3M (MMM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $171.785 | Market Cap: $91.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Conglomerates
3M (MMM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $171.785Market Cap: $91.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Conglomerates
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Lightweight Composites, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Lightweight Composites, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MMM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the movement of 3M (MMM) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
**1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings and Raised Full-Year Guidance.** 3M exceeded analysts' expectations for its third-quarter adjusted profit and revenue, reporting an adjusted EPS of $2.19, a 10% increase year-on-year. The company also raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance for the second time, citing effective cost-cutting measures and a strategic focus on high-margin products. This positive financial performance contributed to an increase in shares in premarket trading.
**2. Progress in Resolving Major Legal Settlements.** 3M continued to make significant headway in addressing its substantial legal liabilities. The earplug litigation saw over $2.75 billion disbursed to claimants by September 2025, with approximately 99% of Expedited Pay Program claimants receiving payments, demonstrating substantial progress towards the final payout of the $6.01 billion settlement. Additionally, 3M reached a settlement with the state of New Jersey in May 2025 regarding PFAS contamination claims, further reducing legal uncertainties.
**3. Strategic Shift Towards High-Margin Products and Operational Efficiency.** Under CEO William Brown, 3M has been executing a strategy focused on product innovation and a shift towards higher-margin offerings, moving away from previous challenges with legal risks and supply chain costs. The company launched 70 new products in the third quarter of 2025 and anticipates exceeding its annual target with 250 new product introductions by year-end. This operational excellence also resulted in a 22.8% reduction in selling, general, and administrative expenses during Q3, alongside a 10.4% increase in research and development investments.
**4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.** Following the robust third-quarter results and improved outlook, several analyst firms adjusted their ratings and price targets for 3M. JPMorgan, for instance, increased its price target for 3M to $178 from $175, maintaining an "Overweight" rating. Citigroup also raised its price target to $169 from $160, signaling growing confidence in the company's strategic direction and financial health.
**5. Consistent Shareholder Returns through Dividends.** 3M demonstrated its commitment to shareholders by declaring a quarterly dividend of $0.73 per share for both the third and fourth quarters of 2025. This consistent dividend payout, maintained throughout the year, underscored the company's improved financial stability and strategic clarity post-restructuring, providing a steady return to investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MMM Return | 3% | 5% | -30% | -3% | 46% | 35% | 45% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 10% | -5% | 22% | 33% | 37% | 166% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MMM Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 55% | 45% | 48% | 63% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MMM Max Drawdown | -33% | -5% | -38% | -25% | -15% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -4% | -26% | -11% | -8% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GE, HON, EMR, GLW, DD. See MMM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MMM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 140.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -35.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 310 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 781 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GE, HON, EMR, GLW, DD
In The Past
3M's stock fell -58.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -58.5% loss requires a 140.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MMM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 10312023 | MMM | 3M | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 30.9% | 75.2% | -0.4% |
| 06302022 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -18.7% | -24.2% |
| 01312020 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.4% | 14.8% | -25.0% |
| 05312019 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.2% | 1.6% | -24.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 10312023 | MMM | 3M | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 30.9% | 75.2% | -0.4% |
| 06302022 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -18.7% | -24.2% |
| 01312020 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.4% | 14.8% | -25.0% |
| 05312019 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.2% | 1.6% | -24.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for 3M
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety and Industrial | 10,956 | 11,604 | 11,981 | 11,734 | 11,514 |
| Transportation and Electronics | 8,501 | 8,902 | 9,262 | 8,833 | 9,591 |
| Consumer | 5,026 | 5,292 | 5,513 | 5,311 | 5,151 |
| Corporate and Other | 90 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 110 |
| Other | 37 | ||||
| Health Care | 8,427 | 8,597 | 8,345 | 7,431 | |
| Elimination of Dual Credit | -2,037 | -1,661 | |||
| Total | 24,610 | 34,229 | 35,355 | 32,184 | 32,136 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety and Industrial | 2,324 | 1,135 | 2,466 | 2,784 | 2,510 |
| Transportation and Electronics | 1,312 | 973 | 1,880 | 1,814 | 2,221 |
| Consumer | 904 | 978 | 1,162 | 1,203 | 1,124 |
| Other | 55 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | -15,284 | 1,654 | -176 | 91 | -1,130 |
| Health Care | 1,799 | 2,037 | 1,790 | 1,858 | |
| Elimination of Dual Credit | -521 | -409 | |||
| Total | -10,689 | 6,539 | 7,369 | 7,161 | 6,174 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate and Unallocated and Other | 16,195 | ||||
| Non-current assets of discontinued operations | 11,343 | ||||
| Safety and Industrial | 11,212 | 11,774 | 11,744 | 11,711 | 11,682 |
| Transportation and Electronics | 6,826 | 6,485 | 6,999 | 6,997 | 6,871 |
| Consumer | 2,625 | 2,774 | 2,783 | 2,567 | 2,428 |
| Current assets of discontinued operations | 2,379 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | 12,058 | 11,491 | 11,538 | 8,888 | |
| Health Care | 13,364 | 14,055 | 14,531 | 14,790 | |
| Total | 50,580 | 46,455 | 47,072 | 47,344 | 44,659 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10212025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7182025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4222025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10222024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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