Restaurant Brands International (QSR)
Market Price (3/18/2026): $75.25 | Market Cap: $25.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Restaurant Brands International (QSR)
Market Price (3/18/2026): $75.25Market Cap: $25.2 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 5.8% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37% | Key risksQSR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the financial health, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 5.8% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% |
| Key risksQSR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the financial health, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Robust Operational Performance and Reaffirmed Long-Term Growth Targets. Restaurant Brands International delivered a strong fourth quarter and full-year 2025, with Q4 2025 earnings per share of $0.96, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $0.93. Quarterly revenue also rose 7.4% year-over-year to $2.47 billion, exceeding estimates of $2.41 billion. For the full year 2025, revenue increased by 12.23% to $9.43 billion. The company also achieved its target of approximately 8% organic Adjusted Operating Income growth for the third consecutive year and reaffirmed its "2028 growth algorithm," aiming for 8%+ organic adjusted operating income growth and 5%+ net restaurant growth by 2028.
2. Commitment to Shareholder Returns. The company's plans to enhance shareholder value include returning over $1.6 billion to shareholders in 2026, which encompasses $500 million in share repurchases. This commitment to capital returns, alongside a declared US$0.65 first-quarter 2026 dividend per share and a US$2.60 annual dividend target for 2026, generally signals confidence in future financial performance and can support stock price stability.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.6% change in QSR stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 26.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 71.75 | 75.05 | 4.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9,264 | 9,434 | 1.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.0% | 8.2% | -17.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.5 | 32.4 | 26.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 328 | 335 | -2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.6% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| QSR | 4.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.8% | 9.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.3% | 18.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.7% change in QSR stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.17 | 75.05 | 20.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9,106 | 9,434 | 3.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.4% | 8.2% | -12.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.7 | 32.4 | 36.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 328 | 335 | -2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.7% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| QSR | 20.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 10.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.1% | 17.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 19.4% change in QSR stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.87 | 75.05 | 19.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,406 | 9,434 | 12.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.1% | 8.2% | -32.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.0 | 32.4 | 61.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 325 | 335 | -3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 19.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| QSR | 19.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.9% | 30.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.5% | 28.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.7% change in QSR stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 84.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.29 | 75.05 | 28.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,505 | 9,434 | 45.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.5% | 8.2% | -46.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.6 | 32.4 | 84.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 304 | 335 | -9.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| QSR | 28.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 34.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 59.2% | 30.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| QSR Return | 3% | 11% | 25% | -14% | 9% | 9% | 45% |
| Peers Return | 29% | -15% | 21% | 7% | -4% | 4% | 41% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -2% | 78% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| QSR Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 55% | 55% | 43% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| QSR Max Drawdown | -9% | -22% | -6% | -15% | -7% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -31% | -8% | -10% | -16% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -3% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MCD, YUM, SBUX, CMG, DPZ. See QSR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | QSR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 373 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 115 days | 120 days |
Compare to MCD, YUM, SBUX, CMG, DPZ
In The Past
Restaurant Brands International's stock fell -33.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -33.4% loss requires a 50.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Restaurant Brands International (QSR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Restaurant Brands International (QSR):
- It's like Yum! Brands (KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell), but with a different portfolio of global quick-service restaurant chains, including Burger King, Tim Hortons, and Popeyes.
- Think of it as the Procter & Gamble of the fast-food world, managing a portfolio of well-known restaurant brands rather than consumer packaged goods.
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- Tim Hortons Menu Items: Offers blend coffee, tea, espresso drinks, baked goods (donuts, bagels, muffins), grilled paninis, sandwiches, wraps, and soups.
- Burger King Menu Items: Provides flame-grilled hamburgers, chicken sandwiches, french fries, and other fast-food items.
- Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Menu Items: Serves Louisiana style fried chicken, chicken tenders, fried shrimp, seafood, and regional sides.
- Firehouse Subs Menu Items: Features hot and cold sub sandwiches, soft drinks, and local specialties.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Restaurant Brands International (symbol: QSR) primarily serves individual consumers through its network of company-owned and franchised quick-service restaurants (Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, and Firehouse Subs). While the company engages in business-to-business transactions with its franchisees, the ultimate and major customers driving the entire enterprise's revenue are the individuals who purchase food and beverages at these restaurant locations. Based on the nature of its brands, the up to three major categories of customers that Restaurant Brands International serves are:- Individuals Seeking Convenience and Speed: This broad category includes commuters, office workers, and families looking for quick, easy, and readily available meal and beverage options for breakfast, lunch, dinner, or snacks, often with limited time.
