Tearsheet

Norfolk Southern (NSC)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $291.63 | Market Cap: $65.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Rail Transportation

Norfolk Southern (NSC)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $291.63
Market Cap: $65.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Rail Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
Key risks
NSC key risks include [1] severe financial and reputational liabilities from operational incidents, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%
7 Key risks
NSC key risks include [1] severe financial and reputational liabilities from operational incidents, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NSC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Here are the key points for why Norfolk Southern (NSC) stock moved in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 24, 2025: 1. Union Pacific's Proposed Acquisition of Norfolk Southern. Union Pacific announced plans to acquire Norfolk Southern in a stock and cash transaction around July 29, 2025. This deal implied a value of $320 per share for Norfolk Southern, representing a 25% premium over its 30-trading day volume-weighted average price as of July 16, 2025, and would significantly impact the stock price during the period.

2. Quarterly Dividend Announcement. On July 22, 2025, Norfolk Southern announced a quarterly dividend of $1.35 per share, payable on August 20, 2025. This announcement led to an 8.2% jump in the company's shares during pre-market trading, contributing to positive momentum as the specified period began.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.4% change in NSC stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 13.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
923202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)290.68291.880.41%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12178.0012230.000.43%
Net Income Margin (%)27.51%24.22%-11.96%
P/E Multiple19.5222.1113.26%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)225.00224.400.27%
Cumulative Contribution0.41%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NSC0.4% 
Market (SPY)3.7%32.8%
Sector (XLI)2.6%49.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.5% change in NSC stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 27.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
624202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)254.98291.8814.47%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12112.0012230.000.97%
Net Income Margin (%)27.40%24.22%-11.62%
P/E Multiple17.3722.1127.30%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)226.10224.400.75%
Cumulative Contribution14.46%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NSC14.5% 
Market (SPY)13.7%27.7%
Sector (XLI)8.7%41.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.4% change in NSC stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 22.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1223202412232025Change
Stock Price ($)230.84291.8826.45%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12172.0012230.000.48%
Net Income Margin (%)19.85%24.22%22.02%
P/E Multiple21.6122.112.32%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)226.20224.400.80%
Cumulative Contribution26.44%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NSC26.4% 
Market (SPY)16.7%63.5%
Sector (XLI)19.1%71.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.3% change in NSC stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 33.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202212232025Change
Stock Price ($)231.05291.8826.33%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12360.0012230.00-1.05%
Net Income Margin (%)26.21%24.22%-7.61%
P/E Multiple16.6322.1132.97%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)233.20224.403.77%
Cumulative Contribution26.15%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NSC30.2% 
Market (SPY)48.4%50.1%
Sector (XLI)42.3%62.7%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NSC Return25%27%-16%-2%2%27%70%
Peers Return26%17%-7%12%-9%6%48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NSC Win Rate67%50%33%42%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate71%50%38%54%44%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NSC Max Drawdown-38%-2%-30%-24%-10%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-7%-18%-9%-11%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSX, UNP, CNI, CP. See NSC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNSCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven703 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven95 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven173.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven780 days1,480 days

Compare to UNP, CSX, CP, CNI, NSC

In The Past

Norfolk Southern's stock fell -38.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -38.0% loss requires a 61.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Norfolk Southern (NSC)

Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood pulp, scrap paper, beverages, canned goods, and consumer products; chemicals consist of sulfur and related chemicals, petroleum products, chlorine and bleaching compounds, plastics, rubber, industrial chemicals, chemical wastes, and sand; metals and construction materials, such as steel, aluminum products, machinery, scrap metals, cement, aggregates, minerals, clay, transportation equipment, and military-related products; and automotive, including finished motor vehicles and automotive parts, as well as coal. It also transports overseas freight through various Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports; and provides commuter rail passenger transportation services and operates an intermodal network. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated approximately 19,300 route miles in 22 states and the District of Columbia. Norfolk Southern Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.

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  • The FedEx or UPS of rail freight.
  • Amazon for industrial rail freight.
  • A utility company, but for moving goods by train.

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  • Intermodal Transportation: Moving shipping containers and highway trailers containing diverse goods between major distribution centers.
  • Automotive Logistics: Transporting finished automobiles, light trucks, and automotive components for manufacturers.
  • Coal Transportation: Hauling thermal coal for power generation and metallurgical coal for steel production.
  • Chemical Transportation: Shipping a wide range of industrial chemicals, plastics, and petroleum products.
  • Agricultural Products Transportation: Moving grain, fertilizers, food products, and other agricultural commodities.
  • Metals & Construction Materials Transportation: Transporting steel, aluminum, aggregates, cement, lumber, and other building materials.

