Tearsheet

Zillow (ZG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $67.85 | Market Cap: $16.4 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Zillow (ZG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $67.85
Market Cap: $16.4 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.5%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  Key risks
ZG key risks include [1] direct competitive encroachment from tech giants like Google entering the real estate search market, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.5%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%
8 Key risks
ZG key risks include [1] direct competitive encroachment from tech giants like Google entering the real estate search market, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ZG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -17.1% stock movement for Zillow (ZG) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Google's Entry into Real Estate Listings. Zillow's stock experienced significant declines around mid-December 2025, with drops of approximately 7.86% over a week and 10-11% on December 15th, following reports that Google began testing for-sale real estate listings directly within its search results. This development introduced a new competitive threat, leading to concerns about potential long-term impacts on Zillow's traffic and monetization capabilities.

2. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss. Despite Zillow Group reporting strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, which exceeded revenue and Adjusted EBITDA outlooks, the company's reported EPS of $0.44 missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.46 by $0.02. While revenue growth was robust, this slight miss on profitability metrics likely contributed to investor caution.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ZG Return197%-54%-50%82%25%-3%51%
Peers Return-51%88%-8%76%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ZG Win Rate75%50%42%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate42%32%57%47%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ZG Max Drawdown-49%-61%-57%0%-32%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-61%-11%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSGP, NWSA, COMP, OPEN, EXPI. See ZG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventZGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven654.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven124 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-58.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven141.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven459 days120 days

Compare to RBA, Z, WEX, FOUR, TNET


In The Past

Zillow's stock fell -86.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -86.7% loss requires a 654.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Zillow (ZG)

Better Bets than Zillow (ZG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ZG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
WEX_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025WEXWEXDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.1%-0.1%-9.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
WEX_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025WEXWEXDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.1%-0.1%-9.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Zillow

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ZGCSGPNWSACOMPOPENEXPIMedian
NameZillow CoStar News Compass Opendoor.eXp World 
Mkt Price67.5464.8326.0310.536.1210.0018.28
Mkt Cap16.427.214.76.04.51.610.3
Rev LTM2,4833,0568,5006,6424,7194,6794,699
Op Inc LTM-90-81966-38-204-15-60
FCF LTM149-39580188887108168
FCF 3Y Avg18761508331,349167177
CFO LTM418362993202899119390
CFO 3Y Avg387445921501,374176416

Growth & Margins

ZGCSGPNWSACOMPOPENEXPIMedian
NameZillow CoStar News Compass Opendoor.eXp World 
Rev Chg LTM15.2%14.6%2.2%24.3%-4.5%5.1%9.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.0%13.1%-5.6%2.8%-31.7%-0.1%1.3%
Rev Chg Q16.4%20.4%2.3%23.6%-33.6%6.9%11.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.0%4.8%0.6%5.6%-8.9%1.9%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-3.6%-2.7%11.4%-0.6%-4.3%-0.3%-1.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.5%4.3%10.0%-3.9%-5.4%0.1%-1.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%-2.4%0.1%0.1%-0.4%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM16.8%11.9%11.7%3.0%19.1%2.5%11.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.8%16.9%11.1%0.6%15.2%4.0%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM6.0%-1.3%6.8%2.8%18.8%2.3%4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.8%2.9%6.1%0.3%14.8%3.8%4.9%

Valuation

ZGCSGPNWSACOMPOPENEXPIMedian
NameZillow CoStar News Compass Opendoor.eXp World 
Mkt Cap16.427.214.76.04.51.610.3
P/S7.311.62.00.71.30.41.6
P/EBIT-2,254.8-436.816.8-80.6-32.7-112.9-96.8
P/E-563.71,745.214.8-80.6-18.7-86.7-49.6
P/CFO43.297.717.522.56.614.120.0
Total Yield-0.2%0.1%7.9%-1.2%-5.4%0.7%-0.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%0.0%1.8%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.4%0.2%3.4%-1.3%60.3%7.8%2.4%
D/E0.00.00.20.10.30.00.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.00.10.1-0.10.0

Returns

ZGCSGPNWSACOMPOPENEXPIMedian
NameZillow CoStar News Compass Opendoor.eXp World 
1M Rtn0.7%-3.2%2.2%12.3%-21.9%-4.7%-1.3%
3M Rtn-22.2%-26.2%-13.9%11.3%-40.1%-9.9%-18.0%
6M Rtn2.4%-18.5%-6.9%78.2%956.1%13.2%7.8%
12M Rtn-12.9%-11.3%-7.2%57.2%220.4%-18.8%-9.3%
3Y Rtn92.9%-16.9%49.8%294.4%385.7%-11.5%71.3%
1M Excs Rtn-0.1%-4.0%1.4%11.5%-22.7%-5.4%-2.0%
3M Excs Rtn-23.2%-28.7%-15.9%7.3%-39.8%-14.7%-19.5%
6M Excs Rtn-10.0%-30.9%-19.3%65.8%943.7%0.8%-4.6%
12M Excs Rtn-23.2%-24.7%-19.4%44.5%207.7%-31.7%-21.3%
3Y Excs Rtn27.6%-89.3%-21.6%230.4%253.6%-83.8%3.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,9451,958   
Internet, Media & Technology (IMT)  1,8861,4501,277
Mortgages  246174101
Homes   1,7151,365
Total1,9451,9582,1323,3402,743


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-270    
Homes  -254-303-45
Internet, Media & Technology (IMT)  54525880
Mortgages  -524-282
Total-270 239-41-247


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-158    
Total-158    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,646,569
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202518.8%
Average Daily Volume725,037
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.27
Basic Shares Quantity242,326,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20254.0%1.4%2.1%
8/6/2025-0.5%-0.3%4.0%
5/7/20250.5%1.2%4.5%
2/11/2025-10.7%-8.6%-20.8%
11/6/202425.0%28.8%41.4%
8/7/202418.2%28.5%27.7%
5/1/2024-5.4%-0.6%-3.1%
2/13/20247.6%-0.8%2.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161514
# Negative91011
Median Positive10.8%4.9%14.1%
Median Negative-5.4%-5.4%-10.9%
Max Positive25.0%30.0%41.4%
Max Negative-23.0%-22.1%-54.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021