Tearsheet

XPEL (XPEL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $50.03 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

XPEL (XPEL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $50.03
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%
Key risks
XPEL key risks include [1] margin compression from lower-cost competitors challenging its premium pricing strategy, Show more.
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
7 Key risks
XPEL key risks include [1] margin compression from lower-cost competitors challenging its premium pricing strategy, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

XPEL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock movement for XPEL (XPEL) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, was influenced by several key factors.

1. Record Quarterly Revenue. XPEL reported record revenue of $125.4 million in Q3 2025, an 11.1% increase year-over-year, which surpassed analyst consensus estimates. This strong top-line growth, despite a slight miss on EPS, was viewed positively by the market.

2. Strategic Investments for Future Profitability. The company announced plans to invest between $75 million and $150 million over the next two years into manufacturing and supply chain enhancements, with the strategic goal of increasing gross margins to 52-54% and operating margins to mid-to-high 20% by the end of 2028. This long-term profitability outlook likely boosted investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XPEL Return252%32%-12%-10%-26%25%242%
Peers Return12%21%-25%16%5%-3%21%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XPEL Win Rate75%58%42%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%60%37%48%52%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XPEL Max Drawdown-41%-10%-39%-28%-41%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-5%-36%-11%-12%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MMM, EMN, AVY, PPG, AXTA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXPELS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven133 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-99.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37500.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3,516 days1,480 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

XPEL's stock fell -58.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/23/2021. A -58.9% loss requires a 143.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About XPEL (XPEL)

Better Bets than XPEL (XPEL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to XPEL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
XPEL_8312021_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312021XPELXPELQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-10.5%-9.8%-45.1%
XPEL_1312021_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%01312021XPELXPELQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
92.9%29.9%-3.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
XPEL_8312021_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312021XPELXPELQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-10.5%-9.8%-45.1%
XPEL_1312021_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%01312021XPELXPELQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
92.9%29.9%-3.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for XPEL

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XPELMMMEMNAVYPPGAXTAMedian
NameXPEL 3M Eastman .Avery De.PPG Indu.Axalta C. 
Mkt Price50.03162.1763.93183.86103.7231.9083.83
Mkt Cap1.486.67.314.323.46.910.8
Rev LTM46124,8259,0248,77015,6905,1668,897
Op Inc LTM605,0821,1901,1222,1727601,156
FCF LTM651,588395653715339524
FCF 3Y Avg432,3935116211,213414566
CFO LTM712,5411,0088561,400539932
CFO 3Y Avg513,7151,1958721,8245671,034

Growth & Margins

XPELMMMEMNAVYPPGAXTAMedian
NameXPEL 3M Eastman .Avery De.PPG Indu.Axalta C. 
Rev Chg LTM10.3%1.1%-3.4%1.0%8.5%-1.8%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.5%-10.3%-5.9%-1.4%-3.5%2.7%-2.4%
Rev Chg Q11.1%3.5%-10.6%1.5%1.2%-2.4%1.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.8%0.9%-2.8%0.4%0.3%-0.6%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM12.9%20.5%13.2%12.8%13.8%14.7%13.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.9%1.1%12.6%12.1%13.8%12.7%12.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%1.0%-1.2%-0.0%-0.0%0.3%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM15.3%10.2%11.2%9.8%8.9%10.4%10.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.0%13.8%12.9%10.2%11.9%10.9%11.9%
FCF/Rev LTM14.0%6.4%4.4%7.4%4.6%6.6%6.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.1%8.8%5.5%7.2%7.9%8.0%7.9%

Valuation

XPELMMMEMNAVYPPGAXTAMedian
NameXPEL 3M Eastman .Avery De.PPG Indu.Axalta C. 
Mkt Cap1.486.67.314.323.46.910.8
P/S2.03.30.81.41.51.21.5
P/EBIT15.416.06.711.612.08.211.8
P/E19.624.410.318.223.813.518.9
P/CFO13.032.67.214.816.911.413.9
Total Yield5.1%5.0%12.3%7.8%6.8%7.4%7.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%2.6%2.3%2.6%0.0%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%4.7%5.3%4.2%4.2%6.2%4.5%
D/E0.00.20.70.30.30.60.3
Net D/E-0.00.10.60.30.30.50.3

Returns

XPELMMMEMNAVYPPGAXTAMedian
NameXPEL 3M Eastman .Avery De.PPG Indu.Axalta C. 
1M Rtn24.2%-1.9%12.7%8.3%8.8%13.2%10.7%
3M Rtn50.3%5.0%-1.9%12.1%-3.3%4.6%4.8%
6M Rtn38.4%14.8%-12.2%6.9%-2.8%8.5%7.7%
12M Rtn15.1%29.0%-29.9%-1.9%-12.8%-12.3%-7.1%
3Y Rtn-19.4%78.0%-12.7%8.3%-12.2%25.1%-2.0%
1M Excs Rtn23.5%-2.7%11.9%7.5%8.0%12.5%10.0%
3M Excs Rtn48.2%3.5%-3.9%10.7%-5.5%2.6%3.0%
6M Excs Rtn26.1%2.4%-24.6%-5.5%-15.2%-3.9%-4.7%
12M Excs Rtn2.5%16.1%-42.6%-14.8%-25.3%-27.6%-20.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-90.9%2.3%-84.6%-60.3%-84.7%-45.4%-72.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Paint protection film23019217011197
Window film6854382111
Installation labor584324117
Cutbank credits18161287
Other1411953
Software75433
Training and other211  
Other service   01
Total396324259159130


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,108,290
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.9%
Average Daily Volume373,860
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.64
Basic Shares Quantity27,675,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20250.9%11.5%40.6%
8/6/20255.4%14.4%9.6%
2/26/2025-14.6%-25.4%-17.2%
11/7/20242.0%9.2%7.8%
8/8/202447.7%40.0%32.7%
5/2/2024-38.9%-40.0%-29.4%
2/22/2024-6.9%-6.3%-4.5%
11/8/2023-8.8%-5.2%-1.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131513
# Negative979
Median Positive9.5%10.7%10.4%
Median Negative-7.9%-13.9%-8.8%
Max Positive47.7%40.0%40.8%
Max Negative-38.9%-40.0%-29.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021