Tearsheet

Safety Insurance (SAFT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $75.7 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Safety Insurance (SAFT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $75.7
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.4%, FCF Yield is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -59%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Insurance. Themes include Digital Claims Processing, AI in Insurance Underwriting & Risk Assessment, and Climate Risk & Resilience in Insurance.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.4%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -59%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Insurance. Themes include Digital Claims Processing, AI in Insurance Underwriting & Risk Assessment, and Climate Risk & Resilience in Insurance.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SAFT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Safety Insurance (SAFT) stock moved by 5.4% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Safety Insurance Group reported strong second-quarter 2025 financial results. On August 6, 2025, with news released on August 11, 2025, the company announced robust performance for Q2 2025, including double-digit premium growth and an improved combined ratio of 98.1% compared to 99.9% in the prior year's period. This positive report, which also included a dividend increase, instilled confidence in management's outlook for the remainder of 2025.

2. The company announced its third-quarter 2025 results on November 3, 2025. These results showed a significant 12.5% year-over-year rise in net earned premiums, which positively influenced investor sentiment despite the reported earnings per share of $1.48 missing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.80.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SAFT Return-12%14%3%-5%13%-3%8%
Peers Return4%27%11%16%31%12%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SAFT Win Rate42%42%58%42%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate60%57%53%62%68%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SAFT Max Drawdown-26%-6%-6%-19%-3%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-11%-14%-1%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSAFTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven830 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven178 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1521 days1480 days

Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV


In The Past

Safety Insurance's stock fell -33.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/1/2022. A -33.4% loss requires a 50.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Safety Insurance (SAFT)

Better Bets than Safety Insurance (SAFT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SAFT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
SAFT_7312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312022SAFTSafety InsuranceQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-13.1%-20.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
SAFT_7312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312022SAFTSafety InsuranceQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-13.1%-20.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Safety Insurance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SAFTHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameSafety I.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Price76.12133.0458.19227.18295.05284.27180.11
Mkt Cap1.137.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
Rev LTM1,22327,69213,29782,37658,90048,40938,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1715,8656,72716,47213,3219,9858,356
FCF 3Y Avg1054,9226,25012,35013,4098,6827,466
CFO LTM1715,9886,87216,80013,3219,9858,428
CFO 3Y Avg1085,1096,38812,63413,4098,6827,535

Growth & Margins

SAFTHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameSafety I.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Rev Chg LTM13.0%6.9%7.4%21.5%6.7%6.7%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.8%8.6%-0.7%20.0%12.2%10.1%11.2%
Rev Chg Q11.0%6.4%16.8%21.3%8.2%4.8%9.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%1.6%4.0%4.9%2.2%1.2%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM14.0%21.6%51.7%20.4%22.6%20.6%21.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.6%19.6%51.9%18.0%24.8%19.4%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM14.0%21.2%50.6%20.0%22.6%20.6%20.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.3%18.9%50.8%17.6%24.8%19.4%19.1%

Valuation

SAFTHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameSafety I.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Cap1.137.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
P/S0.91.41.11.91.91.31.3
P/EBIT9.38.19.111.78.58.18.8
P/E11.910.514.215.011.610.711.8
P/CFO6.16.32.29.38.46.36.3
Total Yield13.5%11.1%10.6%8.5%10.0%10.2%10.4%
Dividend Yield5.1%1.6%3.6%1.8%1.3%0.8%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.7%15.8%50.1%10.3%12.9%17.2%14.4%
D/E0.00.10.30.00.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.6-0.5-1.8-0.0-0.2-1.4-0.5

Returns

SAFTHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameSafety I.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
1M Rtn12.9%7.5%5.1%11.5%6.0%6.2%6.9%
3M Rtn6.9%0.4%-1.7%-7.9%6.4%3.2%1.8%
6M Rtn-2.2%4.9%9.4%-19.4%1.8%5.4%3.3%
12M Rtn-5.9%12.0%-4.2%-11.7%4.5%10.9%0.1%
3Y Rtn-1.5%85.9%75.3%76.6%40.7%58.9%67.1%
1M Excs Rtn13.0%7.6%5.1%11.6%6.1%6.2%6.9%
3M Excs Rtn0.1%-6.1%-8.2%-14.1%0.4%-3.2%-4.7%
6M Excs Rtn-16.9%-9.9%-5.3%-34.1%-12.9%-9.3%-11.4%
12M Excs Rtn-19.6%-3.4%-18.6%-27.3%-10.0%-4.9%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-75.3%16.1%-0.1%7.2%-29.7%-11.1%-5.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity125,898
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202515.3%
Average Daily Volume104,730
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.20
Basic Shares Quantity14,745,008
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021