Compass (COMP)


Market Price (8/4/2026): $11.73 | Market Cap: $8.6 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services

Compass (COMP)


Market Price (8/4/2026): $11.73
Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Digital Real Estate Platforms, Real Estate Brokerage Technology, and Real Estate Data Analytics.

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -146 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.8%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 235x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 608x

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 73%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%

Key risks
COMP key risks include [1] regulatory and litigation uncertainty surrounding its proprietary "Private Exclusive" and "Coming Soon" listing strategies and [2] its historical challenge of achieving consistent profitability due to high operational costs.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Digital Real Estate Platforms, Real Estate Brokerage Technology, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -146 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.8%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 235x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 608x
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 73%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
6 Key risks
COMP key risks include [1] regulatory and litigation uncertainty surrounding its proprietary "Private Exclusive" and "Coming Soon" listing strategies and [2] its historical challenge of achieving consistent profitability due to high operational costs.

COMP in ETFs

Weight = COMP's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.27%
VB0.11%
VNQ0.52%
FNDA0.46%
IWO0.45%
VTWO0.27%
+7 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 8/1/2026

Compass (COMP) stock has gained about 55% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Multiple analyst upgrades and increased price targets have fueled investor confidence in Compass. In July 2026, Barclays raised its price target for COMP from $12 to $15, maintaining an "Overweight" rating and identifying it as a preferred brokerage firm ahead of fiscal Q2 2026 earnings. Similarly, Wells Fargo elevated its price target from $9 to $12, citing robust luxury real estate trends and revenue performance aligning with the higher end of guidance. UBS also reiterated a Buy rating around August 1, 2026, and sharply increased its price target to $17 from $12, expressing confidence in the company's growth trajectory. As of July 31, 2026, 8 analysts maintained a "Buy" consensus rating for Compass, with an average twelve-month price forecast of $13.77 and a high of $17.00.

2. Robust demand in the luxury real estate sector has significantly boosted Compass's market position. Data from Coldwell Banker, a Compass-owned entity, revealed that global luxury demand for U.S. properties doubled in early 2026, indicating strong interest in high-end brokerage markets. This trend is further supported by international buyers increasingly purchasing U.S. luxury real estate, often with cash, thereby reducing sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.

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Updated on 8/1/2026

Compass (COMP) stock has gained about 55% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Multiple analyst upgrades and increased price targets have fueled investor confidence in Compass. In July 2026, Barclays raised its price target for COMP from $12 to $15, maintaining an "Overweight" rating and identifying it as a preferred brokerage firm ahead of fiscal Q2 2026 earnings. Similarly, Wells Fargo elevated its price target from $9 to $12, citing robust luxury real estate trends and revenue performance aligning with the higher end of guidance. UBS also reiterated a Buy rating around August 1, 2026, and sharply increased its price target to $17 from $12, expressing confidence in the company's growth trajectory. As of July 31, 2026, 8 analysts maintained a "Buy" consensus rating for Compass, with an average twelve-month price forecast of $13.77 and a high of $17.00.

2. Robust demand in the luxury real estate sector has significantly boosted Compass's market position. Data from Coldwell Banker, a Compass-owned entity, revealed that global luxury demand for U.S. properties doubled in early 2026, indicating strong interest in high-end brokerage markets. This trend is further supported by international buyers increasingly purchasing U.S. luxury real estate, often with cash, thereby reducing sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.

3. An optimistic outlook for fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, coupled with raised guidance, has positively impacted the stock. Compass, whose fiscal year runs from January to December, updated its fiscal Q2 2026 revenue guidance on May 5, 2026, raising it to a range of $4.00 billion to $4.20 billion, an increase from its previous forecast of $2.55 billion to $2.75 billion. Following its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report on May 5, 2026, the company also guided for an adjusted EBITDA of $310 million to $350 million for fiscal Q2 2026. Analysts anticipate earnings per share of $0.09 and approximately $4.11 billion in revenue for fiscal Q2 2026. The anticipation of these strong results, scheduled for release on August 4, 2026, contributed to the stock's upward movement.

4. Strategic technological advancements and progress on merger-related synergies have enhanced Compass's growth narrative. On July 20, 2026, Compass launched an AI Assistant integrated into its Home Platform, followed by a July rollout of AI-powered tools across its brokerage brands, marking a significant technology deployment in residential real estate. The company also demonstrated progress on merger-related cost synergies by raising its 2026 realized cost-synergy target to $200 million.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 55.2% change in COMP stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 66.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268032026Change
Stock Price ($)7.5711.7555.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,9618,30919.4%
P/S Multiple0.61.066.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)572734-22.1%
Cumulative Contribution55.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
COMP55.2% 
Market (SPY)5.4%43.7%
Sector (XLRE)1.8%18.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.2% change in COMP stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268032026Change
Stock Price ($)12.5211.75-6.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,6428,30925.1%
P/S Multiple1.11.0-2.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)566734-22.9%
Cumulative Contribution-6.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
COMP-6.2% 
Market (SPY)9.8%52.5%
Sector (XLRE)9.8%25.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 48.0% change in COMP stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258032026Change
Stock Price ($)7.9411.7548.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,9318,30940.1%
P/S Multiple0.71.041.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)550734-25.1%
Cumulative Contribution48.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
COMP48.0% 
Market (SPY)20.9%42.3%
Sector (XLRE)11.9%23.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 180.4% change in COMP stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 207.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238032026Change
Stock Price ($)4.1911.75180.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,5788,30949.0%
P/S Multiple0.31.0207.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)450734-38.7%
Cumulative Contribution180.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
COMP180.4% 
Market (SPY)71.4%37.1%
Sector (XLRE)29.9%36.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
COMP Return-55%-74%61%56%81%8%-43%
Peers Return-27%-57%30%-9%19%-39%-73%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%99%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
COMP Win Rate22%42%42%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate25%33%50%42%50%25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%38% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
COMP Max Drawdown--81%-60%-26%-43%-51% 
Peers Max Drawdown-74%-63%-52%-48%-30%-51% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ZG, DOUG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/3/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCOMPS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-43.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven76.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven187 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-54.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven121.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven187 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-47.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven90.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven15 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-76.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven318.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven849 days427 days

Compare to ZG, DOUG

In The Past

Compass's stock fell -43.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 76.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

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EventCOMPS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-43.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven76.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven187 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-54.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven121.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven187 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-47.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven90.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven15 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-76.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven318.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven849 days427 days

Compare to ZG, DOUG

In The Past

Compass's stock fell -43.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 76.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Compass (COMP)

Compass, Inc. is a technology-driven real estate brokerage operating in the United States. The company fundamentally provides real estate brokerage services, distinguishing itself by integrating advanced software and a cloud-based platform into the traditional real estate model.

Its core offering is an integrated suite of software designed specifically for real estate agents. This platform encompasses essential functionalities such as customer relationship management (CRM), marketing tools, client service management, and operational support. Compass further enhances agent productivity through mobile applications, allowing agents to manage their business efficiently from anywhere, and provides user-friendly interfaces with automated workflows to streamline agent-client interactions.

The primary customers for Compass are individual real estate agents across the United States. By equipping these agents with robust technology and comprehensive support, Compass aims to modernize and improve the efficiency of the real estate transaction process within the U.S. market.

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  • A modern, tech-powered Re/Max.
  • Redfin, but focused on empowering premium real estate agents with cutting-edge technology.
  • A real estate brokerage built like a software company for its agents.

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  • Real Estate Brokerage Services: Compass facilitates the buying and selling of properties for clients in the United States.
  • Integrated Real Estate Software Platform: Compass provides its real estate agents with a cloud-based platform offering CRM, marketing, client service, and operational tools.

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Compass, Inc. (COMP) primarily serves individual real estate agents.

Customer Categories:

  • Real Estate Agents: These are independent real estate professionals who affiliate with Compass. Compass provides them with a comprehensive cloud-based platform, mobile applications, customer relationship management (CRM) tools, marketing resources, and brokerage support services. In return, Compass earns a share of the commissions generated by these agents' real estate transactions.

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Robert Reffkin, Chief Executive Officer

Robert Reffkin co-founded Compass in 2012, inspired by his mother's experiences as a real estate agent. Under his leadership, Compass grew to become the #1 real estate brokerage in the United States. Prior to founding Compass, Reffkin held positions at McKinsey & Company, Lazard, and Goldman Sachs, where he served as Chief of Staff to the President & Chief Operating Officer. He also served as a White House Fellow at the Department of the Treasury. Reffkin founded the nonprofit America Needs You in 2009, which supports first-generation college students.

Kalani Reelitz, Chief Financial Officer

Kalani Reelitz oversees Compass's financial strategy and operations, focusing on ensuring financial stability and driving growth. His professional background includes leadership roles at Cushman & Wakefield and Walgreens, where he developed expertise in financial planning and analysis.

Ori Allon, Founder & Chief Strategist

Ori Allon co-founded Compass in 2012, bringing a background in technology and entrepreneurship. He previously founded Julpan, which was acquired by Twitter, and Orion, which was acquired by Google. Allon also served as Director of Engineering at Twitter.

Neda Navab, President

Neda Navab is responsible for overseeing brokerage operations and driving strategic initiatives across Compass. Her diverse professional background includes significant roles at Sidewalk Labs, Enjoy Technology, Inc., and Box.

Rory Golod, President of Growth & Communications

Rory Golod is responsible for overseeing growth strategies and communication efforts at Compass.

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Key Business Risks for Compass, Inc. (COMP)

Compass, Inc. faces several significant risks that could impact its business, financial performance, and operational stability.

  • Macroeconomic and Real Estate Market Volatility: Compass's business is highly sensitive to general economic conditions, the health of the U.S. real estate industry, and fluctuations in mortgage interest rates. Market volatility typically leads to decreased transaction volumes in the real estate sector, which directly impacts Compass's revenue generation. Prolonged weakness in home sales or rising interest rates can pressure top-line growth and delay the company's deleveraging timeline. For example, the U.S. residential real estate market experienced a decline in transaction volume in Q1 and Q2 2025 due to a "higher-for-longer" interest rate environment.
  • Profitability Challenges, High Operational Costs, and Debt Levels: Compass has historically struggled to achieve sustained profitability, operating with high operational expenses due to its technology platform and agent support services. The company's business model, which relies on high commission splits to attract and retain top agents, can compress already thin margins. Furthermore, the acquisition of Anywhere Real Estate has significantly increased Compass's debt, raising concerns about its financial leverage and interest expense burden.
  • Regulatory Changes and Intense Competition: Potential changes in real estate regulations, particularly those that could lead to compression in commission rates (such as those stemming from the NAR settlement), pose a significant threat to Compass's revenue model and overall profitability. The real estate market is also intensely competitive, with both traditional brokerages and new technology-driven companies vying for market share. Recent legal setbacks, such as losing a bid to block Zillow's listing rules, could further dull Compass's competitive edge and limit its market inclusivity on prominent online real estate platforms.

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The recent legal settlements, particularly the National Association of Realtors (NAR) agreement, represent a significant emerging threat to Compass's business model. These changes are expected to fundamentally alter the long-standing practice of seller-paid buyer agent commissions, potentially leading to a shift in how agents are compensated. This could result in reduced overall commission rates, increased direct negotiation between buyers and their agents, and a more challenging environment for brokerages that rely on traditional commission splits, thereby impacting Compass's revenue streams and operational structure across its real estate brokerage services.

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Compass, Inc. (COMP) operates in several significant addressable markets within the United States.

  • Real Estate Brokerage Services: The addressable market for real estate brokerage services in the U.S. was approximately $240.0 billion in 2025.

