Tearsheet

CaliberCos (CWD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.15 | Market Cap: $2.7 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

CaliberCos (CWD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.15
Market Cap: $2.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -144%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1413%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -19%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -38%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 809%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -469%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2063%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -144%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1413%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -19%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -38%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 809%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -469%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2063%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CWD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

CaliberCos (CWD) experienced significant downward pressure on its stock price during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, with several factors contributing to a substantial decline.

1. Weak Financial Performance and Revenue Decline: The company demonstrated a concerning trend of decreasing revenue, with a 43.79% decline in 2024 compared to the previous year. This continued into 2025, with reports indicating a 63% revenue decline over the last year and a 70% aggregate reduction over the past three years as of November 2025. CaliberCos also missed analyst estimates for both GAAP EPS and revenue in its third-quarter 2025 financial results.

2. Nasdaq Compliance Issues and Delisting Risk: CaliberCos faced challenges with Nasdaq listing requirements, having been notified in May 2024 that its common stock fell below the minimum bid price. While the company was granted an extension until May 2025 to regain compliance, and later in November 2025, it regained compliance with the Nasdaq stockholders' equity requirement, these ongoing issues signaled underlying financial instability and generated investor concern.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CWD Return-----46%-85%-92%
Peers Return23%18%-13%10%1%1%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CWD Win Rate---29%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%35%56%48%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CWD Max Drawdown-----66%-98% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-13%-31%-11%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CWD has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CaliberCos (CWD)

Better Bets than CaliberCos (CWD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CWD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CaliberCos

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CWDVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameCaliberC.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Price2.08163.1616.02116.902.60-16.02
Mkt Cap0.01.10.90.30.1-0.3
Rev LTM3287410015216-100
Op Inc LTM-9179-44-8-18
FCF LTM-270104-35-9--2
FCF 3Y Avg-1012513816-10-16
CFO LTM-277104-32-9--2
CFO 3Y Avg-1013213817-9-17

Growth & Margins

CWDVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameCaliberC.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Rev Chg LTM-55.2%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%--6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-18.7%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%--2.1%
Rev Chg Q-38.0%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%--4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-8.8%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%--1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-27.6%20.5%-28.8%-49.1%--3.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-28.0%18.9%-26.5%-74.1%--4.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.1%-0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.9%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%--6.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.8%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-11.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-6.9%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%--6.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.8%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-11.0%

Valuation

CWDVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameCaliberC.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Cap0.01.10.90.30.1-0.3
P/S0.11.58.32.53.4-2.5
P/EBIT-0.33.6-8.72.8-3.2
P/E-0.29.49.38.14.3-8.1
P/CFO-2.016.68.0-11.8-6.1--2.0
Total Yield-464.3%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-16.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-4.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-785.7%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-2.9%
D/E14.32.01.40.01.1-1.4
Net D/E14.11.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.9

Returns

CWDVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameCaliberC.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
1M Rtn-26.5%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-1.8%
3M Rtn-30.4%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%--14.1%
6M Rtn-44.2%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%--1.2%
12M Rtn-77.9%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--24.3%
3Y Rtn--7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-12.1%
1M Excs Rtn-26.5%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-18.0%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%--18.7%
6M Excs Rtn-59.0%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-90.2%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--37.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--59.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity141,506
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202522.2%
Average Daily Volume115,114
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.23
Basic Shares Quantity1,278,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023416202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023623202310-Q 3/31/2023
123120225172023424B4 12/31/2022
630202210282022S-1/A 6/30/2022
123120211192023S-1/A 12/31/2021