Tearsheet

Choice Hotels International (CHH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $95.29 | Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Choice Hotels International (CHH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $95.29
Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
Key risks
CHH key risks include [1] lagging net unit growth compared to its sector and [2] share price declines resulting from failed strategic transactions like its attempt to acquire Wyndham.
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.08, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.08, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
7 Key risks
CHH key risks include [1] lagging net unit growth compared to its sector and [2] share price declines resulting from failed strategic transactions like its attempt to acquire Wyndham.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CHH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Choice Hotels International (CHH) experienced significant shifts between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. While a precise -20.2% movement cannot be pinpointed to a single event or day, a series of analyst downgrades and a decline in U.S. RevPAR contributed to downward pressure on the stock.

1. Q3 2025 Adjusted Earnings Decline and Lowered Guidance.
Choice Hotels International reported its third-quarter 2025 results on November 5, 2025, with adjusted earnings falling to $2.10 per diluted share, a decrease from $2.23 in the same period of 2024. This figure also missed analyst expectations of $2.19 per share. The company subsequently lowered its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance, leading to investor concern regarding future profitability.

2. Decline in U.S. RevPAR.
Despite overall global RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) increasing by 0.2% in Q3 2025, U.S. RevPAR declined by 3.2% primarily due to softer government and international inbound demand. This domestic market weakness likely contributed to negative sentiment for the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CHH Return4%47%-27%2%26%-34%-6%
Peers Return-8%43%-16%32%21%5%85%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CHH Win Rate58%75%25%42%67%42% 
Peers Win Rate48%55%45%58%60%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CHH Max Drawdown-48%-6%-33%-2%-3%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-61%-9%-29%-5%-8%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WH, MAR, HLT, H, HGV. See CHH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCHHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven102.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven256 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven130 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-54.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1656 days1480 days

Compare to MAR, HLT, H, CHDN, WH


In The Past

Choice Hotels International's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Choice Hotels International (CHH)

Better Bets than Choice Hotels International (CHH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CHH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
CHH_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.9%-10.9%-19.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
CHH_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.9%-10.9%-19.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Choice Hotels International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CHHWHMARHLTHHGVMedian
NameChoice H.Wyndham .Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho.Hilton G. 
Mkt Price95.2180.49310.07293.00164.2845.20129.75
Mkt Cap4.46.184.368.615.74.010.9
Rev LTM1,5961,43625,92511,7356,9144,9985,956
Op Inc LTM4685934,1372,580449551572
FCF LTM1242941,9272,29610777209
FCF 3Y Avg1692682,3231,916397129332
CFO LTM2683492,7012,508301238325
CFO 3Y Avg3013102,9142,122590246450

Growth & Margins

CHHWHMARHLTHHGVMedian
NameChoice H.Wyndham .Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho.Hilton G. 
Rev Chg LTM2.8%3.4%4.7%6.7%3.1%6.0%4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.7%-2.5%10.6%13.1%9.1%10.9%9.9%
Rev Chg Q4.5%-3.5%3.7%8.8%9.6%-0.5%4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%-1.0%0.9%2.2%2.3%-0.1%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM29.3%41.3%16.0%22.0%6.5%11.0%19.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.4%38.4%16.3%22.0%5.8%14.4%19.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%0.8%0.6%0.8%0.0%-1.1%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM16.8%24.3%10.4%21.4%4.4%4.8%13.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.2%22.0%11.8%19.4%8.8%5.5%15.5%
FCF/Rev LTM7.8%20.5%7.4%19.6%1.5%1.5%7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%19.0%9.4%17.5%5.9%3.0%10.1%

Valuation

CHHWHMARHLTHHGVMedian
NameChoice H.Wyndham .Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho.Hilton G. 
Mkt Cap4.46.184.368.615.74.010.9
P/S3.14.32.75.22.00.72.9
P/EBIT8.610.616.923.444.28.313.8
P/E12.918.127.136.5-154.069.722.6
P/CFO18.417.526.224.245.015.521.3
Total Yield7.8%7.6%4.7%2.9%-0.2%1.4%3.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%1.0%0.1%0.4%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%4.4%3.5%3.8%3.1%3.2%3.4%
D/E0.40.40.20.20.52.00.4
Net D/E0.40.40.20.20.41.90.4

Returns

CHHWHMARHLTHHGVMedian
NameChoice H.Wyndham .Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho.Hilton G. 
1M Rtn3.4%15.6%9.6%10.1%10.3%18.0%10.2%
3M Rtn-14.1%-3.2%18.6%10.0%16.6%1.0%5.5%
6M Rtn-22.5%2.0%21.0%18.5%24.2%14.9%16.7%
12M Rtn-33.8%-20.5%8.2%17.3%4.7%12.0%6.4%
3Y Rtn-14.5%21.1%107.8%125.7%73.4%10.3%47.3%
1M Excs Rtn2.7%14.9%8.9%9.4%9.5%17.2%9.5%
3M Excs Rtn-14.5%-3.9%16.4%8.7%13.8%-0.6%4.1%
6M Excs Rtn-34.9%-10.3%8.6%6.1%11.8%2.5%4.3%
12M Excs Rtn-45.5%-31.6%-2.0%5.1%-7.3%1.1%-4.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-87.2%-49.8%27.4%44.7%-2.3%-60.1%-26.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Hotel Franchising & Management1,4441,2991,0267471,086
Corporate & Other111109462831
Intersegment Eliminations-11-5-3-2-2
Total1,5441,4021,0697741,115


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Hotel Franchising & Management509553485191392
Intersegment Eliminations00   
Corporate & Other-134-74-56-70-74
Total375479429122319


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,581,530
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.3%
Average Daily Volume553,550
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.08
Basic Shares Quantity46,050,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20256.0%6.5%-6.3%
8/6/2025-0.4%-2.8%-6.4%
5/8/2025-3.6%1.2%2.3%
2/20/20253.1%-0.8%-12.0%
11/4/20241.1%4.4%7.9%
8/8/2024-2.0%-3.6%-0.7%
5/8/2024-5.3%-3.1%-7.4%
2/20/2024-2.8%-4.5%9.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121012
# Negative121412
Median Positive2.3%4.1%5.7%
Median Negative-2.9%-3.4%-7.0%
Max Positive6.0%9.7%21.2%
Max Negative-9.1%-7.0%-37.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021