Tearsheet

TeraWulf (WULF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.625 | Market Cap: $5.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

TeraWulf (WULF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.625
Market Cap: $5.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -121 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -84%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Sustainable Datacenter Power.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 240%
3  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -312%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
5  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%
6  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Sustainable Datacenter Power.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -121 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -84%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 240%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -312%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WULF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strategic Shift to AI and High-Performance Computing (HPC) Infrastructure: TeraWulf's pivot towards developing renewable-powered AI and HPC infrastructure, including significant partnerships and contracts such as those with Google-backed Fluidstack, has significantly boosted investor confidence. This strategic diversification beyond traditional Bitcoin mining, with contracts to deliver substantial HPC hosting capacity in 2025, is seen as a key driver for the stock's performance.

2. Successful and Large-Scale Financing Activities: During the period, TeraWulf undertook several major financing initiatives. In August 2025, the company upsized an offering of $850 million in convertible senior notes and completed a $1.0 billion offering of 1.00% Convertible Notes due 2031 to fund data center expansion. Following the third quarter of 2025, TeraWulf closed a $3.2 billion private offering of 7.75% Senior Secured Notes due 2030 and a $1.025 billion offering of 0.00% Convertible Notes due 2032, collectively providing over $5 billion in long-term capital to support its aggressive growth and scale.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WULF Return86%51%-96%261%136%151%166%
Peers Return-1%0%0%0%0%-19%-19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WULF Win Rate67%58%17%58%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate2%0%0%0%0%22% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WULF Max Drawdown-44%-14%-96%-19%-45%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%0%0%0%0%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, DMNT, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWULFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7726.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven287 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven435 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven162.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1474 days1480 days

Compare to ABTC, DMNT, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX


In The Past

TeraWulf's stock fell -98.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -98.7% loss requires a 7726.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About TeraWulf (WULF)

Better Bets than TeraWulf (WULF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WULF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TeraWulf

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WULFABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameTeraWulf American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
Mkt Price14.432.39-35.3810.7644.7314.43
Mkt Cap5.6-----5.6
Rev LTM144-0--1,255144
Op Inc LTM-121--5--58-5
FCF LTM-450----7-222
FCF 3Y Avg-201----15-93
CFO LTM-62----49-6
CFO 3Y Avg-10----4819

Growth & Margins

WULFABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameTeraWulf American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
Rev Chg LTM21.0%--6.0%--19.6%19.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-----16.7%16.7%
Rev Chg Q33.9%--37.1%--22.9%22.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.1%--7.1%--5.1%5.1%
Op Mgn LTM-84.2%--1,065.4%--4.7%-84.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-68.3%----1.3%-33.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.1%-124.4%--2.9%5.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-43.0%----3.9%-19.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.8%----4.1%-5.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-312.3%----0.5%-155.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-174.5%----1.1%-86.7%

Valuation

WULFABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameTeraWulf American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
Mkt Cap5.6-----5.6
P/S11.8-----11.8
P/EBIT-12.1------12.1
P/E-12.9------12.9
P/CFO-27.3------27.3
Total Yield-7.8%------7.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%-----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.7%------15.7%
D/E0.3-----0.3
Net D/E0.2-----0.2

Returns

WULFABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameTeraWulf American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
1M Rtn-10.4%-51.4%--15.4%-39.5%-1.8%-15.4%
3M Rtn60.7%-70.3%--93.3%-26.4%-21.9%
6M Rtn240.3%---93.3%--73.5%
12M Rtn98.5%---93.3%--2.6%
3Y Rtn1,520.6%---93.3%--713.6%
1M Excs Rtn-10.3%-51.4%--15.4%-39.5%-1.7%-15.4%
3M Excs Rtn57.3%-68.1%--98.7%-20.7%-23.7%
6M Excs Rtn225.6%---108.0%--58.8%
12M Excs Rtn69.3%---106.9%---18.8%
3Y Excs Rtn1,653.3%---166.1%--743.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity105,434,759
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.6%
Average Daily Volume46,167,869
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.28
Basic Shares Quantity386,895,095
Short % of Basic Shares27.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023320202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022816202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
630202111122021424B3 6/30/2021