Compass (COMP)
Market Price (8/4/2026): $11.73 | Market Cap: $8.6 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services
Compass (COMP)
Market Price (8/4/2026): $11.73Market Cap: $8.6 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Digital Real Estate Platforms, Real Estate Brokerage Technology, and Real Estate Data Analytics. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -146 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.8% Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 235x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 608x Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 73% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% Key risksCOMP key risks include [1] regulatory and litigation uncertainty surrounding its proprietary "Private Exclusive" and "Coming Soon" listing strategies and [2] its historical challenge of achieving consistent profitability due to high operational costs. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Digital Real Estate Platforms, Real Estate Brokerage Technology, and Real Estate Data Analytics. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -146 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.8% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 235x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 608x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 73% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% |
| Key risksCOMP key risks include [1] regulatory and litigation uncertainty surrounding its proprietary "Private Exclusive" and "Coming Soon" listing strategies and [2] its historical challenge of achieving consistent profitability due to high operational costs. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Compass (COMP) stock has gained about 55% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Multiple analyst upgrades and increased price targets have fueled investor confidence in Compass. In July 2026, Barclays raised its price target for COMP from $12 to $15, maintaining an "Overweight" rating and identifying it as a preferred brokerage firm ahead of fiscal Q2 2026 earnings. Similarly, Wells Fargo elevated its price target from $9 to $12, citing robust luxury real estate trends and revenue performance aligning with the higher end of guidance. UBS also reiterated a Buy rating around August 1, 2026, and sharply increased its price target to $17 from $12, expressing confidence in the company's growth trajectory. As of July 31, 2026, 8 analysts maintained a "Buy" consensus rating for Compass, with an average twelve-month price forecast of $13.77 and a high of $17.00.
2. Robust demand in the luxury real estate sector has significantly boosted Compass's market position. Data from Coldwell Banker, a Compass-owned entity, revealed that global luxury demand for U.S. properties doubled in early 2026, indicating strong interest in high-end brokerage markets. This trend is further supported by international buyers increasingly purchasing U.S. luxury real estate, often with cash, thereby reducing sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.
Show more
Compass (COMP) stock has gained about 55% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Multiple analyst upgrades and increased price targets have fueled investor confidence in Compass. In July 2026, Barclays raised its price target for COMP from $12 to $15, maintaining an "Overweight" rating and identifying it as a preferred brokerage firm ahead of fiscal Q2 2026 earnings. Similarly, Wells Fargo elevated its price target from $9 to $12, citing robust luxury real estate trends and revenue performance aligning with the higher end of guidance. UBS also reiterated a Buy rating around August 1, 2026, and sharply increased its price target to $17 from $12, expressing confidence in the company's growth trajectory. As of July 31, 2026, 8 analysts maintained a "Buy" consensus rating for Compass, with an average twelve-month price forecast of $13.77 and a high of $17.00.
2. Robust demand in the luxury real estate sector has significantly boosted Compass's market position. Data from Coldwell Banker, a Compass-owned entity, revealed that global luxury demand for U.S. properties doubled in early 2026, indicating strong interest in high-end brokerage markets. This trend is further supported by international buyers increasingly purchasing U.S. luxury real estate, often with cash, thereby reducing sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.
3. An optimistic outlook for fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, coupled with raised guidance, has positively impacted the stock. Compass, whose fiscal year runs from January to December, updated its fiscal Q2 2026 revenue guidance on May 5, 2026, raising it to a range of $4.00 billion to $4.20 billion, an increase from its previous forecast of $2.55 billion to $2.75 billion. Following its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report on May 5, 2026, the company also guided for an adjusted EBITDA of $310 million to $350 million for fiscal Q2 2026. Analysts anticipate earnings per share of $0.09 and approximately $4.11 billion in revenue for fiscal Q2 2026. The anticipation of these strong results, scheduled for release on August 4, 2026, contributed to the stock's upward movement.
4. Strategic technological advancements and progress on merger-related synergies have enhanced Compass's growth narrative. On July 20, 2026, Compass launched an AI Assistant integrated into its Home Platform, followed by a July rollout of AI-powered tools across its brokerage brands, marking a significant technology deployment in residential real estate. The company also demonstrated progress on merger-related cost synergies by raising its 2026 realized cost-synergy target to $200 million.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 55.2% change in COMP stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 66.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.57 | 11.75 | 55.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,961 | 8,309 | 19.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 1.0 | 66.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 572 | 734 | -22.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 55.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COMP | 55.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.4% | 43.7% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 1.8% | 18.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.2% change in COMP stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.52 | 11.75 | -6.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,642 | 8,309 | 25.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.1 | 1.0 | -2.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 566 | 734 | -22.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COMP | -6.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 52.5% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 9.8% | 25.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 48.0% change in COMP stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.94 | 11.75 | 48.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,931 | 8,309 | 40.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 1.0 | 41.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 550 | 734 | -25.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 48.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COMP | 48.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.9% | 42.3% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 11.9% | 23.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 180.4% change in COMP stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 207.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.19 | 11.75 | 180.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,578 | 8,309 | 49.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 1.0 | 207.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 450 | 734 | -38.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 180.4% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COMP | 180.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 71.4% | 37.1% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 29.9% | 36.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COMP Return | -55% | -74% | 61% | 56% | 81% | 8% | -43% |
| Peers Return | -27% | -57% | 30% | -9% | 19% | -39% | -73% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COMP Win Rate | 22% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 25% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 25% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 38% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COMP Max Drawdown | - | -81% | -60% | -26% | -43% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -74% | -63% | -52% | -48% | -30% | -51% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ZG, DOUG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/3/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COMP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 187 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 187 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.7% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -76.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 318.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 849 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Compass's stock fell -43.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 76.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | COMP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 187 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 187 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.7% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -76.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 318.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 849 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Compass's stock fell -43.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 76.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Compass (COMP)
Compass, Inc. is a technology-driven real estate brokerage operating in the United States. The company fundamentally provides real estate brokerage services, distinguishing itself by integrating advanced software and a cloud-based platform into the traditional real estate model.
Its core offering is an integrated suite of software designed specifically for real estate agents. This platform encompasses essential functionalities such as customer relationship management (CRM), marketing tools, client service management, and operational support. Compass further enhances agent productivity through mobile applications, allowing agents to manage their business efficiently from anywhere, and provides user-friendly interfaces with automated workflows to streamline agent-client interactions.
The primary customers for Compass are individual real estate agents across the United States. By equipping these agents with robust technology and comprehensive support, Compass aims to modernize and improve the efficiency of the real estate transaction process within the U.S. market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- A modern, tech-powered Re/Max.
- Redfin, but focused on empowering premium real estate agents with cutting-edge technology.
- A real estate brokerage built like a software company for its agents.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Real Estate Brokerage Services: Compass facilitates the buying and selling of properties for clients in the United States.
- Integrated Real Estate Software Platform: Compass provides its real estate agents with a cloud-based platform offering CRM, marketing, client service, and operational tools.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Compass, Inc. (COMP) primarily serves individual real estate agents.
Customer Categories:
- Real Estate Agents: These are independent real estate professionals who affiliate with Compass. Compass provides them with a comprehensive cloud-based platform, mobile applications, customer relationship management (CRM) tools, marketing resources, and brokerage support services. In return, Compass earns a share of the commissions generated by these agents' real estate transactions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Robert Reffkin, Chief Executive Officer
Robert Reffkin co-founded Compass in 2012, inspired by his mother's experiences as a real estate agent. Under his leadership, Compass grew to become the #1 real estate brokerage in the United States. Prior to founding Compass, Reffkin held positions at McKinsey & Company, Lazard, and Goldman Sachs, where he served as Chief of Staff to the President & Chief Operating Officer. He also served as a White House Fellow at the Department of the Treasury. Reffkin founded the nonprofit America Needs You in 2009, which supports first-generation college students.
Kalani Reelitz, Chief Financial Officer
Kalani Reelitz oversees Compass's financial strategy and operations, focusing on ensuring financial stability and driving growth. His professional background includes leadership roles at Cushman & Wakefield and Walgreens, where he developed expertise in financial planning and analysis.
Ori Allon, Founder & Chief Strategist
Ori Allon co-founded Compass in 2012, bringing a background in technology and entrepreneurship. He previously founded Julpan, which was acquired by Twitter, and Orion, which was acquired by Google. Allon also served as Director of Engineering at Twitter.
Neda Navab, President
Neda Navab is responsible for overseeing brokerage operations and driving strategic initiatives across Compass. Her diverse professional background includes significant roles at Sidewalk Labs, Enjoy Technology, Inc., and Box.
Rory Golod, President of Growth & Communications
Rory Golod is responsible for overseeing growth strategies and communication efforts at Compass.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Business Risks for Compass, Inc. (COMP)
Compass, Inc. faces several significant risks that could impact its business, financial performance, and operational stability.
- Macroeconomic and Real Estate Market Volatility: Compass's business is highly sensitive to general economic conditions, the health of the U.S. real estate industry, and fluctuations in mortgage interest rates. Market volatility typically leads to decreased transaction volumes in the real estate sector, which directly impacts Compass's revenue generation. Prolonged weakness in home sales or rising interest rates can pressure top-line growth and delay the company's deleveraging timeline. For example, the U.S. residential real estate market experienced a decline in transaction volume in Q1 and Q2 2025 due to a "higher-for-longer" interest rate environment.
- Profitability Challenges, High Operational Costs, and Debt Levels: Compass has historically struggled to achieve sustained profitability, operating with high operational expenses due to its technology platform and agent support services. The company's business model, which relies on high commission splits to attract and retain top agents, can compress already thin margins. Furthermore, the acquisition of Anywhere Real Estate has significantly increased Compass's debt, raising concerns about its financial leverage and interest expense burden.
- Regulatory Changes and Intense Competition: Potential changes in real estate regulations, particularly those that could lead to compression in commission rates (such as those stemming from the NAR settlement), pose a significant threat to Compass's revenue model and overall profitability. The real estate market is also intensely competitive, with both traditional brokerages and new technology-driven companies vying for market share. Recent legal setbacks, such as losing a bid to block Zillow's listing rules, could further dull Compass's competitive edge and limit its market inclusivity on prominent online real estate platforms.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Compass, Inc. (COMP) operates in several significant addressable markets within the United States.
-
Real Estate Brokerage Services: The addressable market for real estate brokerage services in the U.S. was approximately $240.0 billion in 2025.
-
Real Estate Technology (PropTech): The addressable market for Real Estate PropTech in the U.S. is valued at approximately USD 25 billion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Compass, Inc. (COMP)
- Increased Transactions and Market Share Growth: Compass has consistently demonstrated its ability to outperform the overall residential real estate market in transaction growth and to increase its national market share. For example, in Q1 2024, Compass's transactions increased by 7.1% year-over-year, while the entire market saw a 3.5% decline. Similarly, in Q4 2025, total transactions grew by 19.7% compared to a 0.7% market increase. This trend of gaining market share and driving higher transaction volumes is expected to continue contributing to revenue growth.
- Growth in Principal Agents: The company has shown a consistent increase in its principal agent count and high agent retention rates. In Q4 2025, the number of principal agents increased by 19.4% year-over-year to 21,190, with a quarterly retention rate of 96.8%. An expanding and stable base of productive agents is a direct driver of increased transaction volume and, consequently, revenue.
- Expansion of Adjacent Services: Compass is actively focused on growing its higher-margin adjacent services, particularly its title and escrow business, and achieving profitability in mortgage joint ventures. For instance, the company is integrating its title and escrow business, with expected delivery in all markets where it operates in 2024. Revenue from these services, such as title and escrow, and mortgage joint venture profitability, are highlighted as key areas of growth.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Recent strategic moves, such as the acquisition of Christie's International Real Estate and the completion of the Anywhere Real Estate merger, are significant growth drivers. Furthermore, a three-year partnership with Rocket Companies and Redfin aims to funnel a substantial number of high-intent leads and incremental listings into Compass's platform, which is expected to drive growth. These initiatives expand Compass's operational scale, market presence, and lead generation capabilities.
- Enhanced Technology and AI Tools: Ongoing investment and deployment of proprietary technology, including enhancements to Compass AI and other platform features, are designed to improve agent productivity and efficiency. Features like Performance Tracker, Compass AI enhancements, and one-click Title and Escrow are aimed at increasing attach rates for higher-margin businesses and helping agents better manage their workflow. These technological advancements can indirectly lead to increased transaction volumes and improved monetization.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Compass, Inc. (COMP) became a public company with its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on April 1, 2021.
- As of a recent report, the company had 742.27 million shares outstanding.
Capital Expenditures
- Compass's capital expenditures averaged $38.08 million for the fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024.
- Capital expenditures reached a peak of $70.1 million in December 2022.
- The company's capital expenditures were $11.2 million in December 2023 and $15.7 million in 2024.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Compass Stock Surges 33%, With A 9-Day Winning Spree | 07/07/2026 | |
| Compass Stock 8-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 29% | 07/03/2026 | |
| Compass Stock Leaps 27% In One Day, Should You Buy The Stock? | 05/07/2026 | |
| Compass Earnings Notes | 12/26/2025 | |
| null | 10/17/2025 | |
| How Does Compass Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | 08/13/2025 | |
| Compass (COMP) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Compass (COMP) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| 9-Day Rally Sends Compass Stock Up 33% | 07/07/2026 | |
| Compass Stock Rockets 29% With 8-Day Winning Streak | 07/03/2026 | |
| Compass Stock On Fire: Up 28% With 7-Day Winning Streak | 07/02/2026 | |
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 01/23/2026 | |
| Now Is Not the Time to Buy Compass Stock | 09/26/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| Rev LTM | 2,693 |
| Op Inc LTM | -44 |
| FCF LTM | 16 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 54 |
| CFO LTM | 37 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 70 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -40.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -7.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/Op Inc | -3.4 |
| P/EBIT | 13.0 |
| P/E | 138.3 |
| P/CFO | 18.2 |
| Total Yield | 0.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $11.75 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/01/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -13.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $10.24 | $9.67 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 14.7% | 21.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 84.8% | 65.9% |
| Downside Capture | 209.03 | 179.15 |
| Upside Capture | 379.75 | 184.26 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 44.1% | 42.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.07 | 2.15 | 2.73 | 2.86 | 2.12 | 1.62 |
| Up Beta | -3.16 | 0.99 | 4.05 | 3.30 | 3.57 | 1.30 |
| Down Beta | 1.26 | 1.42 | 0.83 | 1.51 | 1.78 | 1.32 |
| Up Capture | 349% | 513% | 518% | 431% | 282% | 1566% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 24 | 32 | 54 | 114 | 357 |
| Down Capture | 403% | 161% | 205% | 230% | 135% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 19 | 31 | 72 | 136 | 382 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COMP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COMP | 48.2% | 65.8% | 0.85 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 11.9% | 14.1% | 0.57 | 23.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.0% | 12.9% | 1.20 | 42.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.8% | 28.1% | 0.72 | 14.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 28.8% | 19.7% | 1.16 | -35.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.5% | 13.8% | 0.80 | 30.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -45.9% | 43.1% | -1.30 | 16.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COMP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COMP | -2.0% | 80.3% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 2.7% | 19.1% | 0.04 | 42.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.58 | 45.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.2% | 18.5% | 0.75 | 11.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 19.5% | 0.32 | 4.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.9% | 0.03 | 45.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 53.1% | 0.39 | 23.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COMP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COMP | -5.0% | 78.8% | 0.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 6.2% | 20.4% | 0.26 | 41.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 44.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.4% | 16.1% | 0.58 | 10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 18.0% | 0.31 | 4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 44.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 22.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/8/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/5/2026 | 27.3% | 15.2% | 8.5% |
| 2/26/2026 | -2.5% | -6.4% | -29.2% |
| 1/7/2026 | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
| 11/4/2025 | 7.5% | 13.0% | 33.7% |
| 7/30/2025 | 9.8% | 14.0% | 24.8% |
| 5/8/2025 | -19.1% | -21.0% | -20.3% |
| 2/18/2025 | 28.3% | 15.9% | 11.3% |
| 10/30/2024 | 14.2% | 16.2% | 27.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 14.2% | 15.5% | 11.2% |
| Median Negative | -4.8% | -8.0% | -17.8% |
| Max Positive | 44.0% | 34.5% | 33.7% |
| Max Negative | -19.1% | -28.6% | -34.6% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/5/2026 | 27.3% | 15.2% | 8.5% |
| 2/26/2026 | -2.5% | -6.4% | -29.2% |
| 1/7/2026 | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
| 11/4/2025 | 7.5% | 13.0% | 33.7% |
| 7/30/2025 | 9.8% | 14.0% | 24.8% |
| 5/8/2025 | -19.1% | -21.0% | -20.3% |
| 2/18/2025 | 28.3% | 15.9% | 11.3% |
| 10/30/2024 | 14.2% | 16.2% | 27.5% |
| 7/31/2024 | -3.0% | -5.2% | 17.8% |
| 5/8/2024 | 23.8% | 34.5% | 9.8% |
| 2/27/2024 | 12.0% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| 11/6/2023 | -2.4% | -8.0% | 25.5% |
| 8/7/2023 | -3.0% | -8.1% | -11.6% |
| 5/9/2023 | 35.0% | 32.5% | 31.1% |
| 2/28/2023 | -15.5% | -10.0% | -15.2% |
| 11/10/2022 | 44.0% | 21.4% | 8.6% |
| 8/15/2022 | -4.9% | -28.6% | -34.6% |
| 5/12/2022 | 21.9% | 23.5% | 6.5% |
| 2/16/2022 | 5.4% | -7.4% | -20.6% |
| 11/10/2021 | -4.8% | -10.5% | -14.2% |
| 8/9/2021 | 4.2% | 11.3% | -2.1% |
| 5/12/2021 | -5.5% | -0.2% | 0.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 14.2% | 15.5% | 11.2% |
| Median Negative | -4.8% | -8.0% | -17.8% |
| Max Positive | 44.0% | 34.5% | 33.7% |
| Max Negative | -19.1% | -28.6% | -34.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 04/01/2021 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/12/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 4.00 Bil | 4.10 Bil | 4.20 Bil | 54.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.65 Bil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 310.00 Mil | 330.00 Mil | 350.00 Mil | 1220.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 25.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP OPEX | 2.70 Bil | 2.73 Bil | 2.75 Bil | ||||
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 2.55 Bil | 2.65 Bil | 2.75 Bil | ||||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 15.00 Mil | 25.00 Mil | 35.00 Mil | ||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 1/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2031 Convertible Senior Notes Offering | 750.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2031 Convertible Senior Notes Additional Option | 112.50 Mil | ||||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 1.59 Bil | 1.64 Bil | 1.69 Bil | ||||
| Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 35.00 Mil | 42.00 Mil | 49.00 Mil | ||||
| 2025 Non-GAAP OPEX | 1.00 Bil | 1.00 Bil | 1.00 Bil | -1.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.01 Bil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reffkin, Robert L | Chairman and CEO | See Footnotes | Sell | 7022026 | 12.51 | 23,456 | 293,331 | 97,308,625 | Form |
| 2 | Reffkin, Robert L | Chairman and CEO | See Footnotes | Sell | 6052026 | 7.69 | 23,456 | 180,410 | 60,029,052 | Form |
| 3 | Wahlers, Scott R | CFO | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 11.00 | 26,600 | 292,600 | 3,449,875 | Form |
| 4 | Wahlers, Scott R | CFO | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 11.00 | 23,500 | 258,585 | 3,743,700 | Form |
| 5 | Wahlers, Scott R | CFO | Direct | Sell | 11282025 | 11.00 | 49,900 | 549,045 | 4,002,030 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reffkin, Robert L | Chairman and CEO | See Footnotes | Sell | 7022026 | 12.51 | 23,456 | 293,331 | 97,308,625 | Form |
| 2 | Reffkin, Robert L | Chairman and CEO | See Footnotes | Sell | 6052026 | 7.69 | 23,456 | 180,410 | 60,029,052 | Form |
| 3 | Wahlers, Scott R | CFO | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 11.00 | 26,600 | 292,600 | 3,449,875 | Form |
| 4 | Wahlers, Scott R | CFO | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 11.00 | 23,500 | 258,585 | 3,743,700 | Form |
| 5 | Wahlers, Scott R | CFO | Direct | Sell | 11282025 | 11.00 | 49,900 | 549,045 | 4,002,030 | Form |
| 6 | Serwin, Bradley K | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 11252025 | 11.00 | 20,953 | 230,483 | 2,845,832 | Form |
| 7 | Serwin, Bradley K | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 11252025 | 10.50 | 20,952 | 219,996 | 2,936,482 | Form |
| 8 | Serwin, Bradley K | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 11252025 | 10.00 | 13,969 | 139,690 | 3,006,170 | Form |
| 9 | Serwin, Bradley K | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 9.50 | 904 | 8,588 | 2,988,567 | Form |
| 10 | Serwin, Bradley K | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 9.00 | 903 | 8,127 | 2,839,410 | Form |
| 11 | Serwin, Bradley K | General Counsel and Secretary | Direct | Sell | 8262025 | 9.50 | 13,065 | 124,118 | 2,396,100 | Form |
| 12 | Serwin, Bradley K | General Counsel and Secretary | Direct | Sell | 8262025 | 9.00 | 13,064 | 117,576 | 2,387,574 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 4, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanen Wealth Management LLC | $46.8 Mil | 16.8% | 36 | Hold | 13F |
| Parsifal Capital Management, LP | $87.1 Mil | 11.2% | 17 | New | 13F |
| Nixon Capital, LLC | $20.5 Mil | 7.0% | 22 | ADD +38.5% | 13F |
| Philosophy Capital Management LLC | $49.5 Mil | 5.8% | 36 | ADD +17.2% | 13F |
| Alta Park Capital, LP | $24.8 Mil | 4.0% | 24 | TRIM -5.8% | 13F |
| Pertento Partners LLP | $35.8 Mil | 3.8% | 15 | ADD +17.5% | 13F |
| Canyon Capital Advisors LLC | $25.6 Mil | 3.3% | 19 | ADD +74.9% | 13F |
| Senvest Management, LLC | $67.1 Mil | 2.2% | 49 | ADD +274.8% | 13F |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | $14.6 Mil | 2.1% | 25 | New | 13F |
| SB Investment Advisers (UK) LTD | $160.9 Mil | 2.1% | 10 | TRIM -12.2% | 13F |
| BWCP, LP | $9.5 Mil | 1.5% | 27 | ADD +93.2% | 13F |
| Cypress Point Investment Management LP | $5.6 Mil | 1.3% | 32 | ADD +319.0% | 13F |
| Long Pond Capital, LP | $8.9 Mil | 0.9% | 32 | TRIM -75.7% | 13F |
| Southpoint Capital Advisors LP | $43.9 Mil | 0.9% | 41 | TRIM -25.0% | 13F |
| Think Investments LP | $6.0 Mil | 0.8% | 30 | TRIM -61.4% | 13F |
| Avala Global LP | $15.4 Mil | 0.7% | 22 | New | 13F |
| Castle Hook Partners LP | $18.3 Mil | 0.4% | 44 | ADD +1735.4% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parsifal Capital Management, LP | $87.1 Mil | 11.2% | 17 | New | 13F |
| Avala Global LP | $15.4 Mil | 0.7% | 22 | New | 13F |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | $14.6 Mil | 2.1% | 25 | New | 13F |
| Castle Hook Partners LP | $18.3 Mil | 0.4% | 44 | ADD +1735.4% | 13F |
| Cypress Point Investment Management LP | $5.6 Mil | 1.3% | 32 | ADD +319.0% | 13F |
| Senvest Management, LLC | $67.1 Mil | 2.2% | 49 | ADD +274.8% | 13F |
| BWCP, LP | $9.5 Mil | 1.5% | 27 | ADD +93.2% | 13F |
| Canyon Capital Advisors LLC | $25.6 Mil | 3.3% | 19 | ADD +74.9% | 13F |
| Nixon Capital, LLC | $20.5 Mil | 7.0% | 22 | ADD +38.5% | 13F |
| Pertento Partners LLP | $35.8 Mil | 3.8% | 15 | ADD +17.5% | 13F |
| Philosophy Capital Management LLC | $49.5 Mil | 5.8% | 36 | ADD +17.2% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | As Of | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxor Capital Group, LP | $19.7 Mil | 2.9% | 36 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Long Pond Capital, LP | $8.9 Mil | 0.9% | 32 | TRIM -75.7% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Think Investments LP | $6.0 Mil | 0.8% | 30 | TRIM -61.4% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Southpoint Capital Advisors LP | $43.9 Mil | 0.9% | 41 | TRIM -25.0% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| SB Investment Advisers (UK) LTD | $160.9 Mil | 2.1% | 10 | TRIM -12.2% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Alta Park Capital, LP | $24.8 Mil | 4.0% | 24 | TRIM -5.8% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SB Investment Advisers (UK) LTD | $160.9 Mil | 2.1% | 10 | TRIM -12.2% | 13F |
| Parsifal Capital Management, LP | $87.1 Mil | 11.2% | 17 | New | 13F |
| Senvest Management, LLC | $67.1 Mil | 2.2% | 49 | ADD +274.8% | 13F |
| Philosophy Capital Management LLC | $49.5 Mil | 5.8% | 36 | ADD +17.2% | 13F |
| Kanen Wealth Management LLC | $46.8 Mil | 16.8% | 36 | Hold | 13F |
| Southpoint Capital Advisors LP | $43.9 Mil | 0.9% | 41 | TRIM -25.0% | 13F |
| Pertento Partners LLP | $35.8 Mil | 3.8% | 15 | ADD +17.5% | 13F |
| Canyon Capital Advisors LLC | $25.6 Mil | 3.3% | 19 | ADD +74.9% | 13F |
| Alta Park Capital, LP | $24.8 Mil | 4.0% | 24 | TRIM -5.8% | 13F |
| Nixon Capital, LLC | $20.5 Mil | 7.0% | 22 | ADD +38.5% | 13F |
| Castle Hook Partners LP | $18.3 Mil | 0.4% | 44 | ADD +1735.4% | 13F |
| Avala Global LP | $15.4 Mil | 0.7% | 22 | New | 13F |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | $14.6 Mil | 2.1% | 25 | New | 13F |
| BWCP, LP | $9.5 Mil | 1.5% | 27 | ADD +93.2% | 13F |
| Long Pond Capital, LP | $8.9 Mil | 0.9% | 32 | TRIM -75.7% | 13F |
| Think Investments LP | $6.0 Mil | 0.8% | 30 | TRIM -61.4% | 13F |
| Cypress Point Investment Management LP | $5.6 Mil | 1.3% | 32 | ADD +319.0% | 13F |
Compass — Investor Video Playlist






Industry Resources
| Real Estate Resources |
| The Real Deal |
| Commercial Observer |
| Inman |
| Real Estate Services Resources |
| CBRE Research |
| JLL Trends & Insights |
| Cushman & Wakefield Insights |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.