Tearsheet

Strategy (MSTR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $186.39 | Market Cap: $53.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Strategy (MSTR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $186.39
Market Cap: $53.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Blockchain Enterprise Solutions, and Digital Asset Custody.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 193x
2  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%
3  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7907%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Blockchain Enterprise Solutions, and Digital Asset Custody.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.7%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 193x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7907%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MSTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Significant Decline in Bitcoin Price. MicroStrategy's stock performance is highly correlated with the price of Bitcoin, which saw a notable decline from its October 2025 peak, dropping below $90,000 and trading around $87,000 in early December 2025. This downturn directly impacted MicroStrategy's valuation, as its balance sheet is predominantly composed of Bitcoin holdings.

2. Concerns Over Potential MSCI Index Exclusion. MSCI is currently conducting a consultation regarding the removal of "digital-asset treasury" firms, including MicroStrategy, from its indexes. This is due to their cryptocurrency holdings exceeding 50% of total assets. Analysts estimate potential passive outflows of up to $2.8 billion if MicroStrategy is delisted from MSCI alone, with a possibility of this figure reaching $8.8 billion if other index providers follow suit. A final decision is anticipated by January 15, 2026, with any changes to be implemented in February 2026, creating significant market uncertainty and selling pressure.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MSTR Return172%40%-74%346%359%-37%1171%
Peers Return3%7%-20%77%1%62%157%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MSTR Win Rate67%50%33%75%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate47%58%50%57%50%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MSTR Max Drawdown-35%0%-75%0%-29%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-19%-42%-15%-37%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RMBS, CVLT, OPEN, PRGS, SABR. See MSTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMSTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-89.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven831.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven431 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven181 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven697 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven315.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven860 days1480 days

Compare to RMBS, CVLT, OPEN, PRGS, SABR


In The Past

Strategy's stock fell -89.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -89.3% loss requires a 831.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Strategy (MSTR)

Better Bets than Strategy (MSTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MSTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Strategy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MSTRRMBSCVLTOPENPRGSSABRMedian
NameStrategy Rambus CommVaul.Opendoor.Progress.Sabre  
Mkt Price188.3998.03123.956.9443.381.6370.70
Mkt Cap53.610.65.55.11.90.65.3
Rev LTM4756781,0964,7199403,1091,018
Op Inc LTM-4124786-204174377130
FCF LTM-37,556292209887186-263198
FCF 3Y Avg-14,5232202011,349194-117197
CFO LTM-63319216899192-185204
CFO 3Y Avg-352462061,374199-34203

Growth & Margins

MSTRRMBSCVLTOPENPRGSSABRMedian
NameStrategy Rambus CommVaul.Opendoor.Progress.Sabre  
Rev Chg LTM1.6%31.0%22.0%-4.5%31.4%8.8%15.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.7%17.3%11.7%-31.7%17.6%9.2%10.4%
Rev Chg Q10.9%22.7%18.4%-33.6%39.8%3.5%14.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%5.1%4.1%-8.9%8.2%0.8%3.4%
Op Mgn LTM-8.7%36.5%7.8%-4.3%18.5%12.1%10.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-6.4%27.8%8.7%-5.4%19.4%6.3%7.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.7%0.2%-0.7%-0.4%-1.2%1.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-13.3%47.0%19.7%19.1%20.4%-5.9%19.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-7.3%44.2%22.3%15.2%26.2%-1.0%18.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-7,907.5%43.1%19.1%18.8%19.8%-8.5%19.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3,060.9%39.3%21.8%14.8%25.5%-3.8%18.3%

Valuation

MSTRRMBSCVLTOPENPRGSSABRMedian
NameStrategy Rambus CommVaul.Opendoor.Progress.Sabre  
Mkt Cap53.610.65.55.11.90.65.3
P/S192.916.57.61.32.00.24.8
P/EBIT8.341.896.5-32.713.82.611.1
P/E11.649.0104.5-18.738.91.325.2
P/CFO-1,455.935.138.96.69.8-3.98.2
Total Yield8.6%2.0%1.0%-5.4%2.6%76.6%2.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-24.3%3.3%3.9%60.3%8.4%-14.0%3.6%
D/E0.10.00.10.30.85.80.2
Net D/E0.1-0.1-0.00.10.74.90.1

Returns

MSTRRMBSCVLTOPENPRGSSABRMedian
NameStrategy Rambus CommVaul.Opendoor.Progress.Sabre  
1M Rtn-28.8%-7.3%-11.7%-8.6%1.6%-18.9%-10.1%
3M Rtn-43.0%33.1%-30.8%35.3%-3.2%-5.8%-4.5%
6M Rtn-50.2%71.5%-32.0%1,005.8%-31.2%-39.4%-31.6%
12M Rtn-49.6%67.2%-27.3%221.3%-36.8%-55.0%-32.0%
3Y Rtn810.4%155.6%85.2%305.8%-17.8%-73.8%120.4%
1M Excs Rtn-28.8%-7.3%-11.7%-8.5%1.7%-18.9%-10.1%
3M Excs Rtn-47.8%24.7%-35.4%11.1%-7.2%-10.6%-8.9%
6M Excs Rtn-64.9%56.8%-46.7%991.1%-45.9%-54.1%-46.3%
12M Excs Rtn-64.9%56.0%-41.3%183.0%-50.1%-71.9%-45.7%
3Y Excs Rtn893.5%93.7%17.7%208.5%-88.0%-142.8%55.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Software Business496    
Other services 85857677
Product licenses 861028787
Product support 267281284292
Subscription services 61433329
Total496499511481486


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate & Other420    
Software Business9    
Total429    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate & Other4,292    
Software Business470    
Total4,763    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity27,494,666
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.8%
Average Daily Volume13,439,169
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.05
Basic Shares Quantity284,376,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023501202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021