Twenty One Capital (XXI)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $5.5 | Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Twenty One Capital (XXI)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $5.5Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Venture Capital. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% | Key risksXXI key risks include [1] substantial financial exposure to Bitcoin's price volatility due to its massive treasury holdings, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Venture Capital. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% |
| Key risksXXI key risks include [1] substantial financial exposure to Bitcoin's price volatility due to its massive treasury holdings, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Twenty One Capital (XXI) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Twenty One Capital reported a substantial net loss of $859.7 million in fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026. This significant loss was primarily attributed to an $847.8 million loss resulting from changes in the fair value of the company's Bitcoin holdings. As of March 31, 2026, the company held 43,514 Bitcoin with a fair value of $2.95 billion, a decrease from $3.80 billion at the end of fiscal year 2025. This negative financial performance likely limited any upward movement in the stock during the period.
2. The company experienced significant share dilution, with a -48.3% change in Shares Outstanding between February 28, 2026, and June 5, 2026. Additionally, SEC filings on May 13, 2026, revealed the registration for resale of 33.45 million shares and $464 million in convertible notes. This substantial dilution likely countered any potential positive stock catalysts.
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Twenty One Capital (XXI) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Twenty One Capital reported a substantial net loss of $859.7 million in fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026. This significant loss was primarily attributed to an $847.8 million loss resulting from changes in the fair value of the company's Bitcoin holdings. As of March 31, 2026, the company held 43,514 Bitcoin with a fair value of $2.95 billion, a decrease from $3.80 billion at the end of fiscal year 2025. This negative financial performance likely limited any upward movement in the stock during the period.
2. The company experienced significant share dilution, with a -48.3% change in Shares Outstanding between February 28, 2026, and June 5, 2026. Additionally, SEC filings on May 13, 2026, revealed the registration for resale of 33.45 million shares and $464 million in convertible notes. This substantial dilution likely countered any potential positive stock catalysts.
3. Twenty One Capital faced persistent negative sentiment from Wall Street analysts, reflected in a consensus "Sell" rating as of June 5, 2026. This pessimism was exacerbated by corporate governance issues, including a NYSE notification on June 1, 2026, concerning a gap in audit committee independence. Although addressed by June 5, 2026, with the appointment of an independent director, these concerns contributed to investor caution and limited upward momentum.
4. Lack of demonstrated operational progress beyond its Bitcoin treasury and controversial executive stock grants drew investor scrutiny. As of April 30, 2026, the company's operational achievements remained minimal beyond holding 43,500 BTC. In April 2026, CEO Jack Mallers received 1,607,866 Restricted Stock Units (RSUs), with 321,573 vesting immediately on April 1, 2026. CFO Steven Meehan also received 204,223 RSUs. These significant equity compensation packages, granted despite limited operational milestones, led to criticism from investors and contributed to a cautious investment stance.
5. The company's focus on a long-term Bitcoin-native strategy and potential acquisitions might have created a "holding pattern" for investors rather than immediate upward movement. Twenty One Capital is building an integrated Bitcoin company, outlining plans for financial services, mining, lending, capital markets, and strategic consolidation, with a mission to maximize Bitcoin ownership per share. While this strategy aims for long-term growth and differentiation, it has not yet translated into significant short-term stock price appreciation during the specified period.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.8% change in XXI stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -48.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.74 | 5.52 | -3.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 337 | 651 | -48.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XXI | -3.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 60.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 25.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XXI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 56.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 27.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XXI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 56.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 27.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XXI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 56.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 27.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| XXI Return | - | - | - | - | -23% | -36% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 43% | -78% | 347% | 106% | 25% | 23% | 351% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| XXI Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 0% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 35% | 65% | 48% | 57% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| XXI Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -46% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -67% | -81% | -47% | -50% | -56% | -42% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MSTR, COIN, MARA, RIOT, HOOD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
XXI has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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XXI has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Twenty One Capital (XXI)
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Jack Mallers, Chief Executive Officer, President, and Director
Jack Mallers is the Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Twenty One Capital. He is also the founder and CEO of Strike, a prominent digital payment provider built on Bitcoin's Lightning Network, which he developed to further Bitcoin's institutional, corporate, and governmental adoption. Mallers is recognized as an outspoken advocate and "Bitcoin maximalist" within the cryptocurrency community.
Steven Meehan, Chief Financial Officer
Steven Meehan serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Twenty One Capital.
James Cong Hoan Nguyen, General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer
James Cong Hoan Nguyen holds the positions of General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer at Twenty One Capital.
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- Bitcoin Price Volatility: As a "Bitcoin-native" company whose core business involves actively accumulating and managing Bitcoin holdings, Twenty One Capital's financial performance and Net Asset Value (NAV) are intrinsically tied to the volatile market price of Bitcoin. Fluctuations in Bitcoin's price directly and heavily impact the company's valuation and reported earnings.
- Regulatory and Legal Changes: Twenty One Capital faces risks from evolving regulatory landscapes concerning digital asset custody, corporate tax treatments of Bitcoin, and broader cryptocurrency regulations. Adverse changes in these areas could significantly impact the company's operations, valuation, and investor sentiment. The company is classified as an emerging growth company and smaller reporting company, indicating eligibility for reduced reporting requirements, but also highlighting its exposure to regulatory scrutiny as the digital asset space matures.
- Competition from Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Other Bitcoin Exposure Products: The emergence of spot Bitcoin ETFs provides investors with a low-cost and regulated alternative to gain direct Bitcoin price exposure without the operational risks associated with investing in a public company like Twenty One Capital. Additionally, other established companies also offer avenues for Bitcoin exposure, increasing competition in the market for institutional and retail investors seeking to invest in digital assets.
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Twenty One Capital (symbol: XXI) operates as a "Bitcoin-native" company, primarily focused on accumulating and managing Bitcoin, and building Bitcoin-centric financial products and services, as well as educational content.
The addressable markets for Twenty One Capital's main products and services are identified as follows:
-
Bitcoin Lending and Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Lending:
- The global Bitcoin loan market was valued at approximately USD 6.72 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 59.44 billion by 2031, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 31.2% from 2024 to 2031. Other estimates place the global Bitcoin loan market at USD 3.64 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 45.27 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 26.4% from 2026 to 2032. In Q4 2024, the total crypto lending market, including both centralized (CeFi) and decentralized (DeFi) lending, stood at USD 36.5 billion globally, with DeFi lending accounting for USD 19.1 billion. The global decentralized finance (DeFi) market, which encompasses lending, was estimated at USD 26.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1,417.65 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 68.2% from 2026 to 2033. North America is a significant region in the decentralized finance market, holding a 36.5% share in 2025.
-
Bitcoin-centric Financial Products and Services (Capital Markets and Blockchain in Financial Services):
- The global blockchain in banking and financial services market reached USD 2.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 59.0 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 42.43% during 2025-2033. Another report indicates the global blockchain in financial services market was accounted for $15.6 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach $328.0 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 46.3% during the forecast period. The global blockchain finance market was evaluated at $8.1 billion in 2023 and is slated to reach $80.02 billion by the end of 2032, with a CAGR of nearly 28.98% between 2024 and 2032. North America held approximately 77% of the global blockchain finance market earnings in 2023. The global crypto asset management market was estimated at USD 1,001.5 million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 4,594.2 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 24.6% from 2024 to 2030. North America dominated the crypto asset management market with a 30.4% share in 2023.
-
Bitcoin/Cryptocurrency Education:
- The global cryptocurrency education market size reached USD 1.28 billion in 2024 and is projected to attain a value of approximately USD 6.17 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 18.7% from 2025 to 2033. North America dominates this market, accounting for approximately 38% of global revenue in 2024, which translates to about USD 486 million. Asia Pacific is identified as the fastest-growing region in cryptocurrency education, with a projected CAGR of 21.3% from 2025 to 2033, and a market size of approximately USD 352 million in 2024. The broader global blockchain in education market was valued at USD 0.72 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 13.52 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 43.94% from 2026 to 2035. North America leads the blockchain in education market with a 35–40% share.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth:
- Expansion of Bitcoin-centric financial products and services: Twenty One Capital plans to generate revenue through the development and offering of Bitcoin-focused financial services. These include structured lending products secured by digital assets and capital markets advisory services aimed at guiding institutions on Bitcoin integration and other Bitcoin-aligned financial solutions.
- Monetization of educational content and media: The company intends to create and monetize high-quality educational content and media platforms focused on Bitcoin. Revenue streams are expected to come from subscriptions, licensing fees for enterprises, and sponsored partnerships, contributing to its goal of accelerating Bitcoin's integration into the global financial system.
- Yield generation from its Bitcoin treasury: Twenty One Capital aims to generate returns from its substantial Bitcoin holdings. While primarily a balance sheet strategy, the company is positioned to "earn yield on its BTC," which is expected to contribute to its overall financial performance and growth in Bitcoin per share.
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Share Issuance
- Twenty One Capital's business combination with Cantor Equity Partners, which closed on December 8, 2025, included private investment in public equity (PIPE) transactions of a $486.5 million senior convertible notes PIPE and approximately $365 million of common equity PIPEs.
- The company registered up to 35,068,912 shares of Class A common stock issuable upon conversion of the $486.5 million convertible senior notes due 2030.
- As of January 2, 2026, Twenty One Capital had 346,548,153 Class A shares outstanding.
Inbound Investments
- Twenty One Capital is majority-owned by Tether Investments, S.A. de C.V., and Bitfinex, with significant minority ownership by SoftBank Group Corp.
- Tether and Bitfinex contributed 31,500 Bitcoin to the company prior to the closing of its merger.
- The business combination that led to Twenty One Capital's public listing included approximately $365 million in common equity PIPEs and a $486.5 million senior convertible notes PIPE.
Outbound Investments
- Twenty One Capital's strategy is focused on accumulating and managing Bitcoin.
- The company's identity is structurally aligned with digital asset concentration from its inception.
Capital Expenditures
- Twenty One Capital's strategy involves deploying capital into Bitcoin accumulation rather than infrastructure expansion or diversified operating activity.
- The company plans to build out Bitcoin-native financial services, capital markets advisory, lending, and educational media to accelerate Bitcoin's integration into the global financial system.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Twenty One Capital Stock Slides 23% With A 6-Day Losing Spree | 06/06/2026 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.12 |
| Mkt Cap | 23.7 |
| Rev LTM | 868 |
| Op Inc LTM | -40 |
| FCF LTM | -1,273 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -901 |
| CFO LTM | -51 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -44 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 38.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -9.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -38.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -8.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -6.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -10.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -147.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -122.8% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.12 | 2.59 | 2.29 | 0.09 | 0.21 | -0.15 |
| Up Beta | -0.46 | 1.72 | 0.79 | -0.29 | -0.52 | -0.81 |
| Down Beta | 3.80 | 3.92 | 3.00 | -2.02 | -0.64 | -0.34 |
| Up Capture | 42% | 209% | 338% | 293% | 118% | 11% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 21 | 34 | 51 | 51 | 51 |
| Down Capture | 550% | 475% | 242% | 273% | 170% | 85% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 18 | 27 | 63 | 63 | 63 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XXI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XXI | -51.8% | 71.0% | -1.67 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | 27.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 56.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 17.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 1.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 18.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.4% | -1.08 | 72.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XXI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XXI | -13.5% | 71.0% | -1.67 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | 27.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 56.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 17.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 1.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 18.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 72.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XXI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XXI | -7.0% | 71.0% | -1.67 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 27.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 56.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 17.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 1.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 18.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 72.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Multi-Sector Holdings Resources |
| McKinsey & Company Insights |
| Harvard Business Review |
| ValueWalk |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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