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Ventyx Biosciences (VTYX)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $8.23 | Market Cap: $586.8 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Ventyx Biosciences (VTYX)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $8.23
Market Cap: $586.8 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -82%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -117 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 273%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 265%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 119%
5   Key risks
VTYX key risks include [1] potential clinical trial failure for its key drug candidates VTX3232 and VTX2735, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -82%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -117 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 273%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 265%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 119%
8 Key risks
VTYX key risks include [1] potential clinical trial failure for its key drug candidates VTX3232 and VTX2735, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VTYX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Positive Clinical Data for VTX2735 in CAPS.
Ventyx Biosciences announced positive topline results in March 2024 from a Phase 2 proof-of-concept trial of VTX2735, a peripheral NLRP3 inhibitor, in patients with cryopyrin-associated periodic syndromes (CAPS). The data demonstrated therapeutic benefit and a favorable safety profile, supporting VTX2735's potential for development in other chronic peripheral inflammatory diseases, including recurrent pericarditis.

2. Advancement and Key Milestones in NLRP3 Inhibitor Programs.
The company made significant progress in its NLRP3 inhibitor pipeline, with VTX3232 (CNS-penetrant) and VTX2735 (peripheral). In Q3 2024, Ventyx initiated a Phase 2a trial of VTX3232 in early Parkinson's disease, with topline results expected in the first half of 2025. Additionally, Phase 2 trials for VTX3232 in obesity/cardiometabolic risk factors and VTX2735 in recurrent pericarditis were anticipated to begin by year-end 2024, with topline results for both expected in the second half of 2025. Furthermore, Ventyx achieved two key milestones in 2025 by generating data from the Phase 2a study with VTX3232 in Parkinson's disease and more recently, data from another VTX3232 Phase 2 study.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VTYX Return65%-92%-11%281%
Peers Return17%-22%4%22%111%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VTYX Win Rate50%58%50%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate48%52%47%53%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VTYX Max Drawdown-50%-94%-30%-62% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-50%-38%-17%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BMY, ROIV, GOSS, KYMR, LLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVTYXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2142.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Ventyx Biosciences's stock fell -95.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/3/2023. A -95.5% loss requires a 2142.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ventyx Biosciences (VTYX)

Better Bets than Ventyx Biosciences (VTYX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Ventyx Biosciences Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VTYX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ventyx Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VTYXBMYROIVGOSSKYMRLLYMedian
NameVentyx B.Bristol-.Roivant .Gossamer.Kymera T.Eli Lilly 
Mkt Price8.2154.2322.943.5684.191,054.2938.59
Mkt Cap0.6110.410.30.87.3946.68.8
Rev LTM048,03420444453,25844
Op Inc LTM-11711,420-1,151-153-32822,882-135
FCF LTM-8815,302-784-159-230-50-123
FCF 3Y Avg-13713,598-805-111-184-156-146
CFO LTM-8816,621-770-158-22810,938-123
CFO 3Y Avg-13614,846-799-111-1687,230-124

Growth & Margins

VTYXBMYROIVGOSSKYMRLLYMedian
NameVentyx B.Bristol-.Roivant .Gossamer.Kymera T.Eli Lilly 
Rev Chg LTM-1.3%-45.1%-58.2%-50.1%36.8%-45.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.0%-24.4%-12.9%23.4%7.0%
Rev Chg Q-2.8%-64.9%40.2%-26.1%37.6%2.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%-12.5%9.5%-2.2%8.7%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-23.8%-5,659.4%-348.1%-750.9%43.0%-348.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-19.0%-3,362.4%--456.2%35.6%-218.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.9%-554.7%13.8%-53.4%1.8%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-34.6%-3,787.0%-359.7%-521.2%20.5%-359.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-31.7%-2,670.4%--328.2%17.8%-155.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-31.9%-3,858.4%-359.8%-526.4%-0.1%-359.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-29.0%-2,699.0%--355.5%0.5%-177.5%

Valuation

VTYXBMYROIVGOSSKYMRLLYMedian
NameVentyx B.Bristol-.Roivant .Gossamer.Kymera T.Eli Lilly 
Mkt Cap0.6110.410.30.87.3946.68.8
P/S-1.9506.813.6113.012.913.6
P/EBIT-1.99.2--4.1-16.838.6-1.9
P/E-2.115.2-27.5-3.8-16.749.6-3.0
P/CFO-2.55.5-13.4-3.8-21.762.6-3.2
Total Yield-48.1%12.0%-3.6%-26.0%-6.0%2.7%-4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%5.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-50.4%13.2%--45.0%-10.1%0.1%-10.1%
D/E0.00.6-0.30.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.80.4-0.0-0.10.10.0

Returns

VTYXBMYROIVGOSSKYMRLLYMedian
NameVentyx B.Bristol-.Roivant .Gossamer.Kymera T.Eli Lilly 
1M Rtn-11.2%16.2%13.1%31.4%29.6%2.8%14.7%
3M Rtn252.4%18.6%61.8%11.3%72.6%38.1%49.9%
6M Rtn273.2%17.9%106.5%187.1%81.6%33.7%94.1%
12M Rtn264.9%1.9%89.6%315.0%95.5%36.3%92.6%
3Y Rtn-74.8%-15.7%213.4%30.4%197.9%200.0%114.2%
1M Excs Rtn-12.2%15.3%12.1%30.4%28.7%1.8%13.7%
3M Excs Rtn252.4%16.1%47.1%16.0%71.9%35.9%41.5%
6M Excs Rtn259.5%4.3%92.8%173.4%68.0%20.1%80.4%
12M Excs Rtn224.1%-11.2%80.7%278.8%87.3%23.4%84.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-142.6%-94.3%154.9%-8.8%152.2%126.2%58.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment2783712910
Total2783712910


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,424,203
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-11.8%
Average Daily Volume1,320,674
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.11
Basic Shares Quantity71,304,084
Short % of Basic Shares7.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-5.3%3.1%-8.1%
8/7/202519.1%27.1%0.8%
5/8/20256.0%3.4%118.8%
2/27/20259.0%6.9%-16.6%
11/7/2024-1.8%-12.1%34.4%
8/8/20244.5%-3.0%10.6%
5/9/2024-8.7%11.2%-23.2%
2/27/202428.4%41.5%-4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive787
# Negative878
Median Positive9.0%14.7%34.4%
Median Negative-5.3%-12.1%-15.3%
Max Positive32.0%41.5%118.8%
Max Negative-80.6%-83.1%-84.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021324202210-K 12/31/2021