- Value-Conscious Consumers: Customers who prioritize affordability and seek cost-effective dining solutions, often choosing quick-service restaurants over full-service establishments for their everyday food needs.
- Consumers with Specific Taste Preferences and Brand Loyalty: Individuals who actively seek out particular QSR brands for their unique menu items and dining experiences, such as Tim Hortons' coffee and baked goods, Burger King's flame-grilled Whopper, Popeyes' Louisiana-style fried chicken, or Firehouse Subs' hot specialty subs.
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Joshua Kobza - Chief Executive Officer
Joshua Kobza was appointed CEO of Restaurant Brands International (RBI) in March 2023. He has held increasingly senior roles within the company over 11 years, including Chief Operating Officer (2019–2023), Chief Technology Officer and Development Officer (2018–2019), and Chief Financial Officer (2014–2018). Prior to his time at RBI, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Burger King Worldwide from April 2013 to December 2014. Before joining Burger King, Mr. Kobza worked at SIP Capital, a private investment firm in Sao Paulo, and as an analyst in the corporate private equity area of the Blackstone Group in New York City. He was instrumental in the acquisitions of Tim Hortons in 2014, Popeyes in 2017, and Firehouse Subs in 2021.
Sami A. Siddiqui - Chief Financial Officer
Sami A. Siddiqui was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Restaurant Brands International in March 2024. From September 2020 to March 2024, he held the position of President of Popeyes U.S. & Canada. His previous roles at RBI include President of Asia Pacific (February 2019 to September 2020) and Chief Financial Officer for Burger King Corporation (October 2018 to February 2019). He also served as President of Tim Hortons from September 2016 to September 2018 and Executive Vice President, Finance for Tim Hortons from April 2015 to September 2016. Mr. Siddiqui initially joined RBI as head of finance and investor relations. Prior to joining the company, he worked at Blackstone, a private equity firm, and holds an MBA from Harvard Business School.
J. Patrick Doyle - Executive Chairman
J. Patrick Doyle was appointed Executive Chairman of RBI in November 2022. Most recently, from September 2019 through November 2022, he served as an executive partner of The Carlyle Group, a global diversified investment firm, with a focus on the consumer sector. Prior to that, he was the Chief Executive Officer of Domino's Pizza from March 2010 to June 2018, where he led a significant transformation resulting in 29 consecutive quarters of same-store sales growth and an approximately 23x increase in share price. He also held positions as President of Domino's (2007-2010), Executive Vice President of Domino's Team USA (2004-2007), and Executive Vice President of Domino's Pizza International (1999-2004). Mr. Doyle has served on the board of directors of Best Buy Co., Inc. since November 2014 and as its Chairman since May 2020. He also discussed the dynamics of working for a company controlled by private equity firm 3G. Mr. Doyle made a personal equity investment of approximately $30 million in RBI, with his compensation tied to significant share price targets.
Duncan S.A. Fulton - Chief Corporate Officer
Duncan S.A. Fulton was appointed Chief Corporate Officer of Restaurant Brands International Inc. in June 2018, overseeing global communications, North American franchising, government relations, and ESG initiatives. He also serves as Chairman of the Board of Directors for the Tim Hortons Foundation. Before joining RBI, Mr. Fulton held several positions with Canadian Tire Corporation (CTC) from November 2009 to March 2018, including Senior Vice President of Corporate Affairs, Chief Marketing Officer for FGL Sports and Mark's Work Warehouse, and President of FGL Sports. He was also a Senior Partner and General Manager of Fleishman-Hilliard from April 2002 to November 2009. Earlier in his career, Mr. Fulton served as a communication advisor and spokesman for several political leaders, including former Canadian Prime Minister Jean Chrétien.
Jeffrey Housman - Chief People & Services Officer
Jeffrey Housman was appointed Chief People & Services Officer of Restaurant Brands International Inc. in April 2021. Prior to this role, he served as Chief Human Resources Officer from February 2017 and Head of Global Business Services from January 2015 to January 2017. Mr. Housman joined the Burger King team in April 2013, where he held various finance, real estate, and business services roles. Before his time at Burger King, he worked in investment banking at J.P. Morgan.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Restaurant Brands International (QSR) primarily revolve around the highly competitive quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry, economic volatility impacting costs and consumer spending, and the critical importance of maintaining brand reputation and compliance with food safety and regulatory standards.
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Intense Competition and Brand Relevance/Perception: Restaurant Brands International operates in a fiercely competitive quick-service restaurant market, facing pressure from well-established rivals, independent operators, and new entrants. This necessitates continuous innovation, aggressive pricing strategies, and effective marketing to maintain market share and attract customers. Specific challenges include past declines in Tim Hortons' brand reputation due to public disputes with franchisees over minimum wage and perceived shifts in brand values, alongside Burger King's inconsistent sales performance and struggles with franchisee profitability.
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Economic Volatility, Inflation, and Supply Chain Disruptions: The company is highly susceptible to macroeconomic risks such as inflation, rising interest rates, and unemployment, which can adversely affect consumer discretionary spending and, consequently, restaurant sales and profitability. Concurrently, rising commodity and labor costs, coupled with potential supply chain disruptions due to geopolitical conflicts or other factors, can significantly squeeze profit margins for both Restaurant Brands International and its franchisees.
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Food Safety Incidents and Regulatory Non-compliance: As a global quick-service restaurant operator, Restaurant Brands International faces the inherent risk of food safety incidents, which can profoundly impact consumer trust, brand reputation, and lead to reduced sales or restaurant closures. Additionally, the company must navigate a complex and evolving landscape of national, federal, state, provincial, and local regulations concerning food preparation, environmental standards, employment practices, and franchise relationships. Non-compliance with these diverse regulatory requirements can result in significant fines, legal challenges, and reputational damage.
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The proliferation of virtual restaurant brands and ghost kitchens that bypass traditional brick-and-mortar infrastructure to compete directly for delivery and off-premise sales.
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Addressable Markets for Restaurant Brands International (QSR)
Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) Market
The global quick service restaurant market, which encompasses fast-food offerings such as hamburgers, fried chicken, and subs, was valued at approximately USD 1.06 trillion in 2025. This market is projected to grow to approximately USD 2.55 trillion by 2035.
In North America, a key region for Restaurant Brands International, the quick service restaurant market was valued at approximately USD 390.84 billion in 2025. North America held a significant share of the global QSR market, accounting for around 37% in 2025.
Coffee Shops Market
The global coffee shops market, directly relevant to the Tim Hortons brand, was valued at approximately USD 89.17 billion in 2025. This market is expected to grow to approximately USD 123.43 billion by 2030.
For the North American region, the coffee shop market, including cafes and specialty coffee offerings, was estimated to have reached USD 45 billion in 2022. North America also holds approximately 35% of all café outlets globally.
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Restaurant Brands International (QSR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of aggressive expansion, strategic brand revitalization, and digital innovation across its portfolio of quick-service restaurant chains.
Here are 4 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Aggressive Global and Domestic Restaurant Expansion (Net Restaurant Growth): Restaurant Brands International is pursuing significant expansion across its brands, targeting 5%+ net restaurant growth by 2028, equating to approximately 1,800 new restaurants annually. Firehouse Subs plans to open 100 restaurants in Mexico over the next five years and is slated to enter Brazil and Australia in 2025, while also expanding in the U.S. and Canada. Popeyes aims for substantial international growth with over 300 new restaurants in Mexico over the next decade and entries into markets like Costa Rica, Italy, and the Balkans, alongside a goal of 4,000 units in the U.S. and Canada by 2028. Tim Hortons is focusing its expansion on the U.S. and China, aiming for 1,000 stores in the U.S. by 2028 and planning for over 300 locations in India over 10 years. Other international markets (excluding China) are collectively expected to contribute about 1,100 net new restaurants per year by 2028, with top growth concentrated in India, the UK, Mexico, France, and Japan.
- Burger King's "Reclaim the Flame" Strategy and Restaurant Modernization: For its Burger King brand in the U.S. and Canada, QSR is executing the "Reclaim the Flame" plan. This strategy involves a significant investment of $400 million (over two years from September 2022) to boost advertising and digital engagement ("Fuel the Flame") and to enhance restaurant technology, kitchen equipment, building infrastructure, and remodels ("Royal Reset"). This initiative aims to improve brand perception, menu offerings, overall guest experience, and operational excellence to drive increased traffic and sales growth. Burger King's comparable sales in the U.S. have shown faster-than-anticipated improvement under this plan.
- Digital Transformation and Loyalty Program Expansion: Restaurant Brands International is committed to achieving 50% of its global system-wide sales through digital channels by 2028. Key to this driver are investments in enhancing loyalty platforms, such as Tims Rewards and Burger King Royal Perks, to provide hyper-personalized marketing and enable dynamic pricing. The company is also exploring the use of AI at drive-thrus, increasing operational automation, and developing an omni-channel ordering stack to improve customer convenience and operational efficiency. For instance, Firehouse Subs recently introduced first-party delivery via its mobile app.
- Comparable Sales Growth Across Brands: Restaurant Brands International has reaffirmed its target of achieving over 3% comparable sales growth through 2028. This growth is expected to stem from continuous menu innovation, targeted marketing campaigns, and a focus on improving the customer experience across all its brands. For example, Popeyes is investing in kitchen operations and value items to improve its comparable sales.
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Share Repurchases
- On August 6, 2025, Restaurant Brands International's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $1,000 million of its common shares, effective from September 15, 2025, until September 30, 2027. This authorization replaced a prior two-year authorization of the same amount.
- The company repurchased 7.6 million common shares between September 15, 2023, and September 14, 2024.
- Restaurant Brands International plans to return over $1.6 billion to shareholders in 2026 through dividends and share repurchases, including $500 million in buybacks.
Share Issuance
- On November 13, 2025, an affiliate of 3G Capital priced a secondary offering of up to 17,626,570 common shares, arising from the exchange of Class B exchangeable limited partnership units. Restaurant Brands International did not sell any shares in this offering and received no proceeds.
- As of December 31, 2025, the number of issued and outstanding shares was 346,323,165, an increase from 324,426,589 shares at December 31, 2024.
Inbound Investments
- In November 2025, Restaurant Brands International announced a new joint venture for Burger King China with Chinese private equity company CPE, involving a $350 million capital infusion from CPE to fund new restaurant openings and marketing efforts.
Outbound Investments
- In May 2024, Restaurant Brands International acquired the remaining 85% of Carrols Restaurant Group for $974 million, which included $431 million of Carrols' debt. Carrols operated Burger King and Popeyes restaurants in the U.S.
- The company completed the acquisition of Popeyes China on June 28, 2024.
- Restaurant Brands International acquired Firehouse Subs in 2021.
Capital Expenditures
- Restaurant Brands International anticipates capital expenditures of approximately $400 million in 2026. This increase is primarily due to higher capital expenditures related to Tim Hortons' development and renovations, as well as an acceleration of Carrols' remodels.
- Expected capital expenditures for 2025 were projected to be between $400 million and $450 million, primarily focused on additions to property and equipment.