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Norfolk Southern (NSC) Major Customers

Norfolk Southern (NSC) is a Class I freight railroad that primarily sells its transportation services to other companies, rather than individuals. Its customer base is highly diversified across numerous industries throughout its network, and no single customer is typically disclosed as accounting for a significant portion (e.g., 10% or more) of its total revenue in public filings.

Given the diversified nature of a railroad's customer base, the following are examples of major public companies that operate within the primary industrial segments served by Norfolk Southern. These companies represent the types of significant shippers that rely on Norfolk Southern for the transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods.

  • Intermodal / Logistics: Norfolk Southern moves a vast amount of intermodal freight for major logistics providers, shipping lines, and large retailers.
    • J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT)
    • Schneider National (SNDR)
    • Walmart Inc. (WMT) (as a major beneficial cargo owner that utilizes intermodal services via logistics partners)
  • Coal (Utilities & Steel): Norfolk Southern transports coal for both domestic electricity generation and metallurgical purposes.
    • Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)
    • United States Steel Corporation (X)
  • Automotive: The company transports finished vehicles and automotive parts for major manufacturers.
    • General Motors Company (GM)
    • Ford Motor Company (F)
  • Chemicals: A wide range of chemical products, including plastics, industrial chemicals, and refined petroleum products, are transported.
    • Dow Inc. (DOW)
    • LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB)
  • Agriculture & Food Products: Norfolk Southern ships grains, fertilizers, and various food and beverage products.
    • Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)
  • Metals & Construction: Raw materials and finished products for the metals and construction industries are significant freight.
    • Nucor Corporation (NUE)
    • Vulcan Materials Company (VMC)

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  • Wabtec Corporation (WAB)
  • Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)
  • The Greenbrier Companies (GBX)
  • Trinity Industries (TRN)

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Here is the current management team for Norfolk Southern Corporation:

Mark R. George, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mark R. George was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Norfolk Southern in September 2024. Prior to this, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Norfolk Southern since 2019. He has over 35 years of experience in financial management, strategy, and business development across various global industries. Before joining Norfolk Southern, George held successive leadership roles at United Technologies Corporation and its subsidiaries, including six years as the regional CFO for Otis Elevator Company in Asia. From 2008 to 2019, he served as the Global CFO for both Otis Elevator Company and Carrier Corporation. He also served as interim CEO of Otis Elevator in 2017. George is on the Board of Directors for Trane Technologies plc and Junior Achievement of Georgia.

Jason Zampi, Acting Chief Financial Officer

Jason Zampi was appointed Acting Chief Financial Officer of Norfolk Southern in September 2024. He joined Norfolk Southern in 2011 and has held various roles of increasing responsibility within the company's finance and accounting functions, including Senior Vice President Finance & Treasurer, Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis, Vice President & Controller, and Assistant Vice President Corporate Accounting. Zampi focuses on cost management, long-range planning, and developing financial roadmaps for the company.

Ed Elkins, Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer

Ed Elkins is the Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer at Norfolk Southern Corporation. He has had a career spanning over 35 years with Norfolk Southern, starting as a Road Brakeman in 1988. His diverse experience includes serving as a Conductor, Locomotive Engineer, and Relief Yardmaster before spending two decades in Intermodal Marketing. In 2016, Elkins was named Group Vice President of Chemicals Marketing, and in 2018, he was promoted to Vice President of Industrial Products. He assumed his current role as Chief Commercial Officer in 2021, leading the company's Intermodal, Automotive, and Industrial Products business divisions, and managing Real Estate, Industrial Development, Short Line Marketing, Field Sales, and Customer Logistics business groups. Elkins serves as Vice Chair of the Georgia Chamber of Commerce and on the boards of directors of the East Lake Foundation, National Association of Manufacturers, and TTX Company.

Annie Adams, Chief Human Resources Officer

Annie Adams is the Chief Human Resources Officer (CHRO) at Norfolk Southern Corporation, a position she assumed in December 2024 at the request of the newly appointed CEO. She joined Norfolk Southern in 2001 and has over two decades of leadership experience. She previously served as Executive Vice President & Chief Transformation Officer until March 2024, overseeing Human Resources, Labor Relations, Corporate Communications, Information Technology, Sustainability, and Corporate Giving. Adams has successfully managed culture change, the relocation and design of Norfolk Southern’s headquarters, and national rail labor negotiations. Before her time at Norfolk Southern, she was a Product Manager at Great Bridge, LLC, and founded The Ultimate Accessory, where she developed and sold a customized database application to over 150 businesses. Adams also serves on the boards of the Woodruff Arts Center and the Midtown Improvement District in Atlanta, and the Board of Directors for Specialty Building Products.

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Norfolk Southern (NSC) faces several key risks inherent to its business as a Class I railroad. Up to three significant risks include operational incidents, regulatory challenges, and market segment vulnerabilities coupled with capital-intensive infrastructure.

1. Operational Incidents and Hazardous Material Transportation

Norfolk Southern faces substantial risks from operational incidents on its network, which can severely hinder its ability to provide rail transportation services. These risks encompass mainline accidents, the discharge of hazardous materials, disruptions due to climate-related events, and technology outages. Such incidents can lead to significant financial liabilities, lost revenues, and reputational damage, potentially attracting heightened legislative and regulatory scrutiny. The transportation of hazardous materials, a statutory obligation for common carriers by rail, particularly exposes the company to substantial costs and claims should accidents or environmental damage occur, with potential liabilities exceeding insurance coverage.

2. Regulatory Challenges and Compliance Costs

The rail industry is subject to stringent regulations, and any alterations in these policies can significantly impact Norfolk Southern's operations. Efforts to increase federal economic regulation of the rail industry could result in higher compliance costs and operational restrictions. The company's financial position, operational results, and liquidity could be materially adversely affected by an inability to comply with new or additional laws, regulations, or operating protocols.

3. Market Segment Vulnerabilities and Capital-Intensive Infrastructure

Norfolk Southern's business is characterized by a reliance on capital-intensive infrastructure, requiring continuous investment for maintenance and upgrades, which can strain financial resources and impact profitability. Furthermore, the company faces persistent challenges within key market segments. The coal sector continues to experience pressure from declining commodity prices and a shift towards natural gas and renewables. The automotive and intermodal businesses are also projected to encounter headwinds, with a competitive truckload market challenging Norfolk Southern's pricing power and market share. Fluctuating fuel prices and general economic downturns also pose a threat to demand for transportation services and, consequently, to revenue streams.

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Autonomous Long-Haul Trucking

The emergence of autonomous long-haul trucking represents a clear potential threat to Norfolk Southern's intermodal and long-haul freight business. While still in various stages of testing and regulatory approval, several companies (e.g., Waymo Via, Aurora, Kodiak Robotics) are actively developing and piloting Level 4 autonomous truck technology, with routes already being tested on public roads. This technology promises to significantly reduce the operational costs of trucking, primarily by eliminating or substantially reducing the need for human drivers and potentially allowing for near 24/7 operation. This could narrow or eliminate the cost advantage that intermodal rail traditionally holds for long-haul shipments, especially as it addresses the persistent driver shortage in the trucking industry. If autonomous trucks can offer comparable or lower costs, along with increased speed and flexibility for door-to-door delivery, they could divert significant freight volumes from rail, particularly for time-sensitive goods currently moved via intermodal.

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Norfolk Southern's main products and services primarily revolve around freight rail transportation. The company is a Class I freight railroad operating across the Southeast, East, and Midwest United States, facilitating the rail transport of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods. Their services include hauling diverse commodities such as coal, chemicals, agriculture products, consumer goods, metals, construction materials, automotive components, paper, clay, and forest products. A significant portion of their business also comes from intermodal services, which involve moving trailers and containers on railroad freight cars. The addressable market for Norfolk Southern's main products and services is the **United States Rail Freight Transport Market**. Market Size (Region: U.S.):
  • The U.S. Rail Freight Transport Market is estimated at approximately **USD 71.77 billion in 2025**, with a projected growth to USD 84.79 billion by 2030, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.39%.
  • Another estimate values the Rail Transportation market in the U.S. at **$103.0 billion in 2025**.

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Norfolk Southern (NSC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of increased freight volumes, enhanced operational efficiency, strategic infrastructure investments, and disciplined pricing strategies.

  1. Volume Growth Across Diverse Freight Segments: Norfolk Southern anticipates revenue growth driven by increased freight volumes, particularly within its intermodal and merchandise segments. The company reported overall volume increases in recent quarters, including 7% year-over-year volume growth in Q3 2024 and 5% for the full year 2024 (excluding fuel surcharge impacts). Analysts project strong import and export demand to further fuel intermodal growth in 2025. Additionally, improvements in agricultural shipments have contributed to volume gains.

  2. Enhanced Operational Efficiency and Service Excellence: A core driver of future revenue growth is Norfolk Southern's commitment to improving operational efficiency and service quality. The company has implemented initiatives such as the "Better Way" strategy and PSR 2.0, leading to improvements in metrics like car velocity, train speed, and terminal dwell. These operational enhancements aim to create a more competitive service platform, attract new business, and enable the company to capture increased market share by providing reliable and efficient transportation services.

  3. Strategic Investments in Infrastructure and Technology: Norfolk Southern plans significant investments in its infrastructure and technology, including approximately $2.2 billion in 2025. These investments are designed to enhance safety, improve operational efficiency, and expand intermodal train capacity, thereby supporting future volume growth and service capabilities. The integration of AI technology is also a focus to bolster both safety and efficiency.

  4. Pricing Discipline and Revenue Per Unit (RPU) Optimization: While external factors like fuel surcharges can impact overall revenue per unit (RPU), Norfolk Southern has demonstrated an ability to achieve RPU growth excluding fuel. The company reported a 2% increase in RPU less fuel in Q4 2024, marking a record and representing 38 out of 39 consecutive quarters of year-over-year growth in this metric. This indicates an ongoing focus on pricing discipline and optimizing the revenue generated per unit of freight, particularly in segments like industrial products and automotive.

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Share Repurchases

  • Norfolk Southern's Board of Directors authorized a new $10 billion stock repurchase program, effective April 1, 2022, with no expiration date.
  • The company repurchased $3.11 billion in shares in 2022 and $622 million in 2023.
  • In the first three months of 2025, Norfolk Southern repurchased 1.0 million shares of common stock at a cost of $250 million. The company had $6.9 billion remaining in its authorized share repurchase program as of December 2024 and aims to surpass $10 billion in annual buybacks by the third year following a July 2025 announcement.

Share Issuance

  • Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern announced an agreement in July 2025 to combine, with Union Pacific set to acquire Norfolk Southern in a stock and cash transaction.
  • As part of this transaction, Union Pacific will issue approximately 225 million common shares to Norfolk Southern shareholders, who will receive 1.0 Union Pacific common share and $88.82 in cash for each Norfolk Southern share. This represents 27% ownership in the combined company for Norfolk Southern shareholders. The transaction is targeted for completion by early 2027.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2024, Norfolk Southern completed the acquisition of a 337-mile railway line extending from Cincinnati, Ohio, to Chattanooga, Tennessee, from the Cincinnati Southern Railway (CSR), which it had previously operated under a lease. This acquisition is expected to increase operational efficiency and offer synergies.

Capital Expenditures

  • Norfolk Southern completed $1 billion in infrastructure improvements throughout its 22-state network in 2024.
  • Payments for property additions (capital expenditures) in 2024 amounted to $2.381 billion.
  • For 2025, the company plans to invest in infrastructure, technology, and customer partnerships to support long-term economic growth and supply chain efficiency, with over $350 million secured through public-private partnerships to reduce blocked crossings and enhance mobility. Capital expenditures in 2024 primarily focused on safety projects, track upgrades, and communications and signals work, including five digital train inspection portals, 313 grade crossing protection warning systems, and the replacement of 558 track miles of rail and 2.1 million ties.

Better Bets than Norfolk Southern (NSC)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NSC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.3%6.3%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.3%6.3%-0.4%
NSC_4302023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302023NSCNorfolk SouthernMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.0%22.0%-8.0%
NSC_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022NSCNorfolk SouthernMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.5%-14.4%-17.2%
NSC_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022NSCNorfolk SouthernMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.3%-19.6%-21.1%
NSC_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020NSCNorfolk SouthernDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
49.4%87.4%-4.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Norfolk Southern

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NSCCSXUNPCNICPMedian
NameNorfolk .CSX Union Pa.Canadian.Canadian. 
Mkt Price291.8836.59234.1598.7574.4598.75
Mkt Cap65.568.2138.761.467.867.8
Rev LTM12,23014,12324,54617,19815,02915,029
Op Inc LTM4,7554,8289,9706,4825,5565,556
FCF LTM2,0991,5526,0133,4442,3932,393
FCF 3Y Avg1,4932,5245,4343,5582,2222,524
CFO LTM4,2494,6159,7276,8175,4895,489
CFO 3Y Avg3,7765,0869,0276,9194,9705,086

Growth & Margins

NSCCSXUNPCNICPMedian
NameNorfolk .CSX Union Pa.Canadian.Canadian. 
Rev Chg LTM0.5%-3.8%1.1%0.2%4.0%0.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.3%-1.0%0.2%1.8%22.2%0.2%
Rev Chg Q1.7%-0.9%2.5%1.3%3.2%1.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%-0.2%0.6%0.3%0.8%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM38.9%34.2%40.6%37.7%37.0%37.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg38.6%36.5%39.3%38.4%35.7%38.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.2%-0.7%0.3%0.4%0.6%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM34.7%32.7%39.6%39.6%36.5%36.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg30.9%35.0%37.1%40.5%36.9%36.9%
FCF/Rev LTM17.2%11.0%24.5%20.0%15.9%17.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.2%17.3%22.3%20.8%16.6%17.3%

Valuation

NSCCSXUNPCNICPMedian
NameNorfolk .CSX Union Pa.Canadian.Canadian. 
Mkt Cap65.568.2138.761.467.867.8
P/S5.44.85.73.64.54.8
P/EBIT14.214.813.48.810.813.4
P/E22.123.519.713.315.919.7
P/CFO15.414.814.39.012.314.3
Total Yield4.5%5.3%7.4%11.1%7.4%7.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%2.3%3.6%1.1%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.6%3.9%3.9%5.3%3.1%3.9%
D/E0.30.30.20.30.40.3
Net D/E0.20.30.20.30.30.3

Returns

NSCCSXUNPCNICPMedian
NameNorfolk .CSX Union Pa.Canadian.Canadian. 
1M Rtn2.0%7.1%4.1%6.9%6.3%6.3%
3M Rtn0.4%7.8%3.3%7.8%0.7%3.3%
6M Rtn14.5%13.5%4.0%-2.0%-5.7%4.0%
12M Rtn26.4%15.4%5.6%-1.1%2.6%5.6%
3Y Rtn26.3%22.3%19.7%-12.4%1.0%19.7%
1M Excs Rtn-2.7%2.5%-0.5%2.2%1.7%1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-4.1%4.5%-1.9%3.8%-3.3%-1.9%
6M Excs Rtn2.1%0.1%-8.9%-14.7%-17.4%-8.9%
12M Excs Rtn11.5%-0.1%-10.3%-17.1%-12.2%-10.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.6%-58.6%-59.9%-92.6%-78.2%-59.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Intermodal3,0903,6813,1632,6542,824
Agriculture, forest and consumer products2,5302,4932,2512,1162,256
Chemicals2,0542,1481,9511,8092,092
Coal1,7131,7331,3101,0471,669
Metals and construction1,6341,6521,5621,3331,461
Automotive1,1351,038905830994
Total12,15612,74511,1429,78911,296


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$291.88 
Market Cap ($ Bil)65.5 
First Trading Date06/02/1982 
Distance from 52W High-2.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$287.49$262.93
DMA Trendupindeterminate
Distance from DMA1.5%11.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility13.6%22.7%
Downside Capture38.6555.06
Upside Capture33.7469.59
Correlation (SPY)31.9%63.5%
NSC Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.410.390.430.510.740.83
Up Beta0.430.480.470.560.820.89
Down Beta0.480.540.580.690.800.80
Up Capture67%14%39%52%48%48%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days11193368128389
Down Capture22%42%31%26%71%95%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days8222957119360

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of NSC With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 NSCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return25.4%20.4%18.8%72.9%9.0%3.7%-11.4%
Annualized Volatility22.9%18.8%19.5%19.2%15.3%17.2%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.910.850.762.720.360.05-0.14
Correlation With Other Assets 70.9%63.1%-1.8%24.5%59.2%14.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of NSC With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 NSCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return7.1%13.8%14.8%18.9%11.8%4.7%35.5%
Annualized Volatility24.9%17.2%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.270.640.700.980.510.160.62
Correlation With Other Assets 68.7%56.1%7.7%18.8%51.5%17.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of NSC With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 NSCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return14.8%13.5%14.8%15.1%6.8%5.4%69.1%
Annualized Volatility27.9%19.9%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.540.600.710.850.310.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 75.7%66.0%0.9%27.9%54.7%14.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,406,961
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-12.2%
Average Daily Volume1,514,211
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.23
Basic Shares Quantity224,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-1.2%-0.8%1.4%
7/29/2025-3.0%-2.4%-2.9%
4/23/20250.9%1.5%9.5%
1/29/20251.8%0.2%-3.5%
10/22/20244.9%2.2%5.2%
7/25/202410.9%10.6%8.6%
4/9/20241.3%-1.9%-6.6%
1/26/2024-1.5%7.9%7.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121413
# Negative121011
Median Positive3.0%2.1%7.2%
Median Negative-1.8%-1.7%-6.6%
Max Positive10.9%10.6%17.0%
Max Negative-5.3%-3.9%-12.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-K 12/31/2021