Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil
  Key risks
AEE key risks include [1] regulatory pushback, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
8 Key risks
AEE key risks include [1] regulatory pushback, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AEE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The time period requested, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, specific reasons for a 0.2% stock movement for Ameren (AEE) during this future period cannot be provided. However, general factors and recent developments related to Ameren and the broader utility sector that could influence stock performance are available.

1. Strong Earnings and Future Guidance: Ameren announced strong 2024 results, with GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.42, up from $4.38 in 2023. The company also affirmed its 2025 earnings guidance range of $4.85 to $5.05 per diluted share and issued long-term diluted EPS compound annual growth rate guidance of 6% to 8% for 2025 through 2029. This consistent growth and positive outlook can generally support investor confidence.

2. Infrastructure Investments and Rate Base Growth: Ameren expects its multi-year earnings growth to be driven by projected rate base growth of approximately 9.2% compounded annually from 2024 through 2029, stemming from investments to modernize the energy grid and power growth with reliable and cleaner energy resources. The company deployed over $3 billion in infrastructure upgrades in 2025 and has a ten-year capital investment pipeline exceeding $68 billion. These investments are crucial for utility companies to ensure grid reliability and efficiency, especially with the growing influx of renewable energy.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AEE Return4%17%3%-16%27%13%52%
Peers Return-1%19%6%-6%16%17%59%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AEE Win Rate50%50%50%50%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate57%55%63%55%58%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AEE Max Drawdown-20%-10%-14%-18%-6%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-8%-11%-16%-6%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXC, WEC, DUK, SO, AEP. See AEE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAEES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven508 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven504 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven190 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2909 days1480 days

Compare to SRE, DTE, PNW, NEE, D


In The Past

Ameren's stock fell -27.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -27.8% loss requires a 38.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ameren (AEE)

Better Bets than Ameren (AEE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AEE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
AEE_8312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312023AEEAmerenMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.7%7.8%-12.9%
AEE_2282023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282023AEEAmerenMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.1%-10.8%-15.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
AEE_8312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312023AEEAmerenMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.7%7.8%-12.9%
AEE_2282023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282023AEEAmerenMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.1%-10.8%-15.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ameren

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AEEEXCWECDUKSOAEPMedian
NameAmeren Exelon WEC Ener.Duke Ene.Southern American. 
Mkt Price98.5744.22104.78117.4987.14114.75101.67
Mkt Cap26.744.733.691.496.061.453.0
Rev LTM8,95824,3179,30731,65928,91221,25722,787
Op Inc LTM1,8645,0602,3298,5837,4265,3005,180
FCF LTM-1,248-1,595154-921-1,823-1,736-1,422
FCF 3Y Avg-1,284-2,186151-2,122-1,031-1,932-1,608
CFO LTM3,2146,4363,32712,0499,3786,8586,647
CFO 3Y Avg2,7965,3372,84810,5398,6105,8345,586

Growth & Margins

AEEEXCWECDUKSOAEPMedian
NameAmeren Exelon WEC Ener.Duke Ene.Southern American. 
Rev Chg LTM22.7%6.1%7.9%4.8%9.4%8.4%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.0%8.9%1.4%5.2%1.3%4.2%4.7%
Rev Chg Q24.2%9.0%13.4%4.8%7.5%10.9%9.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.2%2.3%2.6%1.2%1.9%2.9%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM20.8%20.8%25.0%27.1%25.7%24.9%25.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.8%19.0%23.5%25.1%23.7%21.6%22.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%0.8%-0.2%0.3%0.3%0.1%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM35.9%26.5%35.7%38.1%32.4%32.3%34.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.6%23.3%31.5%34.6%31.6%29.0%31.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-13.9%-6.6%1.6%-2.9%-6.3%-8.2%-6.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-16.2%-9.9%1.8%-7.1%-3.7%-9.7%-8.4%

Valuation

AEEEXCWECDUKSOAEPMedian
NameAmeren Exelon WEC Ener.Duke Ene.Southern American. 
Mkt Cap26.744.733.691.496.061.453.0
P/S3.21.93.93.03.62.83.1
P/EBIT12.68.613.610.412.510.611.5
P/E20.016.122.119.323.516.419.7
P/CFO8.87.111.08.011.28.88.8
Total Yield7.7%9.7%7.5%6.0%7.1%9.4%7.6%
Dividend Yield2.7%3.5%3.0%0.8%2.9%3.3%2.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.4%-5.5%0.4%-2.9%-1.3%-4.3%-3.6%
D/E0.71.10.60.90.70.80.8
Net D/E0.71.10.60.90.70.80.7

Returns

AEEEXCWECDUKSOAEPMedian
NameAmeren Exelon WEC Ener.Duke Ene.Southern American. 
1M Rtn-5.8%-5.1%-6.4%-6.1%-3.8%-7.3%-6.0%
3M Rtn0.3%3.2%-3.3%-2.1%-4.1%7.6%-0.9%
6M Rtn5.9%6.2%2.6%4.3%-0.1%15.2%5.1%
12M Rtn14.4%25.5%14.4%12.8%8.1%29.2%14.4%
3Y Rtn23.4%18.0%22.6%31.8%41.5%36.0%27.6%
1M Excs Rtn-6.5%-5.8%-7.1%-6.9%-4.5%-8.0%-6.7%
3M Excs Rtn-0.7%2.1%-4.9%-2.9%-5.3%7.3%-1.8%
6M Excs Rtn-6.5%-6.2%-9.8%-8.1%-12.5%2.8%-7.3%
12M Excs Rtn1.9%13.2%2.1%0.8%-2.9%17.0%2.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.1%-52.1%-49.3%-39.2%-30.2%-37.9%-44.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ameren Missouri3,8594,0463,3533,1093,243
Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution2,2182,2561,6391,4981,504
Ameren Illinois Natural Gas8971,180957760797
Ameren Transmission677615562523464
Other00000
Intersegment Eliminations-151-140-117-96-98
Total7,5007,9576,3945,7945,910


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ameren Missouri545562518436426
Ameren Transmission296263230216185
Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution258202165143146
Ameren Illinois Natural Gas1341231089984
Intersegment Eliminations00000
Other-81-76-31-23-13
Total1,1521,074990871828


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,785,951
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.1%
Average Daily Volume1,530,441
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.09
Basic Shares Quantity270,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20250.7%4.4%-1.2%
7/31/20251.0%1.2%-1.3%
5/1/20251.4%-0.4%-1.0%
2/13/2025-0.2%0.3%3.2%
11/6/2024-1.4%4.1%4.6%
8/1/20241.6%-1.3%1.5%
5/2/2024-1.5%-0.6%-2.0%
2/22/20241.1%0.5%2.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121313
# Negative121111
Median Positive0.9%1.8%2.3%
Median Negative-1.5%-1.0%-2.0%
Max Positive2.0%5.1%8.6%
Max Negative-2.9%-4.0%-18.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021