleets.
- Homeowners Insurance: Covers homes, condominiums, and apartments against property losses and liability claims.
- Business Owners Policies (BOPs): Comprehensive packages offering property and liability coverage for various types of businesses.
- Umbrella Insurance: Provides excess liability coverage over and above the limits of other personal or commercial insurance policies.
- Dwelling Fire Insurance: Underwrites insurance for non-owner-occupied residences against fire and other perils.
- Inland Marine Coverage: Offers specialized property coverage often supplementing homeowners or business owner policies.
- Watercraft Coverage: Provides insurance for small and medium-sized pleasure boats.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (SAFT) sells insurance policies directly to both individuals and businesses. Based on the description, a substantial portion of its offerings, such as private passenger automobile and homeowner insurance, are targeted towards individual consumers. Therefore, the company primarily serves a broad base of individual and commercial policyholders.
The up to three major categories of customers that Safety Insurance serves are:
- Individual Policyholders: This category includes individuals who purchase policies for their personal needs, such as private passenger automobile insurance, homeowner insurance (for homes, condominiums, and apartments), personal umbrella liability policies, and watercraft coverage.
- Commercial Policyholders (Businesses): This category encompasses various businesses that acquire insurance for commercial vehicles, business owners policies (for entities like restaurants, office condominiums, contractors, wholesalers, and processing/services businesses), and commercial umbrella policies.
- Owners of Non-Owner-Occupied Residences: This category includes individuals or entities that own residential properties which they do not occupy themselves, such as rental properties, for which they purchase dwelling fire insurance.
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George M. Murphy, Chairman of the Board, President, and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Murphy joined Safety Insurance in 1989 and has held various positions of increasing responsibility within the marketing department, serving as Vice President of Marketing from October 2005. He was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in April 2016, and subsequently elected Chairman of the Board in May 2023.
Christopher T. Whitford, Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer, and Secretary
Mr. Whitford joined Safety Insurance in 2012 as a Senior Financial Analyst. He was promoted to Controller in September 2013 and became Chief Financial Officer in March 2020. Prior to joining Safety Insurance, he worked at PwC as a Manager from 2005 to 2012. He holds a Master's degree in Accounting from the University of Maine, which he completed between 2000 and 2005.
John P. Drago, Vice President of Marketing
Mr. Drago is responsible for developing and implementing the company's marketing and brand strategies. He oversees initiatives focused on increasing brand awareness, customer acquisition, and customer retention, leveraging his expertise in market analysis and strategic marketing planning.
Brian S. Lam, Vice President of Insurance Operations
Mr. Lam is responsible for the strategic direction and operational execution of Safety Insurance's business lines. His role encompasses overseeing key aspects of insurance operations, including policy administration, claims management, and customer service, with a focus on optimizing processes for effectiveness and customer satisfaction.
Mary F. McConnell, Vice President of Underwriting
Ms. McConnell leads the underwriting function, which includes developing and implementing underwriting guidelines, pricing strategies, and risk selection processes. She ensures that the company maintains a strong and profitable book of business by effectively assessing and managing risk.
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Catastrophe Risk
Safety Insurance, as a provider of homeowner and commercial property insurance, is significantly exposed to the risk of large-scale natural disasters such as hurricanes, severe storms, and other weather-related events. A single catastrophic event, or a series of events, could lead to a substantial increase in claims, resulting in significant financial losses and negatively impacting the company's profitability and solvency.
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Underwriting and Claims Cost Risk
The profitability of Safety Insurance is heavily dependent on its ability to accurately assess and price risks, as well as effectively manage claims costs. Inaccurate underwriting, which involves misjudging the likelihood and severity of future claims, can lead to insufficient premium collection relative to payouts. Furthermore, rising costs for automobile repairs, medical treatments for bodily injuries, and construction materials for property damage can lead to claims inflation, increasing the company's liabilities and eroding profit margins.
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Regulatory and Competitive Environment
Safety Insurance operates within a highly regulated industry. Changes in state insurance regulations, including rate approval processes, mandated coverages, or consumer protection laws, can limit the company's ability to adjust pricing, introduce new products, or manage its operations efficiently. Additionally, the property and casualty insurance market is competitive, with numerous participants vying for market share. Intense price competition or the emergence of new business models could put pressure on premiums and underwriting profitability, making it challenging for Safety Insurance to maintain or grow its market position.
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The continued emergence and growth of direct-to-consumer digital insurance platforms (Insurtechs) that leverage advanced technology and data analytics to offer a streamlined, often lower-cost alternative to traditional agent-based insurance models. This trend can bypass Safety Insurance's established independent agent distribution channel and appeal to a growing segment of consumers who prefer digital interactions and potentially lower premiums, directly challenging SAFT's market share and profitability.
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- Private Passenger Automobile Insurance: The U.S. private passenger automobile insurance market had direct premiums written of approximately $359.51 billion in 2024.
- Commercial Automobile Insurance: The U.S. commercial auto insurance market recorded approximately $61.6 billion in direct written premiums in 2024.
- Homeowner Insurance: The United States homeowners insurance market size is expected to be approximately $175.60 billion in 2025.
- Business Owners Policies (BOP): The U.S. small business insurance market, which includes Business Owners Policies, is projected to reach approximately $5.1 billion by 2025.
- Personal Umbrella Policies: The global umbrella insurance market is projected to reach $73.4 billion by the end of 2025. North America accounts for approximately 60% of the global market share, and personal umbrella insurance dominates this market segment. Therefore, the addressable market for personal umbrella policies in the U.S. is a significant portion of the North American market, which would be approximately $44 billion in 2025.
- Commercial Umbrella Policies: The U.S. Commercial Umbrella Insurance Market is projected to reach approximately $13.2 billion by 2034.
- Dwelling Fire Insurance: The U.S. fire insurance market size was approximately $27.60 billion in 2024.
- Inland Marine Coverage: The U.S. Inland Marine Insurance market size was valued at approximately $12.6 billion in 2024.
- Watercraft Coverage: The U.S. boat and yacht insurance market is expected to exceed $2.6 billion by 2032. The boat insurance segment alone accounted for over $1.7 billion in 2023.
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Share Repurchases
- Safety Insurance Group repurchased $20 million of shares during the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025.
- The company's stock buyback program was set to resume following its third-quarter 2025 results.
- Safety Insurance Group had an existing Equity Buyback Plan, initially announced on August 3, 2007, which has seen tranche updates.
Share Issuance
- On February 25, 2026, a director of Safety Insurance Group Inc., Mary Coffey Moran, received an equity grant of 1,083 shares of restricted common stock.
Capital Expenditures
- Safety Insurance Group, Inc. reported net cash from continuing investing activities at -$42.43 million for the fourth quarter of 2025, reflecting ongoing capital deployment.
- As of February 27, 2026, the company's free cash flow growth was -16.40%, which tracks cash generated after capital expenditures.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 234.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 72.6 |
| Rev LTM | 55,089 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 11,278 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 9,084 |
| CFO LTM | 11,367 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 9,196 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $72.94 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/22/2002 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $72.41 | $73.02 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 0.7% | -0.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 20.4% | 19.3% |
| Downside Capture | -65.34 | -22.04 |
| Upside Capture | -65.84 | -9.96 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -40.3% | -7.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.67 | -0.58 | -0.44 | -0.20 | -0.06 | 0.21 |
| Up Beta | 0.16 | 0.13 | -0.25 | -0.08 | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| Down Beta | -0.95 | -1.10 | -1.29 | -0.32 | -0.29 | 0.11 |
| Up Capture | -34% | -41% | -12% | -16% | -3% | 5% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 16 | 27 | 57 | 121 | 375 |
| Down Capture | -124% | -76% | -52% | -23% | -7% | 35% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 25 | 36 | 68 | 130 | 373 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SAFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAFT | 6.0% | 19.3% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 7.3% | 14.6% | 0.26 | 29.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 18.5% | 12.7% | 1.06 | -7.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.6% | 28.1% | 0.57 | -19.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 35.2% | 19.1% | 1.45 | -21.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.6% | 13.9% | 0.55 | 35.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -45.1% | 42.9% | -1.28 | -1.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SAFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAFT | 3.4% | 22.0% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.6% | 18.5% | 0.44 | 44.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.6% | 17.1% | 0.57 | 22.