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Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.15 | Market Cap: $456.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.15
Market Cap: $456.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -34%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%
  Key risks
ZVRA key risks include [1] potential clinical or regulatory failure of its key pipeline candidates like KP1077 and Celiprolol, Show more.
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -34%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
8 Key risks
ZVRA key risks include [1] potential clinical or regulatory failure of its key pipeline candidates like KP1077 and Celiprolol, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ZVRA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the -10.6% movement in Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Weak OLPRUVA Performance and Strategic Scale-Back: Zevra Therapeutics' Q3 2025 financial results, reported on November 5, 2025, highlighted significant challenges with the adoption of OLPRUVA, recording only one prescription enrollment form during the quarter. This poor performance led the company to announce a decision to scale back sales and marketing efforts for OLPRUVA, impacting future revenue expectations from the product. This followed previous significant charges related to OLPRUVA in Q2 2025, including a $58.7 million intangible impairment charge and an $11.7 million inventory write-down.

2. CFO Transition and Financial Leadership Changes: The company experienced multiple changes in its financial leadership, which can often introduce investor uncertainty. Zevra Therapeutics announced a CFO transition on November 20, 2025. Subsequently, on December 11, 2025, the company appointed an interim principal financial officer, effective January 1, 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ZVRA Return-46%4128%-47%43%27%-3%2041%
Peers Return101%-44%-14%-14%28%20%26%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ZVRA Win Rate8%67%25%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%38%52%45%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ZVRA Max Drawdown-51%0%-54%-10%-35%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-55%-51%-38%-17%-49% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RARE, FOLD, SRPT, AGIO, STOK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventZVRAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven284.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-75.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven302.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven296 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-96.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2752.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven412 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Zevra Therapeutics's stock fell -74.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/17/2021. A -74.0% loss requires a 284.8% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA)

Better Bets than Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ZVRA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Zevra Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ZVRARAREFOLDSRPTAGIOSTOKMedian
NameZevra Th.Ultragen.Amicus T.Sarepta .Agios Ph.Stoke Th. 
Mkt Price8.1133.2111.0021.1425.4532.8623.30
Mkt Cap0.53.33.42.11.51.92.0
Rev LTM846315992,41445206402
Op Inc LTM-29-54435-86-47627-57
FCF LTM-24-46610-389-42452-207
FCF 3Y Avg-39-486-61-495-354-39-208
CFO LTM-23-44613-245-41053-134
CFO 3Y Avg-38-449-56-379-343-38-199

Growth & Margins

ZVRARAREFOLDSRPTAGIOSTOKMedian
NameZevra Th.Ultragen.Amicus T.Sarepta .Agios Ph.Stoke Th. 
Rev Chg LTM244.6%20.6%21.3%47.1%36.3%1,128.2%41.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg115.6%22.5%23.0%40.6%71.7%403.5%56.1%
Rev Chg Q605.4%14.7%19.5%-14.5%43.7%117.2%31.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM36.1%3.3%4.8%-2.7%9.6%2.9%4.1%
Op Mgn LTM-34.3%-86.3%5.8%-3.6%-1,061.8%13.2%-18.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-217.6%-111.1%-7.0%-11.6%-1,299.8%-634.2%-164.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM63.1%-3.5%1.4%-3.5%67.3%-6.9%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-27.7%-70.7%2.2%-10.1%-915.2%25.7%-18.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-147.9%-89.4%-14.8%-26.8%-1,040.8%-457.7%-118.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.7%-74.0%1.6%-16.1%-946.8%25.5%-22.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-148.8%-97.6%-16.1%-33.7%-1,077.8%-465.0%-123.2%

Valuation

ZVRARAREFOLDSRPTAGIOSTOKMedian
NameZevra Th.Ultragen.Amicus T.Sarepta .Agios Ph.Stoke Th. 
Mkt Cap0.53.33.42.11.51.92.0
P/S6.34.84.10.852.16.75.5
P/EBIT8.6-5.847.0-8.4-4.950.61.8
P/E15.1-5.2-172.9-7.1-5.834.0-5.5
P/CFO-22.8-6.7187.3-7.9-5.726.1-6.2
Total Yield6.6%-19.3%-0.6%-14.1%-17.2%2.9%-7.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.9%-15.2%-1.7%-10.0%-17.8%-19.0%-14.0%
D/E0.10.00.20.60.00.00.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.10.10.2-0.4-0.2-0.2

Returns

ZVRARAREFOLDSRPTAGIOSTOKMedian
NameZevra Th.Ultragen.Amicus T.Sarepta .Agios Ph.Stoke Th. 
1M Rtn-11.7%2.1%16.8%20.5%-43.6%21.9%9.4%
3M Rtn10.6%15.7%38.0%24.0%-30.1%44.5%19.8%
6M Rtn-10.6%-11.1%92.0%1.8%-28.3%184.0%-4.4%
12M Rtn-4.4%-26.1%11.2%-83.2%-39.3%171.6%-15.2%
3Y Rtn79.8%-27.2%-10.1%-82.9%-14.3%279.0%-12.2%
1M Excs Rtn-12.4%1.3%16.0%19.8%-44.3%21.2%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn0.8%12.7%28.4%12.8%-34.3%38.5%12.8%
6M Excs Rtn-23.0%-23.5%79.6%-10.6%-40.7%171.6%-16.8%
12M Excs Rtn-15.4%-38.5%6.4%-94.0%-45.8%161.4%-27.0%
3Y Excs Rtn9.8%-90.8%-78.6%-151.0%-81.4%236.7%-80.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Research and development, manufacturing, commercialization and sale of innovative medicines and2710291313
Total2710291313


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Research and development, manufacturing, commercialization and sale of innovative medicines and-46    
Total-46    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,934,119
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-10.4%
Average Daily Volume1,382,092
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.02
Basic Shares Quantity55,951,572
Short % of Basic Shares12.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-9.7%-6.7%-12.8%
8/12/2025-19.8%-23.4%-32.4%
3/11/2025-1.9%-1.2%-15.1%
11/12/20241.1%4.7%-1.5%
8/13/20243.1%11.9%11.9%
3/28/2024-11.0%-16.9%-21.6%
11/7/2023-3.5%-9.2%8.6%
8/14/20233.8%-4.2%3.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive756
# Negative141615
Median Positive3.1%8.6%6.2%
Median Negative-8.3%-8.8%-15.5%
Max Positive7.1%29.4%33.0%
Max Negative-22.3%-23.4%-32.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021