- The company is investing up to $700 million through 2028 in its "Reclaim the Flame" plan for Burger King, with a significant portion dedicated to "Royal Reset" initiatives for restaurant upgrades, including $250 million for remodels, technology, and equipment. An additional $300 million is planned for remodels from 2025 through 2028 under the Royal Reset 2.0 program.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 130.63 |
| Mkt Cap | 45.5 |
| Rev LTM | 10,680 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,510 |
| FCF LTM | 1,544 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,428 |
| CFO LTM | 2,062 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,884 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 45.5 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | 18.4 |
| P/E | 29.4 |
| P/CFO | 21.8 |
| Total Yield | 5.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 32.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -38.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hortons (TH) | 4,040 | 3,972 | 3,801 | 3,342 | 2,810 |
| Burger King (BK) | 1,450 | 1,297 | 1,196 | 1,813 | 1,602 |
| Restaurant Holdings (RH) | 1,116 | ||||
| International (INTL) | 935 | 874 | 751 | ||
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK) | 768 | 692 | 619 | 579 | 556 |
| Firehouse Subs (FHS) | 214 | 187 | 138 | 5 | 0 |
| Elimination of intersegment revenues | -117 | ||||
| Total | 8,406 | 7,022 | 6,505 | 5,739 | 4,968 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hortons (TH) | 1,043 | 958 | 925 | 865 | 704 |
| International (INTL) | 614 | 597 | 525 | ||
| Burger King (BK) | 410 | 386 | 396 | 959 | 761 |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK) | 243 | 221 | 205 | 221 | 210 |
| Other operating expenses (income), net | 59 | -55 | -25 | -7 | -105 |
| Impact of equity method investments | 53 | -6 | -59 | -25 | -48 |
| Firehouse Subs (FHS) | 48 | 38 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| Restaurant Holdings (RH) | 44 | ||||
| Elimination of intersegment revenues | 0 | ||||
| Firehouse Subs (FHS) Transaction costs | 0 | -19 | -24 | -18 | 0 |
| Corporate restructuring and advisory fees | -20 | -38 | -46 | -16 | -16 |
| Restaurant Holdings (RH) and Burger King (BK) China Transaction costs | -22 | ||||
| Franchise agreement and reacquired franchise rights amortization | -53 | -31 | -32 | ||
| Restaurant Holdings (RH) Transaction costs | 0 | ||||
| Share-based compensation and non-cash incentive compensation expense | -102 | -84 | |||
| Office centralization and relocation costs | 0 | ||||
| Total | 2,419 | 2,051 | 1,898 | 1,879 | 1,422 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $75.05 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 24.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/15/2014 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $69.58 | $67.28 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 7.9% | 11.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 24.5% | 24.2% |
| Downside Capture | -9.43 | 44.57 |
| Upside Capture | 27.51 | 51.10 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 9.4% | 30.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.67 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| Up Beta | -0.28 | -0.07 | -0.18 | 0.40 | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| Down Beta | 2.63 | 1.08 | 0.74 | 0.06 | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| Up Capture | 86% | 34% | 30% | 48% | 41% | 27% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 19 | 28 | 64 | 128 | 382 |
| Down Capture | -15% | -0% | 35% | 19% | 58% | 85% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 22 | 33 | 60 | 123 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with QSR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QSR | 18.0% | 24.2% | 0.63 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 15.9% | 23.5% | 0.56 | 29.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.3% | 18.8% | 0.85 | 30.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 68.2% | 26.2% | 1.97 | 8.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.1% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 10.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.6% | 16.1% | 0.27 | 38.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.5% | 44.3% | -0.12 | 5.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with QSR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QSR | 6.8% | 22.3% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.5% | 23.6% | 0.28 | 39.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 17.0% | 0.60 | 44.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.4% | 17.2% | 1.11 | 11.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 8.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 41.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.1% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 14.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with QSR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QSR | 10.5% | 27.5% | 0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.8% | 21.9% | 0.53 | 48.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.8% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 51.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.76 | 6.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 18.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 50.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.3% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 12.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | -6.2% | -3.0% | 2.8% |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 8.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | -5.1% | -4.5% | -8.0% |
| 5/8/2025 | -0.5% | 0.2% | 5.0% |
| 2/12/2025 | -1.6% | -5.5% | -1.7% |
| 11/5/2024 | -2.6% | -3.1% | 1.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | 2.0% | 0.1% | -4.1% |
| 4/30/2024 | 2.7% | 2.0% | -10.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| # Negative | 15 | 14 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 1.8% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -3.0% | -7.2% |
| Max Positive | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.3% |
| Max Negative | -6.2% | -10.8% | -10.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friesner, Jacqueline | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 70.87 | 1,886 | 133,638 | 13,044,704 | Form |
| 2 | Santelmo, Thiago T | President, International | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 70.87 | 1,996 | 141,496 | 4,308,074 | Form |
| 3 | Schwan, Axel | Pres., Tim Hortons Americas | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 70.87 | 5,860 | 415,326 | 11,322,485 | Form |
| 4 | Granat, Jill | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 70.87 | 5,315 | 376,724 | 32,646,109 | Form |
| 5 | Siddiqui, Sami A | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 70.87 | 10,913 | 773,424 | 751,914 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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