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 18.4% | 0.74 | -7.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.8% | 19.5% | 0.39 | -0.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.6% | 18.9% | 0.03 | 30.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 15.8% | 53.4% | 0.47 | 7.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SAFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAFT | 5.6% | 23.6% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.5% | 22.0% | 0.56 | 56.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 42.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.2% | 16.1% | 0.57 | -3.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 17.9% | 0.33 | 10.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 44.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.7% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 8.7% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 7/23/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -1.9% | -6.2% | -4.2% |
| 2/25/2026 | -0.9% | -1.6% | -5.5% |
| 11/3/2025 | 3.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| 8/6/2025 | 1.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| 5/7/2025 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% |
| 2/25/2025 | -5.5% | -4.2% | 0.2% |
| 11/5/2024 | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| 8/7/2024 | -1.5% | 0.0% | 5.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -4.1% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| Max Negative | -7.8% | -7.2% | -17.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -1.9% | -6.2% | -4.2% |
| 2/25/2026 | -0.9% | -1.6% | -5.5% |
| 11/3/2025 | 3.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| 8/6/2025 | 1.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| 5/7/2025 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% |
| 2/25/2025 | -5.5% | -4.2% | 0.2% |
| 11/5/2024 | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| 8/7/2024 | -1.5% | 0.0% | 5.5% |
| 2/27/2024 | -4.0% | -7.2% | -3.4% |
| 11/1/2023 | 1.3% | 0.1% | 1.4% |
| 8/2/2023 | 1.7% | 1.6% | -1.8% |
| 5/3/2023 | -1.1% | -4.1% | 5.6% |
| 2/22/2023 | -7.8% | -5.9% | -17.0% |
| 11/2/2022 | -2.9% | -0.3% | 5.6% |
| 8/3/2022 | 1.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| 5/4/2022 | 0.0% | -2.6% | 6.9% |
| 2/23/2022 | -1.8% | -1.5% | 6.6% |
| 11/3/2021 | -2.6% | 1.2% | -1.3% |
| 8/4/2021 | 1.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| 5/5/2021 | 4.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% |
| 2/24/2021 | 4.2% | 3.8% | 7.6% |
| 11/4/2020 | 1.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% |
| 8/5/2020 | 0.2% | 5.1% | -4.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -4.1% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| Max Negative | -7.8% | -7.2% | -17.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/28/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/01/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/02/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/20/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 7202026 | 76.03 | 5,159 | 392,247 | 133,250,830 | Form | |
| 2 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 7142026 | 76.04 | 34,272 | 2,605,933 | 133,652,393 | Form | |
| 3 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 7102026 | 76.51 | 2,650 | 202,754 | 137,108,095 | Form | |
| 4 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 3232026 | 71.12 | 14,151 | 1,006,447 | 127,639,453 | Form | |
| 5 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 3192026 | 73.06 | 1,199 | 87,599 | 132,151,909 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 7202026 | 76.03 | 5,159 | 392,247 | 133,250,830 | Form | |
| 2 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 7142026 | 76.04 | 34,272 | 2,605,933 | 133,652,393 | Form | |
| 3 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 7102026 | 76.51 | 2,650 | 202,754 | 137,108,095 | Form | |
| 4 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 3232026 | 71.12 | 14,151 | 1,006,447 | 127,639,453 | Form | |
| 5 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 3192026 | 73.06 | 1,199 | 87,599 | 132,151,909 | Form | |
| 6 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 2272026 | 78.36 | 11,487 | 900,107 | 142,731,327 | Form | |
| 7 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 2272026 | 78.29 | 2,147 | 168,089 | 143,491,609 | Form | |
| 8 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 2252026 | 77.14 | 3,231 | 249,230 | 141,543,802 | Form | |
| 9 | Srb, Corp | See | Sell | 2252026 | 77.48 | 4,089 | 316,811 | 142,421,143 | Form | |
| 10 | Hiltpold, Glenn | VP OF ACTUARIAL SERVICES | Direct | Buy | 9182025 | 71.73 | 55 | 3,945 | 940,302 | Form |
| 11 | Langwell, Dennis J | Direct | Buy | 9052025 | 72.39 | 2,000 | 144,780 | 579,120 | Form | |
| 12 | Langwell, Dennis J | Direct | Buy | 8112025 | 71.49 | 2,000 | 142,980 | 428,940 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 24, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Property & Casualty Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Journal |
| Business Insurance |
| PropertyCasualty360 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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