Tearsheet

Restaurant Brands International (QSR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $69.64 | Market Cap: $22.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Restaurant Brands International (QSR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $69.64
Market Cap: $22.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 6.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.5%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53%
Key risks
QSR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the financial health, Show more.
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 6.4%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.5%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53%
8 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
9 Key risks
QSR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the financial health, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

QSR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: Restaurant Brands International reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company announced an EPS of $1.03 against a consensus estimate of $1.00 and revenue of $2.45 billion, surpassing the estimated $2.39 billion. This strong performance was driven by significant growth in its Tim Hortons and International businesses, alongside a strong quarter for Burger King, leading to a "decisively positive" market reaction.

2. Positive Full-Year 2025 Outlook and Strategic Initiatives: Restaurant Brands International reiterated its confidence in achieving more than 8% organic Adjusted Operating Income growth for the full year 2025. The company also highlighted ongoing progress in strategic initiatives, such as the Burger King "Reclaim the Flame" plan involving significant investments through 2028, and long-term plans to expand its global restaurant count to over 40,000.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
QSR Return-0%3%11%25%-14%11%35%
Peers Return29%29%-15%21%7%-3%76%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
QSR Win Rate58%50%50%67%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate63%58%42%55%55%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
QSR Max Drawdown-55%-9%-22%-6%-15%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-8%-31%-8%-10%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCD, YUM, SBUX, CMG, DPZ. See QSR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventQSRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven319 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven373 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven115 days120 days

Compare to MCD, SBUX, YUM, CMG, ACI


In The Past

Restaurant Brands International's stock fell -33.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -33.4% loss requires a 50.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Restaurant Brands International (QSR)

Better Bets than Restaurant Brands International (QSR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to QSR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Restaurant Brands International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

QSRMCDYUMSBUXCMGDPZMedian
NameRestaura.McDonald.Yum Bran.StarbucksChipotle.Domino's. 
Mkt Price70.20318.69153.1485.2137.00438.42119.17
Mkt Cap23.0227.242.696.249.414.946.0
Rev LTM9,10626,2638,06137,18411,7874,84810,447
Op Inc LTM2,34812,1132,4853,5811,9969282,416
FCF LTM1,3547,3721,5642,4421,5736321,569
FCF 3Y Avg1,2407,0491,4133,1451,4045341,408
CFO LTM1,58810,4851,9064,7482,2157302,060
CFO 3Y Avg1,4059,7041,7125,6171,9936381,853

Growth & Margins

QSRMCDYUMSBUXCMGDPZMedian
NameRestaura.McDonald.Yum Bran.StarbucksChipotle.Domino's. 
Rev Chg LTM21.8%1.2%11.6%2.8%7.3%3.9%5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.2%4.2%6.4%5.0%11.9%2.6%5.7%
Rev Chg Q15.9%3.0%8.4%5.5%7.5%6.2%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%0.8%1.9%1.3%1.8%1.4%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM25.8%46.1%30.8%9.6%16.9%19.1%22.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.8%45.9%31.7%13.0%17.0%18.4%23.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.0%-0.0%-0.8%-0.3%0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM17.4%39.9%23.6%12.8%18.8%15.1%18.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.1%37.7%23.0%15.4%18.6%13.7%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM14.9%28.1%19.4%6.6%13.3%13.0%14.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.0%27.4%18.9%8.7%13.1%11.4%14.6%

Valuation

QSRMCDYUMSBUXCMGDPZMedian
NameRestaura.McDonald.Yum Bran.StarbucksChipotle.Domino's. 
Mkt Cap23.0227.242.696.249.414.946.0
P/S2.38.25.22.64.43.03.7
P/EBIT9.817.716.9-26.215.316.9
P/E24.525.729.251.834.024.827.5
P/CFO13.220.722.220.323.620.120.5
Total Yield9.2%6.2%5.3%4.8%2.9%5.6%5.4%
Dividend Yield5.1%2.3%1.8%2.9%0.0%1.5%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.8%3.4%3.6%-2.4%3.7%3.6%
D/E0.80.30.3-0.10.30.3
Net D/E0.70.20.2-0.10.30.2

Returns

QSRMCDYUMSBUXCMGDPZMedian
NameRestaura.McDonald.Yum Bran.StarbucksChipotle.Domino's. 
1M Rtn3.1%5.2%3.9%1.8%21.2%8.8%4.5%
3M Rtn9.9%5.1%3.8%3.1%-6.7%0.5%3.5%
6M Rtn8.3%11.3%11.7%-6.4%-28.6%-1.1%3.6%
12M Rtn8.0%10.1%15.9%-5.0%-42.4%-0.3%3.8%
3Y Rtn17.6%28.4%25.4%-7.3%26.5%28.1%26.0%
1M Excs Rtn2.4%4.4%3.2%1.1%20.5%8.1%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn10.2%5.1%4.6%1.5%-8.4%1.0%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-4.1%-1.1%-0.6%-18.8%-41.0%-13.5%-8.8%
12M Excs Rtn-4.4%-1.1%2.9%-21.3%-53.8%-12.8%-8.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-53.2%-44.9%-43.3%-79.2%-49.9%-42.1%-47.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Tim Hortons (TH)3,9723,8013,3422,8103,344
Burger King (BK)1,2971,1961,8131,6021,777
International (INTL)874751   
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK)692619579556482
Firehouse Subs (FHS)18713850 
Total7,0226,5055,7394,9685,603


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Tim Hortons (TH)9589258657041,010
International (INTL)597525   
Burger King (BK)386396959761932
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK)221205221210177
Firehouse Subs (FHS)383320 
Restaurant Holdings (RH) Transaction costs0    
Impact of equity method investments-6-59-25-48-11
Firehouse Subs (FHS) Transaction costs-19-24-180 
Franchise agreement and reacquired franchise rights amortization-31-32   
Corporate restructuring and advisory fees-38-46-16-16-31
Other operating expenses (income), net-55-25-7-10510
Share-based compensation and non-cash incentive compensation expense  -102-84-74
Office centralization and relocation costs   0-6
Total2,0511,8981,8791,4222,007


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20,761,717
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202572.2%
Average Daily Volume2,660,772
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.80
Basic Shares Quantity328,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20251.5%1.5%8.5%
8/7/2025-5.1%-4.5%-8.0%
5/8/2025-0.5%0.2%5.0%
2/12/2025-1.6%-5.5%-1.7%
11/5/2024-2.6%-3.1%1.5%
8/8/20242.0%0.1%-4.1%
4/30/20242.7%2.0%-10.2%
2/13/2024-4.5%-2.5%5.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101113
# Negative141311
Median Positive2.5%2.0%5.7%
Median Negative-2.7%-3.1%-8.0%
Max Positive7.4%9.0%14.3%
Max Negative-5.1%-10.8%-17.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021