Compass (COMP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.47 | Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services
Compass (COMP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.47Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Digital Real Estate Platforms, Real Estate Brokerage Technology, and Real Estate Data Analytics. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Digital Real Estate Platforms, Real Estate Brokerage Technology, and Real Estate Data Analytics. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COMP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting why Compass (COMP) stock moved during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Record Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Compass, Inc. announced record-breaking financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, on November 4, 2025. The company reported a 23.6% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $1.85 billion, and an 80% surge in Adjusted EBITDA to $93.6 million, marking its strongest Q3 results in history.
2. Significant Market Share Gains: During Q3 2025, Compass continued to outperform the broader residential real estate market. The company grew its total transactions by 22% and organic transactions by 7% year-over-year, while the overall market transactions only increased by 2%. This resulted in a substantial 83 basis point increase in total quarterly market share, reaching 5.63%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COMP Return | - | - | -74% | 61% | 56% | 81% | 16% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 10% | -39% | 72% | -13% | 74% | 80% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COMP Win Rate | - | 25% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 48% | 40% | 52% | 38% | 25% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COMP Max Drawdown | - | - | -80% | -19% | -22% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -21% | -47% | -10% | -23% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COMP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -90.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 989.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ
In The Past
Compass's stock fell -90.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/1/2021. A -90.8% loss requires a 989.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| null | |||
| Is Compass Stock Outperforming Its Rivals? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Compass (COMP) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Compass (COMP) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Compass (COMP) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Compass (COMP) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Compass (COMP) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Compass (COMP) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Compass (COMP) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Compass Stock Moved: COMP Stock Has Gained 353% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Now Is Not the Time to Buy Compass Stock | September 26th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COMP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Compass
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 14 |
| Op Inc LTM | -1 |
| FCF LTM | 0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 33 |
| CFO LTM | 2 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 49 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | -32.7 |
| P/E | -80.6 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | -1.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 7.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |