Tearsheet

Ventyx Biosciences (VTYX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $8.0 | Market Cap: $570.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Ventyx Biosciences (VTYX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $8.0
Market Cap: $570.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -82%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -144%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -117 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 256%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 208%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -82%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -144%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -117 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 256%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 208%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VTYX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Ventyx Biosciences (VTYX) experienced a significant increase in its value, with a reported rise of approximately 226-261% over the last year leading up to December 2025. This substantial movement can be attributed to several key positive developments related to the company's clinical pipeline and financial standing.

1. Positive Phase 2a Study Results for VTX3232 in Early-Stage Parkinson's Disease. Ventyx Biosciences announced positive top-line results on June 17, 2025, from its Phase 2a study of VTX3232, a novel CNS-penetrant NLRP3 inhibitor, in patients with early-stage Parkinson's disease. The study successfully met its primary objective by demonstrating safety and tolerability, with no drug-related adverse events. Furthermore, VTX3232 showed high drug exposure in both plasma and cerebral spinal fluid (CSF), along with significant reductions in NLRP3-related biomarkers in these fluids, suggesting potent target engagement and potential therapeutic efficacy.

2. Positive Topline Results from Phase 2 Study of VTX3232 in Obesity and Cardiovascular Risk Factors. On October 22, 2025, Ventyx Biosciences reported positive top-line results from its Phase 2 study evaluating VTX3232 in individuals with obesity and cardiovascular risk factors. The study demonstrated significant reductions in inflammatory markers, including hsCRP and IL-6, within the first week of dosing, which were maintained throughout the 12-week study period. This announcement led to a considerable surge in VTYX's stock price, with an approximate 90% increase pre-market on the day of the news.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VTYX Return--65%-92%-11%265%-60%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%3%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VTYX Win Rate-50%58%50%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VTYX Max Drawdown---50%-94%-30%-62% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVTYXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2142.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Ventyx Biosciences's stock fell -95.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/3/2023. A -95.5% loss requires a 2142.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Ventyx Biosciences (VTYX)

Better Bets than Ventyx Biosciences (VTYX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VTYX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ventyx Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VTYXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVentyx B.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price8.00457.362.631.1711.5421.939.77
Mkt Cap0.6116.9----58.7
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-117-92-5--93-70-92
FCF LTM-883,337-6--60-64-60
FCF 3Y Avg-1372,064-10----10
CFO LTM-883,718-6--60-64-60
CFO 3Y Avg-1362,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

VTYXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVentyx B.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

VTYXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVentyx B.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.6116.9----58.7
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-1.922.4----10.3
P/E-2.127.2----12.6
P/CFO-2.526.9----12.2
Total Yield-48.1%3.7%-----22.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-50.4%2.3%-----24.1%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.8-0.0-----0.4

Returns

VTYXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVentyx B.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn-1.1%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-3.7%
3M Rtn207.7%15.2%--14.5%-15.2%
6M Rtn255.6%3.1%----129.3%
12M Rtn207.7%-1.4%----103.1%
3Y Rtn-71.5%44.0%-----13.8%
1M Excs Rtn-2.4%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-2.4%
3M Excs Rtn211.7%9.7%--10.8%-10.8%
6M Excs Rtn240.1%-12.4%----113.8%
12M Excs Rtn204.1%-15.2%----94.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-144.3%-28.7%-----86.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,151,028
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.0%
Average Daily Volume2,479,148
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.48
Basic Shares Quantity71,304,084
Short % of Basic Shares8.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021324202210-K 12/31/2021