  • Real Estate Technology (PropTech): The addressable market for Real Estate PropTech in the U.S. is valued at approximately USD 25 billion.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Compass, Inc. (COMP)

  • Increased Transactions and Market Share Growth: Compass has consistently demonstrated its ability to outperform the overall residential real estate market in transaction growth and to increase its national market share. For example, in Q1 2024, Compass's transactions increased by 7.1% year-over-year, while the entire market saw a 3.5% decline. Similarly, in Q4 2025, total transactions grew by 19.7% compared to a 0.7% market increase. This trend of gaining market share and driving higher transaction volumes is expected to continue contributing to revenue growth.
  • Growth in Principal Agents: The company has shown a consistent increase in its principal agent count and high agent retention rates. In Q4 2025, the number of principal agents increased by 19.4% year-over-year to 21,190, with a quarterly retention rate of 96.8%. An expanding and stable base of productive agents is a direct driver of increased transaction volume and, consequently, revenue.
  • Expansion of Adjacent Services: Compass is actively focused on growing its higher-margin adjacent services, particularly its title and escrow business, and achieving profitability in mortgage joint ventures. For instance, the company is integrating its title and escrow business, with expected delivery in all markets where it operates in 2024. Revenue from these services, such as title and escrow, and mortgage joint venture profitability, are highlighted as key areas of growth.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Recent strategic moves, such as the acquisition of Christie's International Real Estate and the completion of the Anywhere Real Estate merger, are significant growth drivers. Furthermore, a three-year partnership with Rocket Companies and Redfin aims to funnel a substantial number of high-intent leads and incremental listings into Compass's platform, which is expected to drive growth. These initiatives expand Compass's operational scale, market presence, and lead generation capabilities.
  • Enhanced Technology and AI Tools: Ongoing investment and deployment of proprietary technology, including enhancements to Compass AI and other platform features, are designed to improve agent productivity and efficiency. Features like Performance Tracker, Compass AI enhancements, and one-click Title and Escrow are aimed at increasing attach rates for higher-margin businesses and helping agents better manage their workflow. These technological advancements can indirectly lead to increased transaction volumes and improved monetization.
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Share Issuance

  • Compass, Inc. (COMP) became a public company with its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on April 1, 2021.
  • As of a recent report, the company had 742.27 million shares outstanding.

Capital Expenditures

  • Compass's capital expenditures averaged $38.08 million for the fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024.
  • Capital expenditures reached a peak of $70.1 million in December 2022.
  • The company's capital expenditures were $11.2 million in December 2023 and $15.7 million in 2024.

Better Bets vs. Compass (COMP)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

COMPZGDOUGMedian
NameCompass Zillow Douglas . 
Mkt Price11.7535.801.7411.75
Mkt Cap8.68.40.18.4
Rev LTM8,3092,6939942,693
Op Inc LTM-14613-44-44
FCF LTM16297-3016
FCF 3Y Avg54217-2354
CFO LTM37464-2837
CFO 3Y Avg70419-1970

Growth & Margins

COMPZGDOUGMedian
NameCompass Zillow Douglas . 
Rev Chg LTM40.1%16.8%-5.2%16.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.2%12.6%-1.6%12.6%
Rev Chg Q99.4%18.4%-15.4%18.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM19.4%4.3%-3.8%4.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM-144.9%108.1%-40.1%-40.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-7.5%29.0%-23.6%-7.5%
Op Mgn LTM-1.8%0.5%-4.5%-1.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.8%-6.3%-4.7%-4.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.3%1.7%-1.3%-1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM0.4%17.2%-2.8%0.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.2%17.9%-2.0%1.2%
FCF/Rev LTM0.2%11.0%-3.0%0.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.9%9.1%-2.4%0.9%

Valuation

COMPZGDOUGMedian
NameCompass Zillow Douglas . 
Mkt Cap8.68.40.18.4
P/S1.03.10.11.0
P/Op Inc-59.2649.0-3.4-3.4
P/EBIT-24.5102.913.013.0
P/E607.6138.330.2138.3
P/CFO235.118.2-5.418.2
Total Yield0.2%0.7%3.3%0.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.7%2.2%-18.7%1.7%
D/E0.50.10.70.5
Net D/E0.4-0.00.00.0

Returns

COMPZGDOUGMedian
NameCompass Zillow Douglas . 
1M Rtn-6.9%7.1%-11.2%-6.9%
3M Rtn66.4%-19.1%-8.4%-8.4%
6M Rtn-4.3%-42.0%-35.8%-35.8%
12M Rtn50.3%-53.6%-17.9%-17.9%
3Y Rtn189.4%-34.6%-16.7%-16.7%
1M Excs Rtn-8.5%5.6%-12.8%-8.5%
3M Excs Rtn53.9%-26.4%-16.3%-16.3%
6M Excs Rtn-15.7%-52.0%-45.1%-45.1%
12M Excs Rtn28.1%-73.2%-56.6%-56.6%
3Y Excs Rtn128.5%-97.7%-87.0%-87.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment6,9625,6294,8856,0186,421
Total6,9625,6294,8856,0186,421


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$11.75 
Market Cap ($ Bil)8.6 
First Trading Date04/01/2021 
Distance from 52W High-13.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$10.24$9.67
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA14.7%21.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility84.8%65.9%
Downside Capture209.03179.15
Upside Capture379.75184.26
Correlation (SPY)44.1%42.2%
COMP Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.072.152.732.862.121.62
Up Beta-3.160.994.053.303.571.30
Down Beta1.261.420.831.511.781.32
Up Capture349%513%518%431%282%1566%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days9243254114357
Down Capture403%161%205%230%135%111%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days13193172136382

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with COMP
COMP48.2%65.8%0.85-
Sector ETF (XLRE)11.9%14.1%0.5723.8%
Equity (SPY)21.0%12.9%1.2042.3%
Gold (GLD)22.8%28.1%0.7214.6%
Commodities (DBC)28.8%19.7%1.16-35.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.5%13.8%0.8030.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.9%43.1%-1.3016.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with COMP
COMP-2.0%80.3%0.32-
Sector ETF (XLRE)2.7%19.1%0.0442.0%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5845.3%
Gold (GLD)17.2%18.5%0.7511.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%19.5%0.324.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.5%18.9%0.0345.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.0%53.1%0.3923.7%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with COMP
COMP-5.0%78.8%0.21-
Sector ETF (XLRE)6.2%20.4%0.2641.2%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7244.5%
Gold (GLD)11.4%16.1%0.5810.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.1%18.0%0.314.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2044.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.0%66.2%0.9822.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity48.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-6.5%
Average Daily Volume14.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity734.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/202627.3%15.2%8.5%
2/26/2026-2.5%-6.4%-29.2%
1/7/20269.3%12.4%11.2%
11/4/20257.5%13.0%33.7%
7/30/20259.8%14.0%24.8%
5/8/2025-19.1%-21.0%-20.3%
2/18/202528.3%15.9%11.3%
10/30/202414.2%16.2%27.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131214
# Negative9108
Median Positive14.2%15.5%11.2%
Median Negative-4.8%-8.0%-17.8%
Max Positive44.0%34.5%33.7%
Max Negative-19.1%-28.6%-34.6%
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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/202627.3%15.2%8.5%
2/26/2026-2.5%-6.4%-29.2%
1/7/20269.3%12.4%11.2%
11/4/20257.5%13.0%33.7%
7/30/20259.8%14.0%24.8%
5/8/2025-19.1%-21.0%-20.3%
2/18/202528.3%15.9%11.3%
10/30/202414.2%16.2%27.5%
7/31/2024-3.0%-5.2%17.8%
5/8/202423.8%34.5%9.8%
2/27/202412.0%7.0%1.5%
11/6/2023-2.4%-8.0%25.5%
8/7/2023-3.0%-8.1%-11.6%
5/9/202335.0%32.5%31.1%
2/28/2023-15.5%-10.0%-15.2%
11/10/202244.0%21.4%8.6%
8/15/2022-4.9%-28.6%-34.6%
5/12/202221.9%23.5%6.5%
2/16/20225.4%-7.4%-20.6%
11/10/2021-4.8%-10.5%-14.2%
8/9/20214.2%11.3%-2.1%
5/12/2021-5.5%-0.2%0.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131214
# Negative9108
Median Positive14.2%15.5%11.2%
Median Negative-4.8%-8.0%-17.8%
Max Positive44.0%34.5%33.7%
Max Negative-19.1%-28.6%-34.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
06/30/202208/15/202210-Q
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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
06/30/202208/15/202210-Q
03/31/202205/13/202210-Q
12/31/202102/28/202210-K
09/30/202111/12/202110-Q
06/30/202108/10/202110-Q
03/31/202105/13/202110-Q
12/31/202004/01/2021424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/12/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue4.00 Bil4.10 Bil4.20 Bil54.7% Higher NewGuidance: 2.65 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA310.00 Mil330.00 Mil350.00 Mil1220.0% Higher NewGuidance: 25.00 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 Non-GAAP OPEX2.70 Bil2.73 Bil2.75 Bil   
2026 Free Cash Flow      

