Tearsheet

TeraWulf (WULF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $11.93 | Market Cap: $4.8 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

TeraWulf (WULF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $11.93
Market Cap: $4.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -120 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -71%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Sustainable Datacenter Power.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 201%
3  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -404%
4  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 245%
5  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 121%
6  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
7  Key risks
WULF key risks include [1] a highly leveraged financial structure with substantial debt and liquidity concerns, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Sustainable Datacenter Power.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -120 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -71%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 201%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -404%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 245%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 121%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
9 Key risks
WULF key risks include [1] a highly leveraged financial structure with substantial debt and liquidity concerns, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WULF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Strategic Partnership with Fluidstack and Google:** TeraWulf's stock experienced a significant surge in August 2025, reportedly skyrocketing 83.1%, following a multibillion-dollar lease agreement with Fluidstack, an AI cloud provider, for high-performance computing (HPC) capacity. The deal, valued at $6.7 billion for over 360 megawatts of compute capacity, was notably "backstopped" by Alphabet's Google for up to $3.2 billion, with Google also receiving warrants to acquire approximately 14% of TeraWulf's stock.

**2. Expansion and Momentum in High-Performance Computing (HPC) Infrastructure:** TeraWulf continued to execute on its strategic pivot towards becoming a leader in sustainable HPC infrastructure. This was evidenced by the commencement of recurring HPC lease revenue in the third quarter of 2025, securing over $17 billion in long-term, credit-enhanced customer contracts, and expanding its partnership with Fluidstack through a new 168 MW AI compute joint venture in October 2025.

**3. Substantial Capital Raises and Financings:** To support its aggressive expansion into HPC, TeraWulf completed several significant financing rounds. This included a $1.0 billion offering of convertible notes in August 2025, followed by a $3.2 billion private offering of senior secured notes in October 2025, and another $1.025 billion offering of convertible notes to fund its equity contribution to the Abernathy Joint Venture and enhance liquidity. These financings, totaling over $5 billion, provided long-term capital for the company's growth.

**4. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance:** On November 10, 2025, TeraWulf reported its third-quarter financial results, showcasing an 87% year-over-year revenue increase to $50.6 million, which included $7.2 million in initial HPC lease revenue. Despite this revenue growth, the company reported a larger-than-expected net loss of $455.05 million, with an earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.13 against a forecasted -$0.05. However, the stock reportedly still rose 3.8% after-hours, seemingly buoyed by positive market sentiment around strategic developments.

**5. Market Volatility and Concerns over Financial Health and AI Pivot:** Towards December 2025, TeraWulf's stock experienced significant declines, with reports indicating drops of -7.78% on December 17, 2025, and over 12% on December 15, 2025. This downturn was attributed to prevailing negative market sentiments, concerns over the company's high debt load (approximately $1.5 billion outstanding debt as of September 30, 2025), negative profitability margins, and investor anxiety regarding the ability to fully execute its pivot to a hyperscalar compute provider amid the broader AI capital expenditure race.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WULF Return86%51%-96%261%136%130%143%
Peers Return-3%65%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WULF Win Rate67%58%17%58%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate45%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WULF Max Drawdown-44%-14%-96%-19%-45%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RIOT, MARA, CLSK, CIFR, HUT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWULFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7726.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven287 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven435 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven162.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,474 days1,480 days

Compare to BTGO, DMNT, OMG, PURR, SIBO


In The Past

TeraWulf's stock fell -98.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -98.7% loss requires a 7726.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About TeraWulf (WULF)

Better Bets than TeraWulf (WULF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WULF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TeraWulf

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WULFRIOTMARACLSKCIFRHUTMedian
NameTeraWulf Riot Pla.MARA Cleanspa.Cipher M.Hut 8  
Mkt Price11.5712.969.9311.4814.3940.1612.27
Mkt Cap4.64.53.73.25.74.24.4
Rev LTM168637919766206668653
Op Inc LTM-120-324-625-107-142403-131
FCF LTM-677-1,631-1,323-1,024-522-752-888
FCF 3Y Avg-285-906-736-794-328-302-532
CFO LTM-78-566-891-461-182-104-322
CFO 3Y Avg-20-229-554-237-116-59-173

Growth & Margins

WULFRIOTMARACLSKCIFRHUTMedian
NameTeraWulf Riot Pla.MARA Cleanspa.Cipher M.Hut 8  
Rev Chg LTM32.5%103.6%53.5%102.2%35.4%88.7%71.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg361.9%37.8%82.7%87.8%-135.5%87.8%
Rev Chg Q86.9%112.6%91.7%150.5%197.5%279.5%131.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM16.3%17.6%15.1%21.3%30.0%21.4%19.4%
Op Mgn LTM-71.5%-50.8%-68.0%-14.0%-68.7%60.3%-59.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-53.2%-80.1%-57.8%-34.8%-65.1%35.9%-55.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM12.7%18.4%7.5%2.5%25.0%0.9%10.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-46.4%-88.8%-97.0%-60.2%-88.4%-15.5%-74.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-14.3%-42.8%-98.4%-44.0%-75.2%-20.6%-43.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-403.7%-256.0%-144.0%-133.6%-252.7%-112.5%-198.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-201.3%-207.0%-123.8%-199.5%-204.0%-61.5%-200.4%

Valuation

WULFRIOTMARACLSKCIFRHUTMedian
NameTeraWulf Riot Pla.MARA Cleanspa.Cipher M.Hut 8  
Mkt Cap4.64.53.73.25.74.24.4
P/S27.410.47.44.224.05.58.9
P/EBIT-35.85.67.8-72.89.87.8
P/E-8.140.37.38.9-70.217.98.1
P/CFO-59.0-11.7-7.6-7.0-27.1-35.5-19.4
Total Yield-12.3%2.5%13.6%11.2%-1.4%5.6%4.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--26.4%-18.1%-41.8%-18.9%--22.7%
D/E-0.10.50.30.20.10.2
Net D/E-0.10.4-0.1-0.00.10.1

Returns

WULFRIOTMARACLSKCIFRHUTMedian
NameTeraWulf Riot Pla.MARA Cleanspa.Cipher M.Hut 8  
1M Rtn4.7%-6.6%-13.7%8.2%0.3%6.5%2.5%
3M Rtn1.9%-26.4%-42.7%0.3%16.2%6.3%1.1%
6M Rtn201.3%30.4%-31.5%25.1%277.7%135.8%83.1%
12M Rtn41.1%-7.2%-59.6%-7.1%99.0%35.6%14.2%
3Y Rtn1,773.4%241.1%155.9%507.4%2,298.3%-507.4%
1M Excs Rtn4.0%-7.4%-14.5%7.5%-0.5%5.8%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn2.2%-27.3%-47.7%-16.1%20.1%6.1%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn188.9%18.0%-43.9%12.7%265.3%123.4%70.7%
12M Excs Rtn53.3%-11.3%-67.4%-15.6%123.7%35.9%12.3%
3Y Excs Rtn1,269.0%142.4%27.4%330.7%1,789.1%-330.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Digital Currency Mining6915
Total6915


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity102,128,674
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.1%
Average Daily Volume46,349,430
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.20
Basic Shares Quantity401,559,291
Short % of Basic Shares25.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/202516.9%18.0%2.2%
8/8/20251.8%76.3%86.2%
5/9/2025-8.8%6.7%37.3%
2/28/202516.1%-6.9%-24.7%
11/12/2024-13.9%-13.5%-11.7%
8/12/2024-7.3%21.8%23.8%
5/13/2024-9.2%-4.7%71.4%
11/13/2023-4.7%12.9%61.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81010
# Negative1088
Median Positive6.0%11.5%32.9%
Median Negative-6.0%-10.2%-18.3%
Max Positive18.3%76.3%110.6%
Max Negative-13.9%-28.2%-44.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023320202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022816202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021