Tearsheet

Waldencast (WALD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.98 | Market Cap: $85.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Household Products

Waldencast (WALD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.98
Market Cap: $85.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Household Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x
2   Key risks
WALD key risks include [1] accounting misstatements and a related SEC investigation, Show more.
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.8%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x
5 Key risks
WALD key risks include [1] accounting misstatements and a related SEC investigation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WALD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Waldencast (WALD) stock moved by 25.6% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strategic Review and Revised Financial Outlook
On August 19, 2025, just before the specified period, Waldencast announced it was undertaking a strategic review with Lazard and simultaneously lowered its 2025 net revenue growth outlook from mid-teens to low-to-mid single digits. This news initially led to a 19% increase in premarket activity, indicating investor optimism regarding the strategic re-evaluation despite the downward revision in revenue expectations.

2. Expansion into Medical Aesthetics and New Product Launches
The company's Obagi Medical brand achieved FDA approval for Obagi® saypha® MagIQ™ Injectable Hyaluronic Acid Gel in September 2025 and subsequently launched the Nu-Cil® BioStim™ Scalp Serum in October 2025. These initiatives signify Waldencast's expansion into the medical aesthetics market, potentially opening new avenues for growth and positively influencing investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WALD Return-7%21%-63%-52%
Peers Return20%32%3%24%-36%9%41%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WALD Win Rate29%17%50%25%17% 
Peers Win Rate55%62%52%52%35%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WALD Max Drawdown-28%-40%-76%-63% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-13%-36%-30%-47%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EL, COTY, ELF, ULTA, NUS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWALDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven53 days464 days

Compare to IPAR, CENT, CL, KMB, CHD


In The Past

Waldencast's stock fell -45.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2022. A -45.8% loss requires a 84.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Waldencast (WALD)

Better Bets than Waldencast (WALD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WALD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.5%7.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.5%7.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Waldencast

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WALDELCOTYELFULTANUSMedian
NameWaldenca.Estee La.Coty e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Nu Skin . 
Mkt Price1.96105.303.2678.85585.9810.4644.66
Mkt Cap0.138.02.84.624.50.53.7
Rev LTM14214,3265,7991,38611,9821,5603,679
Op Inc LTM-101,1414761361,58660306
FCF LTM26702991421,04253220
FCF 3Y Avg-1843249196161184
CFO LTM21,2724901721,35989331
CFO 3Y Avg-1,7885451051,349107545

Growth & Margins

WALDELCOTYELFULTANUSMedian
NameWaldenca.Estee La.Coty e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Nu Skin . 
Rev Chg LTM--8.2%-5.7%13.8%5.5%-12.1%-5.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--6.8%3.1%47.9%7.3%-13.1%3.1%
Rev Chg Q--11.9%-5.6%14.2%12.9%-15.3%-5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%-3.1%-1.6%3.2%2.8%-4.1%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-6.8%8.0%8.2%9.8%13.2%3.9%8.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-9.7%9.4%12.5%14.0%4.3%9.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.9%-1.1%-0.8%-1.8%-0.4%0.4%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM1.5%8.9%8.5%12.4%11.3%5.7%8.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-11.6%9.2%9.8%11.8%6.0%9.8%
FCF/Rev LTM1.5%4.7%5.2%10.2%8.7%3.4%4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.4%5.5%8.7%8.4%3.5%5.5%

Valuation

WALDELCOTYELFULTANUSMedian
NameWaldenca.Estee La.Coty e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Nu Skin . 
Mkt Cap0.138.02.84.624.50.53.7
P/S0.62.20.63.32.00.41.3
P/EBIT--46.5-23.233.2-4.4-9.4
P/E-7.7-28.1-9.256.220.65.5-1.1
P/CFO39.225.07.226.718.06.721.5
Total Yield-12.9%-3.6%-10.9%1.8%4.9%20.2%-0.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.0%5.3%1.3%-12.4%3.3%
D/E-0.31.20.2-0.50.4
Net D/E-0.21.10.2-0.10.2

Returns

WALDELCOTYELFULTANUSMedian
NameWaldenca.Estee La.Coty e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Nu Skin . 
1M Rtn-0.5%22.8%-2.7%8.3%15.0%10.6%9.5%
3M Rtn-0.5%19.9%-24.5%-46.0%10.8%-11.3%-5.9%
6M Rtn-12.9%42.0%-31.9%-35.5%23.8%37.7%5.4%
12M Rtn-49.7%37.1%-55.5%-41.5%38.3%46.6%-2.2%
3Y Rtn-78.7%-53.8%-58.9%43.5%29.9%-71.0%-56.4%
1M Excs Rtn-1.2%22.0%-3.4%7.6%14.3%9.9%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn-7.1%18.8%-25.0%-47.6%8.2%-16.0%-11.5%
6M Excs Rtn-25.3%29.6%-44.3%-47.9%11.4%25.3%-6.9%
12M Excs Rtn-60.7%22.8%-67.6%-55.0%27.1%32.2%-16.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-147.9%-122.9%-127.3%-24.0%-44.3%-139.7%-125.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Obagi Skincare118 
Milk Makeup100 
Total218 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Single segment 347
Total 347


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity884,877
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202518.0%
Average Daily Volume238,606
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.71
Basic Shares Quantity43,125,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025112420256-K 6/30/2025
12312024320202520-F 12/31/2024
630202482720246-K 6/30/2024
12312023430202420-F 12/31/2023
630202332120246-K 6/30/2023
7312022116202420-F 7/27/2022
630202281120226-K 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021803202220-F 12/31/2021
93020211118202110-Q 9/30/2021
6302021816202110-Q 6/30/2021
3312021719202110-Q 3/31/2021
123120203172021424B4 12/31/2020