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue2.55 Bil2.65 Bil2.75 Bil   
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA15.00 Mil25.00 Mil35.00 Mil   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 1/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2031 Convertible Senior Notes Offering 750.00 Mil    
2031 Convertible Senior Notes Additional Option 112.50 Mil    

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue1.59 Bil1.64 Bil1.69 Bil   
Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA35.00 Mil42.00 Mil49.00 Mil   
2025 Non-GAAP OPEX1.00 Bil1.00 Bil1.00 Bil-1.2% LoweredGuidance: 1.01 Bil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Reffkin, Robert LChairman and CEOSee FootnotesSell702202612.5123,456293,33197,308,625Form
2Reffkin, Robert LChairman and CEOSee FootnotesSell60520267.6923,456180,41060,029,052Form
3Wahlers, Scott RCFODirectSell1219202511.0026,600292,6003,449,875Form
4Wahlers, Scott RCFODirectSell1216202511.0023,500258,5853,743,700Form
5Wahlers, Scott RCFODirectSell1128202511.0049,900549,0454,002,030Form
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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Reffkin, Robert LChairman and CEOSee FootnotesSell702202612.5123,456293,33197,308,625Form
2Reffkin, Robert LChairman and CEOSee FootnotesSell60520267.6923,456180,41060,029,052Form
3Wahlers, Scott RCFODirectSell1219202511.0026,600292,6003,449,875Form
4Wahlers, Scott RCFODirectSell1216202511.0023,500258,5853,743,700Form
5Wahlers, Scott RCFODirectSell1128202511.0049,900549,0454,002,030Form
6Serwin, Bradley KGeneral CounselDirectSell1125202511.0020,953230,4832,845,832Form
7Serwin, Bradley KGeneral CounselDirectSell1125202510.5020,952219,9962,936,482Form
8Serwin, Bradley KGeneral CounselDirectSell1125202510.0013,969139,6903,006,170Form
9Serwin, Bradley KGeneral CounselDirectSell111320259.509048,5882,988,567Form
10Serwin, Bradley KGeneral CounselDirectSell111320259.009038,1272,839,410Form
11Serwin, Bradley KGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectSell82620259.5013,065124,1182,396,100Form
12Serwin, Bradley KGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectSell82620259.0013,064117,5762,387,574Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 4, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Kanen Wealth Management LLC$46.8 Mil16.8%36Hold13F
Parsifal Capital Management, LP$87.1 Mil11.2%17New13F
Nixon Capital, LLC$20.5 Mil7.0%22ADD +38.5%13F
Philosophy Capital Management LLC$49.5 Mil5.8%36ADD +17.2%13F
Alta Park Capital, LP$24.8 Mil4.0%24TRIM -5.8%13F
Pertento Partners LLP$35.8 Mil3.8%15ADD +17.5%13F
Canyon Capital Advisors LLC$25.6 Mil3.3%19ADD +74.9%13F
Senvest Management, LLC$67.1 Mil2.2%49ADD +274.8%13F
Tensile Capital Management LP$14.6 Mil2.1%25New13F
SB Investment Advisers (UK) LTD$160.9 Mil2.1%10TRIM -12.2%13F
BWCP, LP$9.5 Mil1.5%27ADD +93.2%13F
Cypress Point Investment Management LP$5.6 Mil1.3%32ADD +319.0%13F
Long Pond Capital, LP$8.9 Mil0.9%32TRIM -75.7%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$43.9 Mil0.9%41TRIM -25.0%13F
Think Investments LP$6.0 Mil0.8%30TRIM -61.4%13F
Avala Global LP$15.4 Mil0.7%22New13F
Castle Hook Partners LP$18.3 Mil0.4%44ADD +1735.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Parsifal Capital Management, LP$87.1 Mil11.2%17New13F
Avala Global LP$15.4 Mil0.7%22New13F
Tensile Capital Management LP$14.6 Mil2.1%25New13F
Castle Hook Partners LP$18.3 Mil0.4%44ADD +1735.4%13F
Cypress Point Investment Management LP$5.6 Mil1.3%32ADD +319.0%13F
Senvest Management, LLC$67.1 Mil2.2%49ADD +274.8%13F
BWCP, LP$9.5 Mil1.5%27ADD +93.2%13F
Canyon Capital Advisors LLC$25.6 Mil3.3%19ADD +74.9%13F
Nixon Capital, LLC$20.5 Mil7.0%22ADD +38.5%13F
Pertento Partners LLP$35.8 Mil3.8%15ADD +17.5%13F
Philosophy Capital Management LLC$49.5 Mil5.8%36ADD +17.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Luxor Capital Group, LP$19.7 Mil2.9%36ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Long Pond Capital, LP$8.9 Mil0.9%32TRIM -75.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Think Investments LP$6.0 Mil0.8%30TRIM -61.4%Mar 31, 202613F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$43.9 Mil0.9%41TRIM -25.0%Mar 31, 202613F
SB Investment Advisers (UK) LTD$160.9 Mil2.1%10TRIM -12.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Alta Park Capital, LP$24.8 Mil4.0%24TRIM -5.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
SB Investment Advisers (UK) LTD$160.9 Mil2.1%10TRIM -12.2%13F
Parsifal Capital Management, LP$87.1 Mil11.2%17New13F
Senvest Management, LLC$67.1 Mil2.2%49ADD +274.8%13F
Philosophy Capital Management LLC$49.5 Mil5.8%36ADD +17.2%13F
Kanen Wealth Management LLC$46.8 Mil16.8%36Hold13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$43.9 Mil0.9%41TRIM -25.0%13F
Pertento Partners LLP$35.8 Mil3.8%15ADD +17.5%13F
Canyon Capital Advisors LLC$25.6 Mil3.3%19ADD +74.9%13F
Alta Park Capital, LP$24.8 Mil4.0%24TRIM -5.8%13F
Nixon Capital, LLC$20.5 Mil7.0%22ADD +38.5%13F
Castle Hook Partners LP$18.3 Mil0.4%44ADD +1735.4%13F
Avala Global LP$15.4 Mil0.7%22New13F
Tensile Capital Management LP$14.6 Mil2.1%25New13F
BWCP, LP$9.5 Mil1.5%27ADD +93.2%13F
Long Pond Capital, LP$8.9 Mil0.9%32TRIM -75.7%13F
Think Investments LP$6.0 Mil0.8%30TRIM -61.4%13F
Cypress Point Investment Management LP$5.6 Mil1.3%32ADD +319.0%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/3/2026