Tearsheet

Zillow (ZG)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $73.36 | Market Cap: $17.8 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Zillow (ZG)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $73.36
Market Cap: $17.8 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ZG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -10% movement in Zillow (ZG) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Persistent High Mortgage Rates and Reduced Affordability: Mortgage rates remained elevated, generally hovering in the mid-6% range through the end of 2025, and were not expected to decline significantly until late 2026. This continued high-interest rate environment impacted housing affordability and dampened overall demand in the real estate market, directly affecting Zillow's transaction-dependent revenue streams.

2. Challenging Housing Market Conditions and Slower Sales: The real estate market experienced a slowdown in sales, with reports indicating a longer time for listings to move and record price cuts for home buyers, with typical listings seeing cumulative discounts of $25,000 in October 2025. National home values were generally flat in 2025, and 24 of the 50 largest markets experienced annual price declines as of October, indicating a challenging environment for Zillow's core business.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ZG Return197%-54%-50%82%25%4%60%
Peers Return57%-19%-14%45%14%-14%56%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ZG Win Rate75%50%42%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate70%42%47%63%53%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ZG Max Drawdown-49%-61%-57%0%-32%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-34%-34%-6%-22%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RBA, Z, WEX, FOUR, TNET. See ZG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventZGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven654.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven124 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-58.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven141.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven459 days120 days

Compare to RBA, Z, WEX, FOUR, TNET


In The Past

Zillow's stock fell -86.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -86.7% loss requires a 654.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Zillow (ZG)

Better Bets than Zillow (ZG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ZG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
WEX_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025WEXWEXDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.6%-0.6%-9.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
WEX_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025WEXWEXDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.6%-0.6%-9.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Zillow

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ZGRBAZWEXFOURTNETMedian
NameZillow RB GlobalZillow WEX Shift4 P.Trinet  
Mkt Price73.3798.1375.52151.2869.3657.7274.44
Mkt Cap17.818.218.35.24.82.811.5
Rev LTM2,4834,5292,4832,6243,8785,0393,251
Op Inc LTM-90773-90655302236269
FCF LTM149544149643299238269
FCF 3Y Avg187492187556280420350
CFO LTM418908418798541307480
CFO 3Y Avg387799387707465494480

Growth & Margins

ZGRBAZWEXFOURTNETMedian
NameZillow RB GlobalZillow WEX Shift4 P.Trinet  
Rev Chg LTM15.2%8.3%15.2%-1.2%23.2%-1.1%11.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.0%43.6%7.0%5.7%27.9%1.0%7.0%
Rev Chg Q16.4%11.3%16.4%3.9%29.4%-1.6%13.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.0%2.5%4.0%1.0%7.4%-0.4%3.2%
Op Mgn LTM-3.6%17.1%-3.6%25.0%7.8%4.7%6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.5%18.0%-8.5%25.5%6.8%7.7%7.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%-0.4%1.9%-0.7%0.3%-0.2%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM16.8%20.0%16.8%30.4%14.0%6.1%16.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.8%19.7%17.8%27.3%15.1%9.8%17.8%
FCF/Rev LTM6.0%12.0%6.0%24.5%7.7%4.7%6.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.8%11.9%8.8%21.5%9.2%8.3%9.0%

Valuation

ZGRBAZWEXFOURTNETMedian
NameZillow RB GlobalZillow WEX Shift4 P.Trinet  
Mkt Cap17.818.218.35.24.82.811.5
P/S7.34.47.52.11.40.63.3
P/EBIT-2,254.826.5-2,333.98.613.013.610.8
P/E-563.746.0-583.519.127.224.121.6
P/CFO43.222.244.76.89.810.516.3
Total Yield-0.2%3.3%-0.2%5.2%3.7%5.7%3.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.4%3.1%1.4%8.1%6.2%8.9%4.6%
D/E0.00.20.00.90.90.30.3
Net D/E-0.10.2-0.10.00.60.20.1

Returns

ZGRBAZWEXFOURTNETMedian
NameZillow RB GlobalZillow WEX Shift4 P.Trinet  
1M Rtn4.9%-0.3%3.4%2.2%3.9%-0.5%2.8%
3M Rtn-9.3%-15.2%-9.8%-12.7%-20.7%-19.0%-13.9%
6M Rtn6.5%-6.2%8.2%10.9%-26.4%-29.7%0.1%
12M Rtn-7.5%1.1%-8.4%-17.7%-30.6%-37.7%-13.1%
3Y Rtn98.0%89.9%101.2%-8.9%45.3%-17.7%67.6%
1M Excs Rtn3.7%-1.5%2.1%0.9%2.7%-1.8%1.5%
3M Excs Rtn-19.3%-20.2%-19.9%-17.4%-26.6%-23.8%-20.0%
6M Excs Rtn-9.0%-21.7%-7.3%-4.6%-41.8%-45.1%-15.3%
12M Excs Rtn-22.4%-11.2%-23.2%-33.5%-51.9%-51.3%-28.3%
3Y Excs Rtn37.5%23.2%40.6%-81.0%-13.8%-89.9%4.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,9451,958   
Internet, Media & Technology (IMT)  1,8861,4501,277
Mortgages  246174101
Homes   1,7151,365
Total1,9451,9582,1323,3402,743


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-270    
Homes  -254-303-45
Internet, Media & Technology (IMT)  54525880
Mortgages  -524-282
Total-270 239-41-247


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-158    
Total-158    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,386,425
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.8%
Average Daily Volume745,117
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.86
Basic Shares Quantity242,326,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021