VisionWave Holdings (VWAV)


Market Price (11/5/2026): $1.91 | Market Cap: $6.2 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

VisionWave Holdings (VWAV)


Market Price (11/5/2026): $1.91
Market Cap: $6.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Machine Vision.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -179%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -36 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12610%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1170%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2068%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2216%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 143%

Key risks
VWAV key risks include [1] its pre-revenue status and dependence on dilutive funding while operating with negative shareholders' equity, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Machine Vision.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -179%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -36 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12610%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1170%
5 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2068%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2216%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 143%
8 Key risks
VWAV key risks include [1] its pre-revenue status and dependence on dilutive funding while operating with negative shareholders' equity, Show more.

VWAV in ETFs

Weight = VWAV's share of each fund

VTI0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

VisionWave Holdings (VWAV) stock has lost about 95% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Severe Financial Underperformance and High Cash Burn. VisionWave Holdings consistently reported substantial net losses and negative free cash flow, highlighting a lack of operational profitability. For fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, the company recorded minimal revenue of $286,339, an approximate net loss of $25.8 million, and a free cash flow burn exceeding $6.0 million. This unsustainable rate of expenditure severely depleted its cash reserves, which decreased from roughly $14.3 million to about $4.9 million in that quarter. The disclosure of these results shortly after July 31, 2026, significantly contributed to the stock's downward trend.

2. Reverse Stock Split Signaling Distress and Continued Price Weakness. VisionWave Holdings executed a 1-for-20 reverse stock split effective September 22, 2026, primarily to maintain compliance with Nasdaq's $1.00 minimum bid price requirement. While intended to artificially inflate the per-share price, reverse splits often signal underlying financial distress and a history of significant share price depreciation. Following a brief spike above $7, the stock's inability to sustain higher values post-split, eventually sliding to the mid-$4s by late September and $2.66 by November 1, 2026, indicated a lack of investor confidence despite the share consolidation.

Show more
Updated on 11/1/2026

VisionWave Holdings (VWAV) stock has lost about 95% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Severe Financial Underperformance and High Cash Burn. VisionWave Holdings consistently reported substantial net losses and negative free cash flow, highlighting a lack of operational profitability. For fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, the company recorded minimal revenue of $286,339, an approximate net loss of $25.8 million, and a free cash flow burn exceeding $6.0 million. This unsustainable rate of expenditure severely depleted its cash reserves, which decreased from roughly $14.3 million to about $4.9 million in that quarter. The disclosure of these results shortly after July 31, 2026, significantly contributed to the stock's downward trend.

2. Reverse Stock Split Signaling Distress and Continued Price Weakness. VisionWave Holdings executed a 1-for-20 reverse stock split effective September 22, 2026, primarily to maintain compliance with Nasdaq's $1.00 minimum bid price requirement. While intended to artificially inflate the per-share price, reverse splits often signal underlying financial distress and a history of significant share price depreciation. Following a brief spike above $7, the stock's inability to sustain higher values post-split, eventually sliding to the mid-$4s by late September and $2.66 by November 1, 2026, indicated a lack of investor confidence despite the share consolidation.

3. Significant and Ongoing Share Dilution to Address Liquidity Concerns. Facing weak liquidity with only $26,186 in cash against a quarterly operating cash outflow of $6.03 million as of June 30, 2026, VisionWave initiated an At The Market (ATM) offering in September 2026 to sell up to $30 million of common stock. Further exacerbating dilution concerns, an October 2026 proxy statement proposed increasing authorized common stock from 150 million to an extensive 2 billion shares and establishing a new employee incentive plan with a 100 million-share reserve. If approved, this new reserve alone would represent approximately 92.6% of common shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as of October 19, 2026, underscoring the company's reliance on capital markets and the high risk of substantial future dilution for existing shareholders.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -94.4% change in VWAV stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/4/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611042026Change
Stock Price ($)34.401.92-94.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)009.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple∞7.3 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)11-9.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VWAV-94.4% 
Market (SPY)2.6%8.2%
Sector (XLI)-5.8%5.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -98.5% change in VWAV stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/4/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611042026Change
Stock Price ($)125.601.92-98.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)009.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple∞7.3 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)11-30.2%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VWAV-98.5% 
Market (SPY)7.0%13.3%
Sector (XLI)-2.7%8.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -99.3% change in VWAV stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)1031202511042026Change
Stock Price ($)265.401.92-99.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)�00.0%
P/S Multiple�7.30.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)11-34.3%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VWAV-99.3% 
Market (SPY)13.4%16.6%
Sector (XLI)10.2%13.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VWAV  
Market (SPY)89.7%5.1%
Sector (XLI)79.2%3.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
VWAV Return----183%-99%-97%
Peers Return-15%-34%5%277%49%-45%81%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VWAV Win Rate----50%27% 
Peers Win Rate27%45%52%53%55%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%36% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VWAV Max Drawdown------99% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-59%-47%-44%-51%-69% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KTOS, AVAV, MRCY, RCAT, SIDU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/4/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

VWAV has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven45 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven51 days62 days

Compare to KTOS, AVAV, MRCY, RCAT, SIDU

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

VWAV has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven114 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-60.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven153.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven700 days1085 days

Compare to KTOS, AVAV, MRCY, RCAT, SIDU

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About VisionWave Holdings (VWAV)

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Doug Davis, CEO & Executive Chairman

Doug Davis is an experienced public and private company CEO, board member, and M&A advisor with decades of leadership across technology, defense, and capital markets. He led Bannix Acquisition Corp (NASDAQ: BNIX), a SPAC, which resulted in the successful de-SPAC and business combination forming VisionWave Holdings, Inc.

Erik Klinger, Chief Financial Officer

Erik Klinger is a growth-focused executive with extensive experience in M&A, capital markets, and public company operations. He previously served as CEO of CIMfinity and CFO of Gopher Protocol, with a strong track record in scaling tech ventures.

Dr. Danny Rittman, Chief Technology Officer

Dr. Danny Rittman is a technology innovator with a PhD in Computer Science and expertise in AI, quantum computing, semiconductors, and advanced software engineering. He holds multiple international patents in defense, aerospace, and telecommunications, and has led groundbreaking R&D efforts.

Eric T. Shuss, Chief Operating Officer, Board Member

Eric T. Shuss is a high-tech executive with leadership roles across AI, robotics, ERP, telecom, and manufacturing. He is a founder and former CEO, COO, VP, and President of multiple tech ventures.

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Key Risks to VisionWave Holdings (VWAV)

  1. Significant Financial Losses, Cash Burn, and Dilution Risk: VisionWave Holdings is a pre-revenue company that has reported substantial net income losses, including approximately $25.8 million for Q3 2026 and an expected $19.98 million for Q2 2026. Its gross margin is significantly negative, indicating a failure to generate profit from sales. The company faces a "debt monster" requiring $2.5 million in monthly principal payments on a $20 million senior loan, which effectively netted only $16.975 million. As a pre-revenue entity, VisionWave is compelled to continuously issue new equity to meet these debt obligations, leading to considerable shareholder dilution. Furthermore, a "structural dilution engine" may force the company to issue additional shares to acquisition sellers if the stock price declines, to guarantee specific dollar values, further impacting public shareholders. The stock has experienced a dramatic decline, with a year-to-date change of -97.73% and a 20-day change of -63.28% as of early October 2026, after trading at highs of over $14 following its public debut.

  2. Execution and Integration Risks of Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) Strategy: VisionWave's core strategy involves building an integrated autonomous defense technology ecosystem through aggressive M&A activities, having acquired companies like SolarDrone and xClibre, and a controlling stake in Foresight Autonomous. However, the successful integration of these diverse companies and their technologies presents significant execution challenges. The theoretical design of tech consolidation has not yet been proven effective in demanding defense or commercial environments. The company faces incremental integration risks as it continues to add more technologies to its portfolio. The termination of a major acquisition deal for Meteor Aerospace Limited following due diligence also raises concerns regarding VisionWave's financial health and strategic direction.

  3. Pre-Revenue Status and Commercialization Challenges: VisionWave Holdings operates as a pre-revenue company, with its primary focus on achieving commercialization milestones rather than current financial performance. The company is developing "pre-revenue frontier tech" and reported total revenue of only $286,339 in Q3 2026. A negative market reaction to a $20 million order suggests a lack of investor confidence in its commercialization prospects.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

VisionWave Holdings (VWAV) operates within the global market for autonomous defense technologies, which is estimated to be a nearly $200 billion market. The company focuses on revolutionizing defense capabilities by integrating artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomous solutions across air, ground, and sea domains. VisionWave Holdings specializes in radars, vision systems, and radio frequency sensing technologies, serving military and homeland security sectors worldwide. The company also employs a dual-market strategy, allowing technologies developed for defense environments to scale into commercial infrastructure applications such as autonomous inspection, monitoring, and maintenance solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

VisionWave Holdings (VWAV) is an advanced sensing technology company specializing in AI-driven, RF-based sensing, autonomy, and computational acceleration for defense, homeland security, and commercial infrastructure applications. The company's future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years is expected to be driven by several key factors:
  1. Commercialization and Adoption of AI-driven Autonomous and Advanced Sensing Technologies: VisionWave Holdings is focused on developing and commercializing its proprietary AI engine and a suite of advanced sensing technologies. This includes products such as Counter-Unmanned Aircraft Systems (C-UAS), multi-purpose autonomous Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS), Vision-AI technology, radars, vision systems, and radio frequency (RF) sensing. These technologies are in various stages of development and commercialization, targeting both defense and commercial sectors.
  2. Expansion into Dual-Market Applications: A core strategy for VisionWave is to leverage technologies developed for demanding defense environments and scale them into large infrastructure and industrial applications. This dual-market approach aims to broaden the company's customer base beyond military and homeland security to include commercial infrastructure and other industrial applications globally, enabling faster innovation and broader adoption of its autonomous systems.
  3. Strategic Acquisitions and Joint Ventures (M&A): The company is actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions to assemble an integrated autonomous defense technology ecosystem and expand its capabilities. Recent examples include acquisitions that have expanded its expertise in RF sensing, qSpeed compute, video AI, drone, and composite manufacturing. The acquisition of Junko Solar, for instance, contributed to the company's initial revenue in 2026, and a controlling stake in Foresight Autonomous was also acquired.
  4. Successful Product Launches and Contract Wins: Future revenue growth is anticipated from the successful launch and market adoption of new products and the securing of significant contracts. Upcoming catalysts include potential contract wins from clients such as a LatAm government and successful demonstrations of new platforms. Notably, the company is showcasing its VARAN™ Autonomous Ground System and The D-FLY Counter-UAS Interceptor at Eurosatory Paris 2026, and operational drone platforms are being deployed for security at the FIFA World Cup.
  5. Increased International Market Penetration: VisionWave is focused on increasing its international market visibility and reach. This includes strategic partnerships and joint ventures, such as with SaverOne and a BOCA JV, along with efforts toward a potential Frankfurt listing. These initiatives are aimed at expanding the company's presence and customer base in European and other international defense and commercial markets.

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Share Repurchases

  • VisionWave Holdings has not made any share repurchases.
  • No share repurchases have been authorized for future execution.

Share Issuance

  • VisionWave Holdings effected a 1-for-20 reverse stock split on September 22, 2026.
  • Stockholders approved a new 2026 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan, reserving 7,000,000 shares of common stock for issuance.
  • The company established an At-the-Market (ATM) program in September 2026, enabling it to sell up to $30,000,000 of common stock for general corporate and working capital purposes.

Inbound Investments

  • VisionWave Holdings secured a $20,000,000 senior loan from YA II PN, Ltd. on February 26, 2026.
  • The company engaged Maxim Group LLC in 2025 for a potential $10 million private placement.
  • VisionWave Holdings secured funding commitments from three investors following a merger in 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • In April 2026, VisionWave Holdings acquired 100% of the xClibre™ AI video intelligence IP platform from Dream America Marketing Services, with consideration including 7,000,000 VWAV common shares (3,500,000 at closing) and a $6,000,000 promissory note.
  • The company acquired all outstanding shares of Solar Drone Ltd. from Blade Ranger Ltd. for 1,500,000 VWAV shares and 300,000 pre-funded warrants.
  • VisionWave Holdings issued 365,610 shares (valued at approximately $2.75 million) in March 2026, as part of the first stage of an exchange agreement to acquire 19.99% of SaverOne's share capital, with a strategic goal of reaching approximately 51% ownership.

Capital Expenditures

  • In the last 12 months as of October 6, 2026, capital expenditures amounted to -$425,541.
  • Capital is being deployed to build an integrated multi-domain intelligence platform, focusing on autonomous systems, RF-based sensing, artificial intelligence infrastructure, visual perception, and computational acceleration technologies.
  • A planned acquisition of C.M. Composite Materials points to potential for expanded manufacturing capabilities.

Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense

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Share of Aerospace & Defense constituents that VWAV has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
0%
of 70 industry peers · -99.0% return
3Y
—
insufficient peer history
5Y
—
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Aerospace & Defense is VWAV's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 29 -12.8%78.4%144.7% FIX 1084% · STRL 944% · AGX 620%
Marine Transportation 5 28.7%38.5%123.2% MATX 149% · KEX 123%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 12.2%58.9%107.9% ALSN 278% · WAB 230% · CAT 216%
Aerospace & Defense ← 54 -7.4%61.7%59.6% ATI 980% · FTAI 885% · HWM 598%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 6.3%50.5%38.7% CRS 887% · MLI 333% · SYM 274%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 17.2%41.9%38.4% DXPE 356% · AIT 215% · URI 202%
Rail Transportation 7 37.9%59.1%33.8% CSX 57% · UNP 46% · NSC 34%
Diversified Support Services 33 21.0%37.1%28.3% CXW 235% · OPLN 162% · CACI 120%
Building Products 34 -3.2%12.5%21.7% MOD 793% · GFF 380% · TT 142%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 33.7%17.8%7.7% XPO 276% · R 265% · ARCB 26%
Office Services & Supplies 10 29.7%26.2%3.1% TILE 170% · PBI 166% · HNI 48%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 23.0%-3.6%1.0% CSW 125% · CSL 83% · DD 74%
Electrical Components & Equipment 39 -5.2%68.2%-2.8% POWL 1633% · VRT 667% · BE 564%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -14.9%3.1%-12.6% EXLS 60% · BR 21% · MMS -12%
Security & Alarm Services 9 -49.8%13.7%-19.8% BCO 70%
Research & Consulting Services 13 4.9%-16.9%-20.8% HURN 224% · FCN 35% · BAH 11%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 16 17.3%-6.1%-21.8% BLBD 184% · DE 106% · TTC 19%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -29.1%25.0%-25.8% GEO 210% · CLH 173% · RSG 96%
Passenger Airlines 11 10.5%55.1%-28.2% LTM 3048% · UAL 136% · DAL 126%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -23.0%-5.0%-37.3% FDX 86% · EXPD 60% · CHRW 57%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 21.6%-6.2%-42.7% ADP 50% · FA 22% · PAYX 13%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -13.2%46.3%-53.7% UBER 54% · CAR -54% · LYFT -62%
Airport Services 4 -48.6%-62.5%-86.1% JOBY -48%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VWAVKTOSAVAVMRCYRCATSIDUMedian
NameVisionWa.Kratos D.AeroViro.Mercury .Red Cat Sidus Sp. 
Mkt Price1.8635.81111.0071.533.971.0419.89
Mkt Cap0.06.85.54.30.50.12.4
Rev LTM01,5222,003984723528
Op Inc LTM-3623-127-107-28-20
FCF LTM--129-4568-158-31-45
FCF 3Y Avg--62-7171-73-25-62
CFO LTM--4059102-139-19-19
CFO 3Y Avg-12-11101-66-16-11

Growth & Margins

VWAVKTOSAVAVMRCYRCATSIDUMedian
NameVisionWa.Kratos D.AeroViro.Mercury .Red Cat Sidus Sp. 
Rev Chg LTM-25.5%84.4%7.9%681.0%-32.6%25.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.6%52.5%0.9%306.1%-25.4%16.6%
Rev Chg Q-30.5%5.7%6.1%527.3%-53.8%6.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.6%1.3%1.7%31.1%-19.3%1.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM-13.2%64.2%172.0%-156.5%-41.7%13.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-109.1%265.1%-517.2%-84.7%-29.4%-29.4%
Op Mgn LTM-12,610.4%1.5%-0.6%0.8%-150.2%-983.7%-75.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.3%1.8%-4.9%-239.0%-594.4%-4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.4%3.0%-1.0%-0.9%-201.7%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM--2.6%2.9%10.4%-194.4%-686.9%-2.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.4%-1.0%11.0%-249.8%-458.9%-1.0%
FCF/Rev LTM--8.5%-2.2%6.9%-220.4%-1,081.5%-8.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--4.4%-5.5%7.7%-261.5%-719.2%-5.5%

Valuation

VWAVKTOSAVAVMRCYRCATSIDUMedian
NameVisionWa.Kratos D.AeroViro.Mercury .Red Cat Sidus Sp. 
Mkt Cap0.06.85.54.30.50.12.4
P/S7.14.42.84.37.631.45.8
P/Op Inc-0.1291.1-465.3569.7-5.1-3.2-1.6
P/EBIT-0.1172.7-22.96,089.9-5.1-3.1-1.6
P/E-0.0218.6-27.3-143.9-5.6-3.2-4.4
P/CFO--170.594.041.7-3.9-4.6-3.9
Total Yield-2,211.0%0.5%-3.6%-0.7%-17.8%-30.9%-10.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--0.7%-0.5%2.1%-13.1%-103.8%-0.7%
D/E14.50.00.20.10.00.00.1
Net D/E12.1-0.20.00.1-0.6-1.9-0.1

Returns

VWAVKTOSAVAVMRCYRCATSIDUMedian
NameVisionWa.Kratos D.AeroViro.Mercury .Red Cat Sidus Sp. 
1M Rtn-57.2%-14.8%-20.3%-13.8%-37.4%-40.6%-28.9%
3M Rtn-92.8%-35.3%-34.0%-33.4%-54.2%-49.8%-42.5%
6M Rtn-98.5%-41.8%-36.3%-22.0%-62.6%-68.2%-52.2%
12M Rtn-99.0%-60.3%-69.6%-5.5%-58.1%-2.8%-59.2%
3Y Rtn-97.2%107.6%-7.4%92.2%329.2%-88.9%42.4%
1M Excs Rtn-60.0%-14.9%-19.5%-10.4%-34.2%-37.0%-26.9%
3M Excs Rtn-90.7%-35.8%-33.3%-32.5%-52.4%-48.4%-42.1%
6M Excs Rtn-101.2%-44.5%-39.1%-24.7%-65.4%-71.0%-55.0%
12M Excs Rtn-109.4%-71.1%-80.1%-18.5%-71.7%-13.3%-71.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-176.5%31.7%-81.9%19.9%254.1%-170.0%-31.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Single Segment-7-0
Total-7-0


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.92 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date07/15/2025 
Distance from 52W High-99.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$6.71$86.55
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-71.5%-97.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility200.5%143.3%
Downside Capture956.78601.36
Upside Capture-485.94-24.12
Correlation (S&P 500)14.0%17.8%
VWAV Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.301.891.891.901.980.16
Up Beta-14.315.521.232.210.56-0.83
Down Beta-0.59-1.791.170.681.072.15
Up Capture-482%-284%-244%-123%-3%-2%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days10162246100132
Down Capture225%621%555%317%192%107%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days11253977147191

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VWAV
VWAV-99.1%143.8%-2.60-
Sector ETF (XLI)10.8%17.4%0.4213.5%
Equity (SPY)13.2%12.9%0.6816.5%
Gold (GLD)1.0%28.8%0.0312.5%
Commodities (DBC)35.9%21.2%1.3411.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.3%14.1%0.7010.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.2%43.4%-0.655.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VWAV
VWAV-49.9%352.9%-0.01-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.1%17.6%0.513.3%
Equity (SPY)12.5%17.2%0.555.0%
Gold (GLD)17.3%19.1%0.731.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%19.6%0.296.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.8%18.9%-0.01-6.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.5%51.5%0.292.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VWAV
VWAV-29.2%352.9%-0.01-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.4%20.1%0.583.3%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.735.0%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.591.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.1%0.336.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.23-6.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.0%66.2%1.012.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302026-46.9%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity1.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares14.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/19/202610-Q
03/31/202605/20/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-Q
09/30/202512/31/202510-K
06/30/202508/19/202510-Q
03/31/202510/03/202510-Q
12/31/202405/09/2025424B3
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/19/202610-Q
03/31/202605/20/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-Q
09/30/202512/31/202510-K
06/30/202508/19/202510-Q
03/31/202510/03/202510-Q
12/31/202405/09/2025424B3

Insider Activity

Updated 7/6/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Magic, Internacional Argentina FC SL Llc DirectSell21220269.002,08018,72018,055,980Form
2Magic, Internacional Argentina FC SL Llc DirectSell21220269.5812,200116,87619,239,514Form
3Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202614.4596,9411,400,79748,987,971Form
4Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202613.8138,059525,59548,157,017Form
5Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202614.6766,500975,55551,714,259Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Magic, Internacional Argentina FC SL Llc DirectSell21220269.002,08018,72018,055,980Form
2Magic, Internacional Argentina FC SL Llc DirectSell21220269.5812,200116,87619,239,514Form
3Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202614.4596,9411,400,79748,987,971Form
4Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202613.8138,059525,59548,157,017Form
5Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202614.6766,500975,55551,714,259Form
6Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202614.7483,0001,223,42052,941,231Form
7Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202612.9154,078698,14747,440,003Form
8Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202612.0882,261993,71345,043,288Form
9Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202610.3756,231583,11539,520,174Form
10Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202610.103,86939,07739,059,134Form
11Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202610.0121,998220,20038,749,811Form
12Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202610.034,00240,14039,047,873Form
13Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell13020269.984,00039,92038,893,158Form
14Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202610.1521,997223,27039,596,266Form
15Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell13020269.3217,240160,67736,563,357Form
16Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell13020269.248,76080,94236,408,806Form
17Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202610.2533140,478,347Form
18Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202610.4010,000104,00041,070,744Form
19Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202610.1312,000121,56040,105,784Form
20Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202611.312,06123,31044,913,254Form
21Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202611.188,00089,44044,420,052Form
22Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202611.276,00067,62044,867,797Form
23Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202612.1119,000230,09048,284,641Form
24Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202611.8821,500255,42047,593,311Form
25Stanley, Hills LlcDirectSell130202613.0513,727179,13752,561,107Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/4/2026