Hyatt Hotels (H)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $164.135 | Market Cap: $15.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Hyatt Hotels (H)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $164.135Market Cap: $15.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 44x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 45x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -2.3% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4% |
| Key risksH key risks include a stressed financial position characterized by [1] significant profitability pressures from recent losses, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -2.3% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 44x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 45x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4% |
| Key risksH key risks include a stressed financial position characterized by [1] significant profitability pressures from recent losses, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
H Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points regarding the performance of Hyatt Hotels (H) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: **1. Analyst Upgrades and Positive Price Targets.** Barclays upgraded Hyatt Hotels (H) to Overweight on December 17, 2025, increasing its price target to $200.00 from $161.00. Concurrently, JPMorgan initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a price target of $178, indicating a potential upside of approximately 15%. **2. Expected Superior Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR) Growth.** Barclays' upgrade in December 2025 was partly based on Hyatt's strong exposure to high-end hotels, which is expected to lead to superior blended RevPAR growth in 2026 compared to its competitors. **3. Accelerating Organic Net Rooms Growth and Portfolio Expansion.** Hyatt demonstrated reaccelerating organic net rooms growth, with management indicating 2026 unit growth comparable to that of market leader Hilton. The company also significantly expanded its Essentials portfolio, signing over 20 new Hyatt Select deals and reaching 70 total hotel deals for its Hyatt Studios brand by December 2025. **4. Strategic Transactions and Optimized Capital Structure.** The impending closure of the Playa Hotels & Resorts real estate transaction was identified as a significant catalyst, previously obscuring Hyatt's underlying key performance indicators. Additionally, Hyatt announced a $400 million public offering of senior notes due in 2035, which was set to close in November 2025, aiming to manage debt and enhance its capital structure. **5. High-Profile Luxury Reopenings and Global Brand Expansion.** In December 2025, Hyatt celebrated the reopening of the extensively renovated Park Hyatt Tokyo and broadened its global footprint with new luxury properties, including the first Park Hyatt hotel in Mexico (Cabo del Sol) and the debut of Hyatt Centric San Juan Isla Verde in Puerto Rico. These initiatives are poised to bolster revenue growth and global brand prestige.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| H Return | -17% | 29% | -6% | 45% | 21% | 4% | 84% |
| Peers Return | -6% | 37% | -16% | 28% | 22% | -4% | 62% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| H Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 60% | 42% | 58% | 63% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| H Max Drawdown | -59% | -12% | -26% | -2% | -3% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -55% | -8% | -25% | -4% | -9% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MAR, HLT, WH, CHH, HST. See H Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | H | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 211 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 645 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 357 days | 120 days |
Compare to MAR, HLT, CHH, AHMA, BKNG
In The Past
Hyatt Hotels's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to H. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Hyatt Hotels
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 129.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.2 |
| Rev LTM | 6,426 |
| Op Inc LTM | 700 |
| FCF LTM | 482 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 610 |
| CFO LTM | 824 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,006 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.2 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 14.2 |
| P/E | 17.0 |
| P/CFO | 21.3 |
| Total Yield | 6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 50.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 7.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -25.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Management and franchising | 4,154 | ||||
| Owned and leased | 1,368 | 1,242 | 855 | 525 | 1,883 |
| Distribution | 1,236 | ||||
| Eliminations | -91 | -76 | -47 | -27 | -110 |
| ASPAC management and franchising | 254 | 164 | 134 | 247 | |
| Americas management and franchising | 2,845 | 1,752 | 1,328 | 2,781 | |
| Apple Leisure Group | 1,403 | 166 | |||
| Corporate and other | 65 | 41 | 38 | 67 | |
| EAME management and franchising | 158 | 97 | 68 | 152 | |
| Total | 6,667 | 5,891 | 3,028 | 2,066 | 5,020 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 6.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | 2.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | 5.3% | 9.9% | 17.3% |
| 2/13/2025 | -9.1% | -10.1% | -24.5% |
| 10/31/2024 | -7.4% | -2.5% | 0.6% |
| 8/6/2024 | -1.4% | -0.3% | 10.3% |
| 5/9/2024 | 3.0% | 0.9% | -1.7% |
| 2/15/2024 | -1.1% | 11.8% | 16.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -3.0% | -6.6% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 16.2% | 31.9% |
| Max Negative | -9.1% | -11.7% | -55.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
