Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -4.7%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -153 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -348%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 177%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 309%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -58%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -360%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -360%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 580%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
6   Key risks
GOSS key risks include [1] an all-or-nothing dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its single lead asset, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -4.7%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -153 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -348%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 177%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 309%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -58%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -360%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -360%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 580%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
9 Key risks
GOSS key risks include [1] an all-or-nothing dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its single lead asset, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GOSS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Gossamer Bio's (GOSS) stock movement by 44.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: 1. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets.

Several analysts issued positive reports and raised their price targets for Gossamer Bio. Oppenheimer, Piper Sandler, UBS, and Scotiabank either upgraded their ratings or increased price targets, citing optimism regarding seralutinib's potential and clinical trial progress. For instance, Oppenheimer raised its target to $12 from $9, and Piper Sandler maintained a Buy rating with a $15 price target. 2. Progress in Seralutinib Clinical Trials.

Gossamer Bio announced significant advancements in its clinical programs for seralutinib, its lead drug candidate. The company completed enrollment for the Phase 3 PROSERA Study in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (PAH) by June 11, 2025, with topline results anticipated in February 2026. Additionally, the first clinical sites for the global, registrational Phase 3 SERANATA Study in Pulmonary Hypertension Associated with Interstitial Lung Disease (PH-ILD) were activated in the fourth quarter of 2025. The heightened probability of success for PROSERA due to favorable Phase 2 TORREY data contributed to investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GOSS Return-38%17%-81%-58%-1%294%-77%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GOSS Win Rate42%33%33%50%42%75% 
Peers Win Rate52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GOSS Max Drawdown-49%-25%-85%-78%-44%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGOSSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3011.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven54 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Gossamer Bio's stock fell -96.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/24/2022. A -96.8% loss requires a 3011.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Gossamer Bio (GOSS)

Better Bets than Gossamer Bio (GOSS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GOSS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Gossamer Bio

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GOSSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameGossamer.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price3.57449.522.850.9811.4315.927.50
Mkt Cap0.8114.9--0.5-0.8
Rev LTM4411,7230-01313
Op Inc LTM-153-92-7--124-73-92
FCF LTM-1593,337-7--87-78-78
FCF 3Y Avg-1112,064-8----8
CFO LTM-1583,718-7--87-78-78
CFO 3Y Avg-1112,419-8----8

Growth & Margins

GOSSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameGossamer.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-58.2%10.3%-----23.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q40.2%11.0%----25.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.5%2.7%---333.3%9.5%
Op Mgn LTM-348.1%-0.8%----560.1%-348.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM13.8%1.0%---1,973.2%13.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-359.7%31.7%----602.0%-359.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-359.8%28.5%----602.0%-359.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

GOSSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameGossamer.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.8114.9--0.5-0.8
P/S13.68.5----11.1
P/EBIT-4.122.4----9.2
P/E-3.827.2---4.4--3.8
P/CFO-3.826.9---5.8--3.8
Total Yield-26.0%3.7%---22.8%--22.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-45.0%2.3%-----21.4%
D/E0.30.0----0.2
Net D/E0.0-0.0-----0.0

Returns

GOSSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameGossamer.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn19.4%3.6%-9.5%-16.8%-18.1%3.6%
3M Rtn19.4%16.1%--5.9%-16.1%
6M Rtn176.7%0.2%----88.5%
12M Rtn309.2%-4.2%----152.5%
3Y Rtn30.8%47.5%----39.1%
1M Excs Rtn18.7%2.8%-8.8%-17.5%-18.9%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn14.6%14.8%--4.3%-14.6%
6M Excs Rtn164.4%-12.1%----76.1%
12M Excs Rtn272.8%-14.1%----129.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-4.7%-25.4%-----15.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment312272344539427
Total312272344539427


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,438,565
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-4.0%
Average Daily Volume2,852,104
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.22
Basic Shares Quantity227,981,475
Short % of Basic Shares10.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-2.5%13.9%43.9%
8/5/2025-8.3%-10.6%16.2%
3/13/202511.5%3.8%-36.5%
11/7/2024-0.9%-13.2%-13.6%
8/12/20243.8%17.4%12.0%
3/5/20240.0%-7.6%-23.4%
11/9/2023-7.6%36.3%73.1%
8/8/2023-1.6%-6.6%-20.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive61011
# Negative1287
Median Positive6.0%8.1%14.3%
Median Negative-2.3%-7.1%-16.9%
Max Positive11.5%36.3%73.1%
Max Negative-8.5%-13.2%-36.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022317202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Milligan Sandra 8202025Buy1.9226,05050,016111,456Form