Barnes & Noble Education (BNED)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.87 | Market Cap: $270.6 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail
Barnes & Noble Education (BNED)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.87Market Cap: $270.6 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Other Specialty Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Digital Course Materials & Access, Educational Technology Platforms, and Campus Experience & Retail Solutions. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -142%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.93 | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 164% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Digital Course Materials & Access, Educational Technology Platforms, and Campus Experience & Retail Solutions. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -142%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.93 |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 164% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BNED Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) experienced various stock movements within the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. While there wasn't a single, isolated 2.8% movement for the entire period, the stock saw a 2.46% decrease from November 28, 2025, to December 1, 2025, following a significant 31.74% surge on November 25, 2025. This fluctuation can be attributed to several factors.
1. Profit-taking following a substantial rally. The stock had witnessed a significant jump of 31.74% on November 25, 2025, after the company released preliminary positive financial results for fiscal year 2025 and year-to-date fiscal year 2026, and announced the completion of an internal audit investigation. This considerable gain likely prompted some investors to sell shares to realize their profits, leading to a subsequent minor pullback.
2. Lingering concerns over financial disclosures and regulatory compliance. Despite the positive preliminary results and the conclusion of the audit investigation, Barnes & Noble Education had previously received a notice from the NYSE on August 8, 2025, regarding a delay in filing its Annual Report on Form 10-K for fiscal year 2025. This delay was linked to an ongoing internal investigation into the cost of digital sales and potential accounts receivable overstatements, which may have contributed to some underlying investor caution even after the positive news.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BNED Return | 9% | 46% | -74% | -15% | -93% | -11% | -98% |
| Peers Return | 76% | 51% | -14% | 11% | 9% | -3% | 168% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BNED Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 17% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 68% | 43% | 57% | 48% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BNED Max Drawdown | -73% | -1% | -79% | -55% | -96% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -11% | -38% | -25% | -26% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BNED | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -93.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1400.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -73.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 278.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 262 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -76.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 317.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA
In The Past
Barnes & Noble Education's stock fell -93.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/8/2021. A -93.3% loss requires a 1400.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Barnes & Noble Education Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BNED. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Barnes & Noble Education
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.01 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.0 |
| Rev LTM | 9,512 |
| Op Inc LTM | 712 |
| FCF LTM | 623 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 554 |
| CFO LTM | 806 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 762 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.0 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 16.7 |
| P/E | 22.4 |
| P/CFO | 16.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -10.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -4.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -71.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 1312025 | 3102025 | 10-Q 1/25/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12092024 | 10-Q 10/26/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9102024 | 10-Q 7/27/2024 |
| 4302024 | 7012024 | 10-K 4/27/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3122024 | 10-Q 1/27/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9062023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 7312023 | 10-K 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3092023 | 10-Q 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12062022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8312022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6292022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3082022 | 10-Q 1/29/2022 |
| 10312021 | 11302021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
| 7312021 | 9022021 | 10-Q 7/31/2021 |
| 4302021 | 6302021 | 10-K 5/1/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |