Tearsheet

Dream Finders Homes (DFH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.78 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Dream Finders Homes (DFH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.78
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.41
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.41
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DFH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Dream Finders Homes (DFH) stock moved by -28.9% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Dream Finders Homes (DFH) reported third-quarter 2025 earnings that missed analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and total revenues. The company's EPS of $0.47 was below the consensus estimate of $0.507, and total revenues of $969.8 million fell short of analyst estimates of $1.16 billion.

2. The company issued a downward revision to its full-year 2025 guidance for home closings. Dream Finders Homes adjusted its outlook to approximately 8,500 home closings for the full year 2025, a reduction from its previous projection of about 9,250 homes, signaling a less optimistic financial forecast.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DFH Return---55%310%-35%-17%-1%
Peers Return16%55%-21%75%7%10%191%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DFH Win Rate-55%42%75%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate65%75%38%58%58%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DFH Max Drawdown---57%0%-36%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-4%-41%-0%-7%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVCO, DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDFHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven306.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven356 days464 days

Compare to CVCO, DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR


In The Past

Dream Finders Homes's stock fell -75.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -75.4% loss requires a 306.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Better Bets than Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DFH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
DFH_5312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312024DFHDream Finders HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%-26.6%-28.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
DFH_5312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312024DFHDream Finders HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%-26.6%-28.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dream Finders Homes

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DFHCVCODHILENPHMNVRMedian
NameDream Fi.Cavco In.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR  
Mkt Price19.76586.69165.00133.13130.337,679.42149.06
Mkt Cap1.84.650.234.025.622.123.8
Rev LTM4,6722,14434,57534,76617,62310,47614,049
Op Inc LTM3602254,8923,4703,3951,7822,589
FCF LTM401802,785-7131,5521,292736
FCF 3Y Avg261872,7072,7831,8751,4301,652
CFO LTM622102,911-5681,6681,319765
CFO 3Y Avg422102,8562,9181,9831,4571,720

Growth & Margins

DFHCVCODHILENPHMNVRMedian
NameDream Fi.Cavco In.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR  
Rev Chg LTM16.0%15.8%-7.3%-4.7%1.8%3.4%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.8%1.2%2.9%3.0%5.4%1.4%3.0%
Rev Chg Q-3.6%9.7%-7.4%-6.4%-1.6%-4.5%-4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.8%2.3%-2.1%-1.7%-0.4%-1.2%-1.0%
Op Mgn LTM7.7%10.5%14.2%10.0%19.3%17.0%12.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.6%10.5%16.3%13.6%20.6%18.4%15.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%0.4%-1.0%-1.5%-0.7%-0.6%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM1.3%9.8%8.4%-1.6%9.5%12.6%8.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.3%10.7%8.1%8.4%11.6%14.4%9.6%
FCF/Rev LTM0.9%8.4%8.1%-2.1%8.8%12.3%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.9%9.5%7.7%8.0%10.9%14.2%8.8%

Valuation

DFHCVCODHILENPHMNVRMedian
NameDream Fi.Cavco In.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR  
Mkt Cap1.84.650.234.025.622.123.8
P/S0.52.11.10.91.52.21.3
P/EBIT6.718.78.09.37.612.28.6
P/E8.423.39.912.09.916.110.9
P/CFO38.621.813.5-56.715.617.516.5
Total Yield12.0%4.3%11.3%10.0%10.8%6.2%10.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.2%1.6%0.7%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.4%6.1%6.5%7.3%9.2%6.3%6.4%
D/E0.70.00.20.20.10.00.1
Net D/E0.6-0.10.10.10.0-0.00.1

Returns

DFHCVCODHILENPHMNVRMedian
NameDream Fi.Cavco In.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR  
1M Rtn3.0%9.6%14.1%10.4%9.7%8.6%9.7%
3M Rtn-28.9%9.9%-3.9%-0.3%-2.1%-6.2%-3.0%
6M Rtn-10.4%37.5%34.3%21.8%28.4%6.5%25.1%
12M Rtn-40.8%14.6%0.0%-22.0%-2.0%-16.4%-9.2%
3Y Rtn106.9%144.5%96.8%57.4%199.8%63.8%101.9%
1M Excs Rtn3.1%9.6%14.1%10.4%9.8%8.6%9.7%
3M Excs Rtn-36.5%0.3%-11.7%-8.5%-10.5%-14.0%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-25.1%22.8%19.6%7.1%13.7%-8.2%10.4%
12M Excs Rtn-54.2%0.5%-14.6%-35.9%-16.4%-30.4%-23.4%
3Y Excs Rtn34.8%96.3%31.7%-9.9%132.2%-0.0%33.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Midwest915    
Southeast781    
Corporate408    
Mid-Atlantic405    
Financial Services207    
Reconciling Items-154-89-71-35-48
Colorado 1881165244
Jacksonville 300208163162
Jet Home Loans 96773949
Orlando 2771327744
Other 494380236208
Texas 793743  
The Carolinas 311247161 
Washington DC (DC Metro)  624156
Total2,5622,3711,894734515


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,416,810
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.1%
Average Daily Volume329,404
Days-to-Cover Short Interest13.41
Basic Shares Quantity92,836,364
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021