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Barnes & Noble Education (BNED)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.87 | Market Cap: $270.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Barnes & Noble Education (BNED)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.87
Market Cap: $270.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Digital Course Materials & Access, Educational Technology Platforms, and Campus Experience & Retail Solutions.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -142%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.93
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 164%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Digital Course Materials & Access, Educational Technology Platforms, and Campus Experience & Retail Solutions.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -142%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.93
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 164%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BNED Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) experienced various stock movements within the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. While there wasn't a single, isolated 2.8% movement for the entire period, the stock saw a 2.46% decrease from November 28, 2025, to December 1, 2025, following a significant 31.74% surge on November 25, 2025. This fluctuation can be attributed to several factors.

1. Profit-taking following a substantial rally. The stock had witnessed a significant jump of 31.74% on November 25, 2025, after the company released preliminary positive financial results for fiscal year 2025 and year-to-date fiscal year 2026, and announced the completion of an internal audit investigation. This considerable gain likely prompted some investors to sell shares to realize their profits, leading to a subsequent minor pullback.

2. Lingering concerns over financial disclosures and regulatory compliance. Despite the positive preliminary results and the conclusion of the audit investigation, Barnes & Noble Education had previously received a notice from the NYSE on August 8, 2025, regarding a delay in filing its Annual Report on Form 10-K for fiscal year 2025. This delay was linked to an ongoing internal investigation into the cost of digital sales and potential accounts receivable overstatements, which may have contributed to some underlying investor caution even after the positive news.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BNED Return9%46%-74%-15%-93%-11%-98%
Peers Return76%51%-14%11%9%-3%168%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BNED Win Rate58%58%17%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%68%43%57%48%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BNED Max Drawdown-73%-1%-79%-55%-96%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-11%-38%-25%-26%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBNEDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1400.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-73.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven278.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven262 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-76.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven317.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA


In The Past

Barnes & Noble Education's stock fell -93.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/8/2021. A -93.3% loss requires a 1400.6% gain to breakeven.

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About Barnes & Noble Education (BNED)

Better Bets than Barnes & Noble Education (BNED)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BNED. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Barnes & Noble Education

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BNEDTSCOULTACHWYBBWIWINAMedian
NameBarnes &.Tractor .Ulta Bea.Chewy Bath & B.Winmark  
Mkt Price8.8754.07544.5233.9519.01430.1644.01
Mkt Cap0.328.624.514.14.01.59.0
Rev LTM1,56815,39911,65512,3457,370859,512
Op Inc LTM321,4881,5951631,26254712
FCF LTM-6995295246378345623
FCF 3Y Avg-3676997235475544554
CFO LTM-571,8281,2966111,00145806
CFO 3Y Avg-201,5991,3585071,01644762

Growth & Margins

BNEDTSCOULTACHWYBBWIWINAMedian
NameBarnes &.Tractor .Ulta Bea.Chewy Bath & B.Winmark  
Rev Chg LTM-0.3%4.3%2.9%9.2%-0.2%3.3%3.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.3%4.5%7.7%9.1%-1.8%1.6%3.4%
Rev Chg Q2.1%7.2%9.3%8.6%1.5%5.2%6.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%1.7%2.1%2.0%0.3%1.3%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM2.0%9.7%13.7%1.3%17.1%64.3%11.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.4%9.9%14.4%0.7%17.0%64.3%12.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.0%-0.1%0.3%-0.4%-0.9%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-3.6%11.9%11.1%5.0%13.6%53.0%11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.3%10.6%12.1%4.4%13.7%52.7%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.4%6.2%8.2%3.8%10.6%52.8%7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.3%5.1%8.7%3.1%10.2%52.4%6.9%

Valuation

BNEDTSCOULTACHWYBBWIWINAMedian
NameBarnes &.Tractor .Ulta Bea.Chewy Bath & B.Winmark  
Mkt Cap0.328.624.514.14.01.59.0
P/S0.22.01.81.40.920.91.6
P/EBIT-8.720.213.295.94.932.016.7
P/E-5.127.317.5116.88.642.822.4
P/CFO-6.316.516.228.96.339.516.4
Total Yield-19.5%3.7%5.7%0.9%14.3%4.6%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.7%2.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.4%2.9%4.7%2.3%9.9%3.0%3.9%
D/E1.00.20.10.00.80.00.1
Net D/E1.00.20.1-0.00.70.00.1

Returns

BNEDTSCOULTACHWYBBWIWINAMedian
NameBarnes &.Tractor .Ulta Bea.Chewy Bath & B.Winmark  
1M Rtn0.0%3.5%5.2%3.1%-20.5%6.6%3.3%
3M Rtn6.6%-9.7%2.5%-16.7%-37.0%-4.9%-7.3%
6M Rtn-25.0%10.5%16.9%-28.2%-27.8%5.1%-10.0%
12M Rtn-21.1%-3.5%37.7%1.0%-46.8%8.6%-1.3%
3Y Rtn-96.7%26.7%15.5%-24.4%-53.3%95.7%-4.4%
1M Excs Rtn0.0%3.5%5.3%3.2%-20.5%6.7%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn0.1%-15.8%-2.5%-22.9%-44.9%-13.4%-14.6%
6M Excs Rtn-39.7%-4.2%2.2%-42.9%-42.5%-9.7%-24.7%
12M Excs Rtn-32.5%-16.6%27.3%-11.9%-59.4%-5.7%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-169.1%-44.4%-53.7%-89.9%-121.7%22.6%-71.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,089,972
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.8%
Average Daily Volume191,129
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.93
Basic Shares Quantity30,508,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
1312025310202510-Q 1/25/2025
103120241209202410-Q 10/26/2024
7312024910202410-Q 7/27/2024
4302024701202410-K 4/27/2024
1312024312202410-Q 1/27/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023731202310-K 4/29/2023
1312023309202310-Q 1/28/2023
103120221206202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022831202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022629202210-K 4/30/2022
1312022308202210-Q 1/29/2022
103120211130202110-Q 10/31/2021
7312021902202110-Q 7/31/2021
4302021630202110-K 5/1/2021