Kennedy-Wilson (KW)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $9.695 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services
Kennedy-Wilson (KW)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $9.695Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, Dividend Yield is 5.9% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 369% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 95x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 140x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Green Building Certification, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.7% | |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, Dividend Yield is 5.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Green Building Certification, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 369% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 95x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 140x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.7% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to provide an analysis of Kennedy-Wilson (KW) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, as this period is in the future and I do not have access to real-time or future market data to determine actual stock performance and related news for that specific timeframe. My search for information regarding KW's stock performance and news during August to December 2025 did not yield any relevant results. Therefore, I cannot identify the key points for a hypothetical 11.7% stock movement in this future period.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KW Return | -15% | 39% | -31% | -16% | -14% | 2% | -40% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 10% | -39% | 72% | -13% | 83% | 89% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KW Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 48% | 40% | 52% | 38% | 25% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KW Max Drawdown | -49% | -5% | -37% | -27% | -35% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -21% | -47% | -10% | -23% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 590 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 449 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 443.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ
In The Past
Kennedy-Wilson's stock fell -56.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -56.6% loss requires a 130.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kennedy-Wilson
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 14 |
| Op Inc LTM | -0 |
| FCF LTM | 0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 0 |
| CFO LTM | 2 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 41 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -3.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| P/EBIT | -22.9 |
| P/E | -18.7 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | -0.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -20.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -95.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |