Goosehead Insurance (GSHD)
Market Price (7/7/2026): $53.1 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Insurance Brokers
Goosehead Insurance (GSHD)
Market Price (7/7/2026): $53.1Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Insurance Brokers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.9% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Insurance Platforms, and Online Insurance Marketplaces. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 42x Key risksGSHD key risks include [1] significant financial pressure from rising expenses, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.9% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Insurance Platforms, and Online Insurance Marketplaces. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 42x |
| Key risksGSHD key risks include [1] significant financial pressure from rising expenses, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) stock has gained about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Goosehead Insurance significantly surpassed Q1 2026 earnings expectations. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.37 for fiscal Q1 2026 (period ending March 31, 2026), exceeding analysts' estimates of $0.20 by an impressive 85.00%. Total revenue also outperformed, reaching $93.08 million against estimates of $86.68 million. This strong financial performance for the quarter, announced on April 22, 2026, contributed to positive market sentiment.
2. The company demonstrated robust growth in key operational metrics and expanded its business footprint. Goosehead Insurance recorded a 23.1% year-over-year increase in total revenue and a substantial 108.8% rise in net income during fiscal Q1 2026. The number of active insurance policies grew by 14% to 1,973,000 as of March 31, 2026. Furthermore, new business commissions surged by 29%, marking the fastest pace in nearly five years, and the company added 20 new franchise locations during the quarter.
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Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) stock has gained about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Goosehead Insurance significantly surpassed Q1 2026 earnings expectations. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.37 for fiscal Q1 2026 (period ending March 31, 2026), exceeding analysts' estimates of $0.20 by an impressive 85.00%. Total revenue also outperformed, reaching $93.08 million against estimates of $86.68 million. This strong financial performance for the quarter, announced on April 22, 2026, contributed to positive market sentiment.
2. The company demonstrated robust growth in key operational metrics and expanded its business footprint. Goosehead Insurance recorded a 23.1% year-over-year increase in total revenue and a substantial 108.8% rise in net income during fiscal Q1 2026. The number of active insurance policies grew by 14% to 1,973,000 as of March 31, 2026. Furthermore, new business commissions surged by 29%, marking the fastest pace in nearly five years, and the company added 20 new franchise locations during the quarter.
3. An extended share repurchase program signaled strong management confidence. In February 2026, the company's board of directors extended its share repurchase program, authorizing an additional $180 million for Class A common stock purchases through May 1, 2027. This move, following an initial $100 million authorization, indicates management's belief in the company's underlying value and future prospects, providing support for the stock price.
4. Favorable industry tailwinds and market dynamics bolstered the stock's performance. The property & casualty (P&C) insurance sector experienced a positive environment, with the industry ranking favorably among sectors. This included strong momentum in personal auto insurance, supported by improved investment returns and fewer claims. Additionally, a broader market rotation towards insurance and financial stocks, partly influenced by a softer-than-expected June jobs report easing rate-hike concerns, provided a macroeconomic tailwind for Goosehead.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.2% change in GSHD stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 42.66 | 53.00 | 24.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 365 | 383 | 4.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 37.9 | 42.3 | 11.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 24 | 1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GSHD | 24.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.5% | -28.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.7% | 28.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -28.0% change in GSHD stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 73.65 | 53.00 | -28.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 354 | 383 | 8.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.5% | 7.9% | -7.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 61.2 | 42.3 | -30.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 24 | 3.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -28.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GSHD | -28.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.5% | -9.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.0% | 28.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -49.8% change in GSHD stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -49.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 105.51 | 53.00 | -49.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 326 | 383 | 17.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.5% | 7.9% | -16.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 84.5 | 42.3 | -49.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 24 | 2.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -49.8% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GSHD | -49.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.6% | -0.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.5% | 29.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.0% change in GSHD stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -91.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 59.52 | 53.00 | -11.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 226 | 383 | 69.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.2% | 7.9% | 554.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 503.9 | 42.3 | -91.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 23 | 24 | -4.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GSHD | -11.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.5% | 18.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 74.0% | 32.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GSHD Return | 6% | -74% | 121% | 41% | -27% | -28% | -55% |
| Peers Return | -2% | -42% | 45% | 62% | -36% | -21% | -32% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GSHD Win Rate | 42% | 17% | 83% | 50% | 42% | 43% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 35% | 55% | 60% | 48% | 37% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GSHD Max Drawdown | -53% | -77% | -17% | -42% | -47% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -56% | -36% | -34% | -55% | -47% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BWIN, BRO, AJG, SLQT, EHTH. See GSHD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GSHD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -77.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 342.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 872 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Goosehead Insurance's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | GSHD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -77.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 342.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 872 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Goosehead Insurance's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Goosehead Insurance (GSHD)
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC, functioning as a prominent personal lines insurance agency across the United States. Rather than underwriting insurance policies itself, Goosehead acts as an intermediary, leveraging its agency model to connect clients with various insurance carriers. The company employs a distinctive dual-channel approach, comprising both corporate-owned operations and a robust franchise network, which included over 2,100 franchises as of late 2021, facilitating expansive market reach and growth.
The company provides a comprehensive array of personal lines insurance products tailored to the needs of individuals and families. Its offerings include foundational coverages such as homeowner's, automotive, and dwelling property insurance. Additionally, Goosehead extends its product portfolio to include specialized policies like flood, wind, earthquake, and excess liability (umbrella) insurance, alongside coverage for motorcycles, recreational vehicles, and life insurance. The primary market consists of individuals and families seeking diverse and competitive insurance solutions for their personal assets and liabilities.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Goosehead Insurance (GSHD):
- The RE/MAX for personal lines insurance agencies.
- An H&R Block for your home and auto insurance needs.
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- Home & Property Insurance: Offers various policies to protect residential properties and other personal property from risks such as fire, theft, flood, wind, and earthquakes.
- Automotive & Vehicle Insurance: Provides coverage for different types of vehicles, including cars, motorcycles, and recreational vehicles, against damage, theft, and liability.
- Liability Insurance: Offers policies that provide additional financial protection against legal liabilities, including umbrella coverage and general liability for various risks.
- Life Insurance: Provides financial security to beneficiaries upon the death of the insured.
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- Homeowners and Property Owners: Individuals seeking insurance for their primary residences, rental properties, and related perils such as flood, wind, and earthquake.
- Vehicle Owners: Individuals requiring insurance coverage for their automobiles, motorcycles, and recreational vehicles.
- Individuals Seeking Broader Personal Risk Management: This category includes customers looking for comprehensive personal protection, such as excess liability (umbrella) coverage and life insurance.
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The major suppliers for Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) are the insurance carriers whose policies they sell. Based on their partnerships, some of their major suppliers include:
- The Progressive Corporation (PGR)
- The Allstate Corporation (ALL)
- The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)
- Chubb Limited (CB)
- The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (HIG)
- Mercury General Corporation (MCY)
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Mark Miller, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Miller has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer for Goosehead since July 2024, having previously served as Chief Operating Officer since 2022. He joined the board in March 2018. For 15 years prior to Goosehead, he worked for prominent private equity firms, leading large-scale financial and operational transformations. Mr. Miller was the Chief Financial Officer for Pluralsight, Finastra, Marketo, and Active Networks, all of which were Vista Equity Partners portfolio companies at the time. He also held the CFO position at Sabre and L.H.P. Hospital Group and was instrumental in Sabre's initial public offering and subsequent $5 billion privatization transaction.
Mark Jones, Jr., Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Jones, Jr. joined Goosehead in 2016 as Controller, was promoted to Vice President – Finance in 2020, Chief Financial Officer in 2022, and added Chief Operating Officer to his title in 2025. He oversees the company's financial strategy, day-to-day operations, capital markets, accounting, partnerships, and capital allocation strategy. He played a central role in the company's 2018 initial public offering. Prior to joining Goosehead, Mr. Jones, Jr. worked in Ernst & Young's audit practice, primarily focusing on financial services companies.
Mark E. Jones, Executive Chairman
Mr. Jones is the co-founder of Goosehead Insurance, established in 2003, and served as its Chief Executive Officer from inception until July 2024, when he transitioned to Executive Chairman. Under his leadership, Goosehead grew to become one of the largest and fastest-growing personal lines insurance brokers in the United States. He has also served as CEO of N5B Capital, an alternative asset investment firm, since 2022. Before co-founding Goosehead, he was a Senior Partner and Director at Bain & Company, a global management consulting firm. Earlier in his career, he worked in the audit and mergers-and-acquisitions practice groups for Ernst & Young.
Robyn Jones, Vice Chairman
Ms. Jones is the co-founder of Goosehead Insurance, which she started in 2003 with her husband, Mark Jones. Her motivation stemmed from recognizing a lack of options and personalized service in the insurance market while working in real estate. She envisioned a company that provided clients with more choices and better support. Ms. Jones retired from day-to-day management in 2020, after having led facilities, recruiting, and the Women's Initiative Network, but continues to serve as Vice Chairman and a director.
John O'Connor, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Mr. O'Connor serves as the General Counsel and Corporate Secretary for Goosehead Insurance.
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Key Risks to Goosehead Insurance (GSHD)
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Dependence on Housing Market and Carrier Relationships
Goosehead Insurance's business is significantly influenced by the health of the housing market, as a substantial portion of its new accounts originates from referrals related to home closing transactions. Fluctuations in interest rates or slowdowns in housing market activity can directly impede the company's growth and new business generation.
Furthermore, Goosehead's revenue model is heavily reliant on commission rates established by its partner insurance carriers, which are subject to change. The potential for rising claim costs and stricter underwriting practices from carriers, particularly in regions susceptible to natural catastrophes, could lead to a deceleration in policy growth. The company also faces risks related to the volatility of contingent commissions, which can impact its financial stability.
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Challenges within the Franchise Business Model
A core component of Goosehead's growth strategy is its franchise channel, which inherently carries risks related to attracting, retaining, and adequately supporting its network of franchisees. Reports indicate concerns about the high failure rate of first-year franchisees and the limited income some franchisees generate, potentially leading to churn within the network. Conflicts with franchisees or an inability to scale support for the expanding franchise system could adversely affect Goosehead's financial performance.
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Competition and Digital Disruption
Goosehead operates in a highly competitive insurance market, facing challenges from both established insurance brokers and emerging technology-driven entrants. The accelerating pace of digital disruption and the rise of direct-to-consumer insurance models pose a threat to the relevance and profitability of Goosehead's traditional agency and franchise approach. Larger competitors benefit from greater economies of scale, enabling them to exert pricing pressure and allocate more resources to marketing, research and development, and distribution, which could limit Goosehead's ability to maintain its market share.
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The increasing sophistication and adoption of direct-to-consumer (D2C) digital platforms by insurance carriers and insurtech companies, which streamline the process of comparing and purchasing insurance without the need for an intermediary agent.
The growth of "embedded insurance," where insurance products are integrated directly into the purchase process of an unrelated primary product or service (e.g., auto insurance offered with a car purchase, homeowner's insurance bundled with a mortgage), thereby bypassing traditional independent agents.
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For Goosehead Insurance (GSHD), the addressable markets for its main products and services in the United States are sizable:
- The U.S. homeowner's insurance market was valued at approximately $175.1 billion in 2025.
- The U.S. automobile insurance market size was approximately $352.9 billion in 2025.
- The U.S. life insurance and annuities market is projected to be around $1.1 trillion in 2026.
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Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) anticipates future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years to be driven by several key factors:
- Accelerated Investments in Technology and AI: The company is making significant investments in its Digital Agent 2.0 platform, AI-driven initiatives, and scaling enterprise partnerships. These technological advancements are expected to drive operational improvements, enhance scalability, and contribute to incremental long-term growth, with management viewing this as potentially the single largest growth driver in the company's history.
- Enhanced Client Retention and New Business Production: Goosehead has demonstrated consistent improvement in client retention rates, rising to 85%. This, combined with growth in new business production from both its corporate and franchise sales networks, is expected to lead to a continued acceleration in policies in force.
- Increased Productivity within the Franchise Channel: While the company is focusing on strategic franchise network consolidation to emphasize higher-performing agencies, the overall goal is to enhance productivity. Improvements in productivity per agency and an increase in producers per franchise are considered powerful levers for accelerating growth.
- Geographic Diversification: Goosehead has a stated strategy to diversify its premium mix by expanding beyond its historical concentration in Texas, which accounted for a notable portion of its 2025 premiums. This expansion into new markets aims to broaden its operational footprint and revenue sources.
- Favorable Premium Rate Environment: Rising premium rates in the insurance market have been identified as a contributor to core revenue growth. This trend allows for higher commission revenue on existing and new policies.
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Share Repurchases
- Goosehead Insurance authorized a new $100 million share repurchase program through May 1, 2026.
- The company repurchased and retired 685,000 Class A shares for $58.7 million in Q3 2025.
- In February 2026, the share repurchase authorization was expanded by an additional $180 million, bringing the total to $280 million through May 1, 2027.
Share Issuance
- As of February 14, 2025, there were 24,709,559 Class A common shares and 12,593,687 Class B common shares outstanding.
Capital Expenditures
- Goosehead invested $10.9 million in its multi-year "digital agent" technology platform in 2025.
- Management anticipates investing $25 million to $35 million annually in the digital agent platform during both 2026 and 2027, with approximately 70% of these investments expected to be capitalized.
- Strategic investments, which include the digital agent platform, were $2.9 million in Q4 2025, with forecasts of $25 million to $35 million for total strategic investments in 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,625 |
| Op Inc LTM | 67 |
| FCF LTM | 31 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 31 |
| CFO LTM | 64 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 45 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 18.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 25.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 10.0% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 116.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance distribution | 365 | 315 | 261 | ||
| Single Segment | 209 | 151 | |||
| Total | 365 | 315 | 261 | 209 | 151 |
| $ Mil | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franchise Channel | 21 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Corporate Channel | -2 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Other | -11 | -10 | -8 | -33 | -5 |
| Total | 8 | 19 | 10 | -19 | 9 |
| $ Mil | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 167 | 77 | 27 | 19 | 2 |
| Franchise Channel | 57 | 83 | 23 | 9 | 7 |
| Corporate Channel | 44 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 8 |
| Total | 268 | 186 | 65 | 35 | 17 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $53.00 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/27/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -48.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $78.11 | $68.71 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -32.1% | -22.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 70.9% | 57.6% |
| Downside Capture | -342.56 | 19.05 |
| Upside Capture | -113.15 | -61.11 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -27.3% | -1.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -1.21 | -1.72 | -1.22 | -0.46 | -0.03 | 0.64 |
| Up Beta | -1.48 | -0.75 | -0.06 | 0.65 | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| Down Beta | -0.72 | -1.00 | -1.44 | -1.27 | -0.50 | 0.77 |
| Up Capture | 81% | -132% | -65% | -64% | -30% | 14% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 20 | 34 | 63 | 120 | 357 |
| Down Capture | -347% | -353% | -379% | -10% | 44% | 83% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 21 | 29 | 62 | 130 | 390 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GSHD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSHD | -47.5% | 57.6% | -0.90 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.0% | 14.7% | 0.31 | 29.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.2% | 12.5% | 1.32 | -1.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.7% | 27.8% | 0.75 | -15.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.2% | 18.6% | 0.90 | -6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.4% | 13.8% | 0.61 | 23.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -43.6% | 42.7% | -1.23 | 2.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GSHD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSHD | -13.6% | 58.8% | -0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.6% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 39.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 37.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.1% | 18.3% | 0.80 | -5.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.5% | 0.27 | -0.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 36.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.2% | 53.6% | 0.45 | 21.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GSHD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSHD | 14.2% | 59.7% | 0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.5% | 22.2% | 0.56 | 34.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 37.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.62 | -0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.8% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 6.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 34.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.3% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 17.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/22/2026 | 11.4% | 3.6% | -6.8% |
| 2/17/2026 | -6.4% | -1.1% | -11.1% |
| 10/22/2025 | 8.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 7/23/2025 | -13.9% | -11.6% | -16.3% |
| 4/23/2025 | -12.0% | -8.2% | 1.3% |
| 2/24/2025 | 15.9% | 14.1% | 14.8% |
| 10/23/2024 | 12.6% | 13.5% | 27.2% |
| 7/24/2024 | 29.2% | 37.4% | 22.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
| Median Negative | -11.2% | -8.2% | -11.1% |
| Max Positive | 29.2% | 37.4% | 27.2% |
| Max Negative | -17.9% | -23.6% | -32.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/22/2026 | 11.4% | 3.6% | -6.8% |
| 2/17/2026 | -6.4% | -1.1% | -11.1% |
| 10/22/2025 | 8.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 7/23/2025 | -13.9% | -11.6% | -16.3% |
| 4/23/2025 | -12.0% | -8.2% | 1.3% |
| 2/24/2025 | 15.9% | 14.1% | 14.8% |
| 10/23/2024 | 12.6% | 13.5% | 27.2% |
| 7/24/2024 | 29.2% | 37.4% | 22.5% |
| 4/24/2024 | -11.7% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2/21/2024 | -17.9% | -13.0% | -17.0% |
| 10/25/2023 | -1.7% | -3.7% | 8.9% |
| 4/26/2023 | 9.6% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| 2/22/2023 | 16.0% | 23.2% | 26.0% |
| 10/26/2022 | 13.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% |
| 7/27/2022 | 13.0% | 14.5% | 18.2% |
| 4/26/2022 | 5.2% | 15.0% | -7.2% |
| 2/23/2022 | 4.6% | -4.7% | -4.4% |
| 4/29/2021 | -4.3% | -13.1% | -21.7% |
| 2/23/2021 | -10.7% | -23.6% | -32.3% |
| 10/29/2020 | 14.5% | 16.0% | 15.0% |
| 7/30/2020 | 23.2% | 26.9% | 21.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
| Median Negative | -11.2% | -8.2% | -11.1% |
| Max Positive | 29.2% | 37.4% | 27.2% |
| Max Negative | -17.9% | -23.6% | -32.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/23/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/23/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/30/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/31/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/04/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/16/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/04/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/02/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/22/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Revenue Growth | 10.0% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 14.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 Total Written Premiums Growth | 12.0% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 16.0% for 2026 |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/17/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Revenue Growth | 10.0% | 14.5% | 19.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 3.675E10% for 2025 | ||
| 2026 Total Written Premiums Growth | 12.0% | 16.0% | 20.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 4.515E11% for 2025 | ||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/22/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Total written premiums | 4.38 Bil | 4.51 Bil | 4.65 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 4.51 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Total revenues | 350.00 Mil | 367.50 Mil | 385.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 367.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/29/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin, John Arthur | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 5292026 | 34.73 | 5,000 | 173,650 | 173,650 | Form |
| 2 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 40.07 | 45,588 | Form | |||
| 3 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5212026 | 41.36 | 70,751 | Form | |||
| 4 | Thornthwaite, Martin Ellis | General Counsel | Direct | Buy | 5182026 | 41.50 | 5,000 | 207,500 | 207,500 | Form |
| 5 | Jones, Mark E JR | President & COO | Direct | Buy | 5152026 | 37.50 | 2,650 | 99,375 | 263,025 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin, John Arthur | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 5292026 | 34.73 | 5,000 | 173,650 | 173,650 | Form |
| 2 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 40.07 | 45,588 | Form | |||
| 3 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5212026 | 41.36 | 70,751 | Form | |||
| 4 | Thornthwaite, Martin Ellis | General Counsel | Direct | Buy | 5182026 | 41.50 | 5,000 | 207,500 | 207,500 | Form |
| 5 | Jones, Mark E JR | President & COO | Direct | Buy | 5152026 | 37.50 | 2,650 | 99,375 | 263,025 | Form |
| 6 | Miller, Mark | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 5152026 | 36.89 | 5,000 | 184,450 | 1,475,600 | Form |
| 7 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5052026 | 45.32 | 5,090 | Form | |||
| 8 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 4302026 | 48.07 | 5,307 | Form | |||
| 9 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 4302026 | 49.06 | 179 | Form | |||
| 10 | Goldberg, Louis | Direct | Buy | 2252026 | 44.85 | 5,575 | 250,039 | 250,039 | Form | |
| 11 | McConnon, Thomas | See footnote | Sell | 12032025 | 73.62 | 69,686 | 5,130,522 | 19,828,407 | Form | |
| 12 | Miller, Mark | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 12012025 | 72.34 | 5,000 | 361,700 | 2,531,900 | Form |
| 13 | O'Connor, John Terry | General Counsel | Direct | Buy | 11282025 | 71.81 | 2,100 | 150,801 | 222,611 | Form |
| 14 | Jones, Mark E JR | CFO & COO | Direct | Buy | 10292025 | 74.44 | 873 | 64,986 | 324,857 | Form |
| 15 | Kebodeaux, Adrienne | Direct | Sell | 8212025 | 86.30 | 3,000 | Form | |||
| 16 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8182025 | 87.01 | 600 | Form | |||
| 17 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8182025 | 87.60 | 21,391 | Form | |||
| 18 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 88.23 | 60,000 | Form | |||
| 19 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 87.11 | 48,320 | Form | |||
| 20 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 86.44 | 45,998 | Form | |||
| 21 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 87.18 | 14,717 | Form | |||
| 22 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8072025 | 87.14 | 6,175 | Form | |||
| 23 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8072025 | 87.60 | 12,153 | Form | |||
| 24 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8072025 | 89.41 | 900 | Form | |||
| 25 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 8042025 | 93.24 | 31,516 | Form | |||
| 26 | Jones, Mark E JR | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 7302025 | 86.08 | 1,149 | 98,906 | 300,505 | Form |
| 27 | Langston, Lindy | Direct | Sell | 5292025 | 110.16 | 2,853 | Form | |||
| 28 | Langston, Lindy | Direct | Sell | 5292025 | 110.20 | 11,042 | Form | |||
| 29 | Langston, Lindy | Direct | Sell | 5222025 | 110.05 | 1,105 | Form | |||
| 30 | O'Connor, John Terry | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 5152025 | 104.42 | 2,500 | 261,050 | 104,420 | Form |
| 31 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5142025 | 104.76 | 21,385 | Form | |||
| 32 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5132025 | 105.42 | 111,313 | Form | |||
| 33 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5132025 | 103.74 | 50,000 | Form | |||
| 34 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5092025 | 102.56 | 37,221 | Form | |||
| 35 | Mark, & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 | Direct | Sell | 5092025 | 101.95 | 30,081 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Insurance Brokers Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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