Choice Hotels International (CHH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $95.29 | Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Choice Hotels International (CHH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $95.29Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87% | Key risksCHH key risks include [1] lagging net unit growth compared to its sector and [2] share price declines resulting from failed strategic transactions like its attempt to acquire Wyndham. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.08, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Real Estate Data Analytics. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Real Estate Data Analytics. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.08, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Key risksCHH key risks include [1] lagging net unit growth compared to its sector and [2] share price declines resulting from failed strategic transactions like its attempt to acquire Wyndham. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CHH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Choice Hotels International (CHH) experienced significant shifts between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. While a precise -20.2% movement cannot be pinpointed to a single event or day, a series of analyst downgrades and a decline in U.S. RevPAR contributed to downward pressure on the stock.
1. Q3 2025 Adjusted Earnings Decline and Lowered Guidance.
Choice Hotels International reported its third-quarter 2025 results on November 5, 2025, with adjusted earnings falling to $2.10 per diluted share, a decrease from $2.23 in the same period of 2024. This figure also missed analyst expectations of $2.19 per share. The company subsequently lowered its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance, leading to investor concern regarding future profitability.
2. Decline in U.S. RevPAR.
Despite overall global RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) increasing by 0.2% in Q3 2025, U.S. RevPAR declined by 3.2% primarily due to softer government and international inbound demand. This domestic market weakness likely contributed to negative sentiment for the stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CHH Return | 4% | 47% | -27% | 2% | 26% | -34% | -6% |
| Peers Return | -8% | 43% | -16% | 32% | 21% | 5% | 85% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CHH Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 25% | 42% | 67% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 55% | 45% | 58% | 60% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CHH Max Drawdown | -48% | -6% | -33% | -2% | -3% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -61% | -9% | -29% | -5% | -8% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WH, MAR, HLT, H, HGV. See CHH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CHH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 256 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -20.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 130 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -54.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1656 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MAR, HLT, H, CHDN, WH
In The Past
Choice Hotels International's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CHH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| 10032025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.9% | -10.9% | -19.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| 10032025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.9% | -10.9% | -19.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Choice Hotels International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 129.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.9 |
| Rev LTM | 5,956 |
| Op Inc LTM | 572 |
| FCF LTM | 209 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 332 |
| CFO LTM | 325 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 450 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.9 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 22.6 |
| P/CFO | 21.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 47.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -26.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hotel Franchising & Management | 1,444 | 1,299 | 1,026 | 747 | 1,086 |
| Corporate & Other | 111 | 109 | 46 | 28 | 31 |
| Intersegment Eliminations | -11 | -5 | -3 | -2 | -2 |
| Total | 1,544 | 1,402 | 1,069 | 774 | 1,115 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hotel Franchising & Management | 509 | 553 | 485 | 191 | 392 |
| Intersegment Eliminations | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corporate & Other | -134 | -74 | -56 | -70 | -74 |
| Total | 375 | 479 | 429 | 122 | 319 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 6.0% | 6.5% | -6.3% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.4% | -2.8% | -6.4% |
| 5/8/2025 | -3.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% |
| 2/20/2025 | 3.1% | -0.8% | -12.0% |
| 11/4/2024 | 1.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | -2.0% | -3.6% | -0.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | -5.3% | -3.1% | -7.4% |
| 2/20/2024 | -2.8% | -4.5% | 9.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 14 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -3.4% | -7.0% |
| Max Positive | 6.0% | 9.7% | 21.2% |
| Max Negative | -9.1% | -7.0% | -37.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |